Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $213.4000 (5.27%) ($208.8000 - $213.4000) on Tue. Feb. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $213.4000(5.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(10%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $205.74(3.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $200.22(6.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $194.88(9.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 4.39% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2008	200.04	194.88	200.22	205.74			213.4(5.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	-10000	11	107	0.24	55%	0.18	36	1.93%	0	2.2	71	0
2	Feb_15_2008	199.68	193.52	198.53	203.65			202.72(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	6	110	0.13	48%	0.07	24.7	1.82%	0	1.2	68	0
3	Feb_14_2008	199.54	192.66	197.86	202.49			205.16(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	16	123	0.14	48%	0.1	9.5	1.83%	0	1.7	74	0
4	Feb_13_2008	199.35	192.05	196.52	199.62			205.64(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	-10000	20	108	0.21	50%	0.1	-8.3	1.83%	0	2	70	0
5	Feb_12_2008	199.16	191.68	194.99	196.03			201.76(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	13	90	0.19	45%	0.07	-25.5	1.83%	0	1.6	73	0

6	Feb_11_2008	199.02	191.84	193.84	193.8			202.96(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	5	77	0.07	45%	0.06	-30.4	1.91%	0	1.6	71	0
7	Feb_8_2008	198.9	191.7	192.27	192.81			196.92(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	1	69	0.09	40%	0.04	-37.4	1.88%	0	0.8	59	0
8	Feb_7_2008	198.82	191.97	191.05	192.7			190.8(1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-2	68	0.15	36%	0.01	-40.4	1.84%	0	-0.2	56	0
9	Feb_6_2008	198.81	192.6	190.67	192.97			187.72(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-4	59	0.08	38%	0	-41.5	1.84%	0	-0.6	43	0
10	Feb_5_2008	198.81	193.28	190.09	193.62			190.6(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	-0	36	0.08	38%	0.04	-42.4	1.86%	0	-0.3	39	0

11	Feb_4_2008	198.74	193.95	189.34	193.64			198(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	12	2	0.1	41%	0.07	-44.1	1.8%	0	0.5	38	0
12	Feb_1_2008	198.6	194.28	188.2	191.6			196.36(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	14	-41	0.03	39%	0.07	-50.1	1.8%	0	0.2	43	0
13	Jan_31_2008	198.47	194.96	187.09	189.22			192.16(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10000	7	-96	0.1	40%	0.05	-52.7	1.8%	0	-0.3	38	0
14	Jan_30_2008	198.37	195.87	187.19	188.11			191(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	12	-118	0.17	39%	0.06	-52.2	1.85%	0	-0.5	37	0
15	Jan_29_2008	198.25	196.69	188	186.02			190.68(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	10	-139	0.06	39%	0.08	-57.6	1.87%	0	-0.6	40	0

16	Jan_28_2008	198.1	197.64	189.5	184.38			187.8(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-39	-10000	0	-156	0.11	39%	0.06	-59.2	1.86%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Jan_25_2008	197.98	198.69	190.86	184.34			184.48(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-2	-163	0.04	41%	0.03	-57.2	1.88%	0	-1.4	30	0
18	Jan_24_2008	197.93	200.03	192.8	184.64			186.6(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-10000	-9	-174	0.05	41%	0.04	-54.7	1.89%	0	-1.3	28	0
19	Jan_23_2008	197.85	201.21	194.56	186.24			180.56(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-63	-10000	-23	-183	0.1	38%	0.02	-47.3	1.84%	0	-2.1	21	0
20	Jan_22_2008	197.82	202.72	196.78	190.32			182.44(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-10000	-28	-161	0.07	38%	0.06	-37.3	1.84%	0	-2.3	27	0

21	Jan_18_2008	197.71	203.99	199.13	195.4			187.6(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-10000	-16	-121	0.33	37%	0.09	-25.3	1.85%	0	-2.2	29	0
22	Jan_17_2008	197.53	204.85	201.07	198.37			186(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-41	-10000	-20	-102	0.06	37%	0.08	-18.2	1.85%	0	-3	29	0
23	Jan_16_2008	197.37	205.73	203.75	202.03			194.6(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-26	-10000	-11	-69	0.16	40%	0.14	-1.4	1.77%	0	-2.6	33	0
24	Jan_15_2008	197.09	206	205.49	204.02			200.96(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-1	-47	0.11	43%	0.16	6.9	1.73%	0	-1.4	40	0
25	Jan_14_2008	196.78	206.06	206.23	204.15			207.84(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.06	46%		6.4	1.68%	0	0.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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