Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 28, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $210.2800 (0.71%) ($209.1200 - $210.7100) on Fri. Dec. 28, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $210.2800(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $209.68(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $205.92(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $202.87(3.65%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2007	192.95	202.87	205.92	209.68			210.28(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	67	0.03	48%	0.18	77.4	1.72%	0	1.4	62	0
2	Dec_27_2007	192.6	202.04	205.23	208.74			208.8(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	7	60	0.02	48%	0.17	71.7	1.72%	0	1.2	56	0
3	Dec_26_2007	192.28	201.22	204.77	207.54			210.84(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	11	64	0.02	48%	0.31	59.8	1.71%	0	1.7	68	0
4	Dec_24_2007	191.68	200.2	203.6	205.55			209.48(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	14	58	0.02	48%	0.2	44.6	1.7%	0	1.7	71	0
5	Dec_21_2007	191.29	199.38	202.9	203.22			209(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	9	48	0.01	48%	0.17	29.8	1.71%	0	1.9	68	0

6	Dec_20_2007	190.97	198.76	202.14	201.64			205.6(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	2	44	0.07	48%	0.15	23.4	1.7%	0	1.5	65	0
7	Dec_19_2007	190.68	198.2	201.92	201.29			202.8(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-2	56	0.04	48%	0.15	15.1	1.7%	0	1	64	0
8	Dec_18_2007	190.4	197.96	201.36	201.63			200.88(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	2	71	0.03	50%	0.12	15.6	1.69%	0	0.7	64	0
9	Dec_17_2007	190.17	197.77	200.63	201.35			197.84(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-6	69	0.04	50%	0.13	14.9	1.71%	0	0	63	0
10	Dec_14_2007	189.93	197.88	200.37	202.41			201.08(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-1	86	0.02	50%	0.13	15.7	1.7%	0	0.7	62	0

11	Dec_13_2007	189.69	197.69	199.72	202.61			203.84(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	-0	85	0.07	50%	0.12	4.7	1.69%	0	1.5	57	0
12	Dec_12_2007	189.47	197.53	198.7	202.64			204.52(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	9	89	0.02	52%	0.13	-2.4	1.69%	0	1.7	62	0
13	Dec_11_2007	189.23	197.28	197.47	201.1			199.48(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	8	65	0.05	52%	0.06	-28.7	1.68%	0	0.6	51	0
14	Dec_10_2007	189.12	197.14	196.62	199.74			203.12(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	11	42	0.08	53%	0.06	-52.3	1.67%	0	1.6	57	0
15	Dec_7_2007	189	197.21	195.59	197.97			202.08(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	10	12	0	52%	0.05	-65.2	1.68%	0	1.2	50	0

16	Dec_6_2007	188.91	197.49	195.05	196.37			204(3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	9	-10000	13	-3	0.04	52%	0.06	-63.2	1.69%	0	1.4	57	0
17	Dec_5_2007	188.8	197.63	194.02	194.29			196.8(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	6	-40	0.02	48%	0.04	-71.9	1.63%	0	-0.2	41	0
18	Dec_4_2007	188.72	198.39	194.12	193.38			192.72(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	3	-55	0.18	49%	0.03	-59	1.61%	0	-0.9	38	0
19	Dec_3_2007	188.67	199.17	194.58	192.97			194.24(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	1	-60	0.09	49%	0.01	-60.3	1.65%	0	-0.8	47	0
20	Nov_30_2007	188.65	199.9	195.14	192.78			194.08(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-74	0.03	49%	0.02	-58.8	1.65%	0	-0.9	36	0

21	Nov_29_2007	188.62	200.55	195.48	193.53			193.6(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-85	0.06	51%	0.03	-53.5	1.65%	0	-1.1	32	0
22	Nov_28_2007	188.57	201.44	196.27	193.76			192.28(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.03	49%	0.02	-44	1.68%	0	-1.4	32	0
23	Nov_27_2007	188.54	202.1	197.12	195.01			190.64(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-8	-104	0.06	49%	0	-36.8	1.71%	0	-1.8	26	0
24	Nov_26_2007	188.54	203.09	197.84	196.38			193.32(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-8	-111	0.04	49%	0.03	-24.4	1.71%	0	-1.6	35	0
25	Nov_23_2007	188.48	203.86	199.08	197.78			197.8(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	0	-102	0	53%		-11.6	1.7%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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