Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 7, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $202.0800 (-0.94%) ($200.8800 - $202.7200) on Fri. Dec. 7, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $202.0800(-0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(64%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    JNK(-1%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $197.97(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $195.59(3.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $197.21(2.47%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2007	189	197.21	195.59	197.97			202.08(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	10	12	0	52%	0.05	-65.2	1.68%	0	1.2	50	0
2	Dec_6_2007	188.91	197.49	195.05	196.37			204(3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	9	-10000	13	-3	0.04	52%	0.06	-63.2	1.69%	0	1.4	57	0
3	Dec_5_2007	188.8	197.63	194.02	194.29			196.8(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	6	-40	0.02	48%	0.04	-71.9	1.63%	0	-0.2	41	0
4	Dec_4_2007	188.72	198.39	194.12	193.38			192.72(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-10000	3	-55	0.18	49%	0.03	-59	1.61%	0	-0.9	38	0
5	Dec_3_2007	188.67	199.17	194.58	192.97			194.24(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	1	-60	0.09	49%	0.01	-60.3	1.65%	0	-0.8	47	0

6	Nov_30_2007	188.65	199.9	195.14	192.78			194.08(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-74	0.03	49%	0.02	-58.8	1.65%	0	-0.9	36	0
7	Nov_29_2007	188.62	200.55	195.48	193.53			193.6(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-85	0.06	51%	0.03	-53.5	1.65%	0	-1.1	32	0
8	Nov_28_2007	188.57	201.44	196.27	193.76			192.28(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.03	49%	0.02	-44	1.68%	0	-1.4	32	0
9	Nov_27_2007	188.54	202.1	197.12	195.01			190.64(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-8	-104	0.06	49%	0	-36.8	1.71%	0	-1.8	26	0
10	Nov_26_2007	188.54	203.09	197.84	196.38			193.32(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-8	-111	0.04	49%	0.03	-24.4	1.71%	0	-1.6	35	0

11	Nov_23_2007	188.48	203.86	199.08	197.78			197.8(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	0	-102	0	53%	0.06	-11.6	1.7%	0	-1.1	38	0
12	Nov_21_2007	188.37	204.14	200.17	197.74			194.76(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-8	-105	0.06	53%	0.04	-15.5	1.68%	0	-1.7	38	0
13	Nov_20_2007	188.3	204.47	201.56	199.16			198.52(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-3	-96	0.03	55%	0.07	-12.6	1.66%	0	-1.1	36	0
14	Nov_19_2007	188.17	204.49	202.97	199.58			197.48(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	0	-78	0.07	55%	0.08	-16.7	1.68%	0	-1.3	45	0
15	Nov_16_2007	188.02	204.55	204.1	199.5			200.36(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-7	-84	0.05	57%	0.1	-24.3	1.7%	0	-0.8	42	0

16	Nov_15_2007	187.84	204.52	205	200.62			197.56(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-14	-75	0.11	55%	0.07	-22.6	1.7%	0	-1.4	42	0
17	Nov_14_2007	187.7	204.98	206.02	203.02			201.88(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-8	-45	0.03	55%	0.12	-6.3	1.71%	0	-0.6	51	0
18	Nov_13_2007	187.48	205.12	207	204.4			200.64(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-14	-17	0.09	55%	0.07	11.8	1.73%	0	-0.9	54	0
19	Nov_12_2007	187.34	205.38	207.52	206.95			197.04(-4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-5	-10000	-13	19	0.13	54%	0.03	33.6	1.72%	0	-1.8	53	0
20	Nov_9_2007	187.28	205.83	208.89	209.27			206(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-4	68	0.07	58%	0.07	63.3	1.62%	0	0	62	0

21	Nov_8_2007	187.15	205.68	209.14	209.94			209.52(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	96	0.07	61%	0.11	74	1.61%	0	0.9	64	0
22	Nov_7_2007	186.95	205.28	208.5	209.44			208.8(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-3	84	0.1	63%	0.07	71.1	1.63%	0	0.7	53	0
23	Nov_6_2007	186.81	204.56	207.68	210.01			213.4(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	10	90	0.04	66%	0.09	76.5	1.62%	0	1.7	59	0
24	Nov_5_2007	186.64	203.78	206.1	208.29			208.64(-0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	0.09	64%	0.08	74	1.61%	0	1	54	0
25	Nov_2_2007	186.49	203.08	205.02	208.5			209.32(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	1	47	0.07	61%		77.6	1.66%	0	1.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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