Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 30, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $194.0800 (0.25%) ($192.6800 - $194.9600) on Fri. Nov. 30, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $194.0800(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $190.4(-1.9%)
Resistance Level   $199.9
5 Day Moving Average   $192.78(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $195.14(-0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $199.9(-2.91%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2007	188.65	199.9	195.14	192.78			194.08(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-74	0.03	49%	0.02	-58.8	1.65%	0	-0.9	36	0
2	Nov_29_2007	188.62	200.55	195.48	193.53			193.6(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-85	0.06	51%	0.03	-53.5	1.65%	0	-1.1	32	0
3	Nov_28_2007	188.57	201.44	196.27	193.76			192.28(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-8	-97	0.03	49%	0.02	-44	1.68%	0	-1.4	32	0
4	Nov_27_2007	188.54	202.1	197.12	195.01			190.64(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-8	-104	0.06	49%	0	-36.8	1.71%	0	-1.8	26	0
5	Nov_26_2007	188.54	203.09	197.84	196.38			193.32(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-8	-111	0.04	49%	0.03	-24.4	1.71%	0	-1.6	35	0

6	Nov_23_2007	188.48	203.86	199.08	197.78			197.8(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	0	-102	0	53%	0.06	-11.6	1.7%	0	-1.1	38	0
7	Nov_21_2007	188.37	204.14	200.17	197.74			194.76(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-8	-105	0.06	53%	0.04	-15.5	1.68%	0	-1.7	38	0
8	Nov_20_2007	188.3	204.47	201.56	199.16			198.52(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-3	-96	0.03	55%	0.07	-12.6	1.66%	0	-1.1	36	0
9	Nov_19_2007	188.17	204.49	202.97	199.58			197.48(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	0	-78	0.07	55%	0.08	-16.7	1.68%	0	-1.3	45	0
10	Nov_16_2007	188.02	204.55	204.1	199.5			200.36(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-7	-84	0.05	57%	0.1	-24.3	1.7%	0	-0.8	42	0

11	Nov_15_2007	187.84	204.52	205	200.62			197.56(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-14	-75	0.11	55%	0.07	-22.6	1.7%	0	-1.4	42	0
12	Nov_14_2007	187.7	204.98	206.02	203.02			201.88(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-8	-45	0.03	55%	0.12	-6.3	1.71%	0	-0.6	51	0
13	Nov_13_2007	187.48	205.12	207	204.4			200.64(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-14	-17	0.09	55%	0.07	11.8	1.73%	0	-0.9	54	0
14	Nov_12_2007	187.34	205.38	207.52	206.95			197.04(-4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-5	-10000	-13	19	0.13	54%	0.03	33.6	1.72%	0	-1.8	53	0
15	Nov_9_2007	187.28	205.83	208.89	209.27			206(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-4	68	0.07	58%	0.07	63.3	1.62%	0	0	62	0

16	Nov_8_2007	187.15	205.68	209.14	209.94			209.52(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	96	0.07	61%	0.11	74	1.61%	0	0.9	64	0
17	Nov_7_2007	186.95	205.28	208.5	209.44			208.8(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-3	84	0.1	63%	0.07	71.1	1.63%	0	0.7	53	0
18	Nov_6_2007	186.81	204.56	207.68	210.01			213.4(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	10	90	0.04	66%	0.09	76.5	1.62%	0	1.7	59	0
19	Nov_5_2007	186.64	203.78	206.1	208.29			208.64(-0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	0.09	64%	0.08	74	1.61%	0	1	54	0
20	Nov_2_2007	186.49	203.08	205.02	208.5			209.32(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	1	47	0.07	61%	0.09	77.6	1.66%	0	1.2	54	0

21	Nov_1_2007	186.33	202.4	203.95	208.25			207.04(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	5	41	0.06	61%	0.1	82.7	1.66%	0	0.9	55	0
22	Oct_31_2007	186.15	201.75	203.8	207.35			211.64(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	14	44	0.04	63%	0.15	78.1	1.63%	0	1.8	62	0
23	Oct_30_2007	185.88	200.71	202.96	204.98			204.8(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	9	37	0.06	62%	0.1	72.5	1.59%	0	0.8	66	0
24	Oct_29_2007	185.69	200.09	202.95	203.49			209.72(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	16	37	0.03	65%	0.13	66.9	1.57%	0	1.7	63	0
25	Oct_26_2007	185.44	199.13	202.39	201			208.04(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	12	28	0.01	62%		56.7	1.58%	0	1.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.