Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $189.2400 (0.11%) ($188.0000 - $189.5600) on Wed. Jul. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $189.2400(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(67%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(9%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $188.74(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $186.69(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $188.58(0.35%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2007	173.77	188.58	186.69	188.74			189.24(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	15	0.07	59%	0.2	16.8	1.3%	0	0.2	48	0
2	Jul_10_2007	173.42	188.42	185.83	188.33			189.04(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	6	-22	0.02	60%	0.09	7.9	1.3%	0	0.1	40	0
3	Jul_9_2007	173.26	188.27	185.58	187.62			190.28(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	11	-51	0.05	60%	0.2	-3	1.3%	0	0.5	39	0
4	Jul_6_2007	172.91	188	185.49	186.26			187.92(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	9	-80	0.09	60%	0.2	-15	1.3%	0	-0	40	0
5	Jul_5_2007	172.57	187.82	185.92	185.14			187.24(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	7	-96	0.03	60%	0.28	-23.8	1.31%	0	-0.1	42	0

6	Jul_3_2007	172.09	187.87	186.13	184.33			187.16(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	12	-106	0.01	60%	0.2	-27.4	1.3%	0	-0.2	48	0
7	Jul_2_2007	171.75	188.08	186.8	182.95			185.48(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-31	-10000	-3	-113	0.09	60%	0.17	-27.1	1.3%	0	-0.6	51	0
8	Jun_29_2007	171.46	188.41	187.82	183.28			183.48(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-12	-92	0.01	60%	0.16	-16.4	1.29%	0	-1.1	49	0
9	Jun_28_2007	171.19	188.66	188.91	184.69			182.32(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-18	-56	0.1	60%	0.16	0	1.29%	0	-1.5	50	0
10	Jun_27_2007	170.92	188.9	190.01	186.87			183.2(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.09	60%	0.16	17.2	1.29%	0	-1.4	52	0

11	Jun_26_2007	170.65	189.1	190.7	188.2			180.28(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-15	-10000	-24	12	0.06	59%	0.14	28.3	1.27%	0	-2.1	42	0
12	Jun_25_2007	170.41	189.31	191.42	191.12			187.12(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-10000	-16	47	0.01	64%	0.18	49.8	1.18%	0	-0.6	45	0
13	Jun_22_2007	170.11	189.15	191.41	192.98			190.52(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-7	67	0.04	67%	0.2	61.4	1.15%	0	0.3	47	0
14	Jun_21_2007	169.77	188.66	190.9	193.76			193.24(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	1	76	0.03	71%	0.22	61.6	1.14%	0	1	57	0
15	Jun_20_2007	169.4	188.18	190	193.68			189.86(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	19	-10000	1	71	0.06	70%	0.2	69.5	1.14%	0	0.4	57	0

16	Jun_19_2007	169.06	187.91	189.85	193.54			194.84(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	18	86	0.05	75%	0.26	77	1.08%	0	1.5	64	0
17	Jun_18_2007	168.62	187.41	189.44	191.71			196.44(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	-10000	20	81	0.03	75%	0.27	80.4	1.09%	0	2.1	71	0
18	Jun_15_2007	168.17	186.69	188.9	189.61			194.44(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	19	71	0.03	75%	0.26	82.6	1.1%	0	2.1	69	0
19	Jun_14_2007	167.73	185.94	188.2	187.66			192.8(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	29	-10000	18	62	0.03	75%	0.24	80.7	1.1%	0	1.9	71	0
20	Jun_13_2007	167.33	185.15	187.48	185.86			189.16(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	2	33	0.02	74%	0.22	67	1.09%	0	1.1	59	0

21	Jun_12_2007	166.97	184.51	187.19	185.67			185.72(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-12	31	0.03	73%	0.23	58.8	1.09%	0	0.3	53	0
22	Jun_11_2007	166.59	184.08	186.96	186.85			185.92(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-12	45	0.01	73%	0.22	62.6	1.09%	0	0.4	51	0
23	Jun_8_2007	166.22	183.65	186.72	188.1			184.72(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-6	70	0.08	73%	0.25	65.9	1.09%	0	0.2	55	0
24	Jun_7_2007	165.81	183.11	186.34	188.76			183.8(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	18	-10000	-4	85	0.02	74%	0.23	59.6	1.09%	0	0.1	59	0
25	Jun_6_2007	165.43	182.71	186.38	189.2			188.2(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	4	120	0.05	80%		57.4	1.06%	0	1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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