Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $200.3600 (1.42%) ($198.3600 - $200.9200) on Fri. Nov. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $200.3600(1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(66%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $195.86(-2.25%)
Resistance Level   $204.55
5 Day Moving Average   $199.5(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $204.1(-1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $204.55(-2.05%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2007	188.02	204.55	204.1	199.5			200.36(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-7	-84	0.05	57%	0.1	-24.3	1.7%	0	-0.8	42	0
2	Nov_15_2007	187.84	204.52	205	200.62			197.56(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-14	-75	0.11	55%	0.07	-22.6	1.7%	0	-1.4	42	0
3	Nov_14_2007	187.7	204.98	206.02	203.02			201.88(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-8	-45	0.03	55%	0.12	-6.3	1.71%	0	-0.6	51	0
4	Nov_13_2007	187.48	205.12	207	204.4			200.64(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-14	-17	0.09	55%	0.07	11.8	1.73%	0	-0.9	54	0
5	Nov_12_2007	187.34	205.38	207.52	206.95			197.04(-4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-5	-10000	-13	19	0.13	54%	0.03	33.6	1.72%	0	-1.8	53	0

6	Nov_9_2007	187.28	205.83	208.89	209.27			206(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-4	68	0.07	58%	0.07	63.3	1.62%	0	0	62	0
7	Nov_8_2007	187.15	205.68	209.14	209.94			209.52(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	96	0.07	61%	0.11	74	1.61%	0	0.9	64	0
8	Nov_7_2007	186.95	205.28	208.5	209.44			208.8(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-3	84	0.1	63%	0.07	71.1	1.63%	0	0.7	53	0
9	Nov_6_2007	186.81	204.56	207.68	210.01			213.4(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	10	90	0.04	66%	0.09	76.5	1.62%	0	1.7	59	0
10	Nov_5_2007	186.64	203.78	206.1	208.29			208.64(-0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	0.09	64%	0.08	74	1.61%	0	1	54	0

11	Nov_2_2007	186.49	203.08	205.02	208.5			209.32(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	1	47	0.07	61%	0.09	77.6	1.66%	0	1.2	54	0
12	Nov_1_2007	186.33	202.4	203.95	208.25			207.04(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	5	41	0.06	61%	0.1	82.7	1.66%	0	0.9	55	0
13	Oct_31_2007	186.15	201.75	203.8	207.35			211.64(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	14	44	0.04	63%	0.15	78.1	1.63%	0	1.8	62	0
14	Oct_30_2007	185.88	200.71	202.96	204.98			204.8(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	9	37	0.06	62%	0.1	72.5	1.59%	0	0.8	66	0
15	Oct_29_2007	185.69	200.09	202.95	203.49			209.72(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	16	37	0.03	65%	0.13	66.9	1.57%	0	1.7	63	0

16	Oct_26_2007	185.44	199.13	202.39	201			208.04(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	16	-10000	12	28	0.01	62%	0.13	56.7	1.58%	0	1.6	66	0
17	Oct_25_2007	185.2	198.14	201.8	199.1			202.56(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	-5	14	0.05	60%	0.08	45.9	1.59%	0	0.8	59	0
18	Oct_24_2007	185.05	197.46	201.69	199.82			199.76(1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-6	35	0.06	55%	0.04	46.8	1.59%	0	0.4	60	0
19	Oct_23_2007	184.97	196.86	201.17	200.74			197.36(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-9	47	0.01	54%	0.03	47.8	1.65%	0	0.1	61	0
20	Oct_22_2007	184.92	196.4	201.35	202.3			197.28(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-9	75	0.14	54%	0.05	52.9	1.67%	0	0.1	59	0

21	Oct_19_2007	184.82	195.99	201.15	203.88			198.52(-3.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	21	-10000	-5	100	0.04	52%	0.06	63.4	1.67%	0	0.4	62	0
22	Oct_18_2007	184.7	195.62	200.96	204.74			206.2(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	6	135	0.04	58%	0.11	72	1.61%	0	1.6	76	0
23	Oct_17_2007	184.49	194.76	199.71	203.8			204.32(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	13	138	0.06	58%	0.11	78.2	1.63%	0	1.6	74	0
24	Oct_16_2007	184.28	193.98	198.4	201.64			205.16(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	8	123	0.05	56%	0.12	78.1	1.63%	0	1.9	77	0
25	Oct_15_2007	184.06	193.1	197.05	200.28			205.2(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	41	-10000	14	121	0.03	56%		83.5	1.65%	0	2.2	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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