Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $148.1200 (-1.73%) ($147.3200 - $150.4400) on Fri. Oct. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $148.1200(-1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(8%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $148.6(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.24(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.36(4.05%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2006	150.05	142.36	145.24	148.6			148.12(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	132	0.01	50%	-0.02	57.1	1.83%	0	1.3	62	0
2	Oct_19_2006	150.08	141.78	144.37	148.02			150.72(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-10000	12	125	0	50%	0.01	52.6	1.82%	0	2.1	60	0
3	Oct_18_2006	150.07	141.14	143.17	146.38			147.2(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	12	101	0	48%	-0.03	45.7	1.79%	0	1.5	57	0
4	Oct_17_2006	150.11	140.61	142.08	144.83			147.52(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	9	65	0.01	46%	-0.02	28.1	1.8%	0	1.9	55	0
5	Oct_16_2006	150.14	140.19	140.76	143.62			149.44(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	-10000	17	39	0.01	46%	-0.01	18.3	1.82%	0	2.7	62	0

6	Oct_13_2006	150.15	139.81	139.69	141.42			145.2(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	10	15	0.28	44%	-0.04	1.6	1.78%	0	2	63	0
7	Oct_12_2006	150.21	139.52	139.29	140.22			142.56(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	7	-10000	6	9	0	42%	-0.07	-26.9	1.78%	0	1.3	61	0
8	Oct_11_2006	150.31	139.37	139.18	139.5			139.44(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	5	6	0.01	40%	-0.09	-55.2	1.75%	0	0	52	0
9	Oct_10_2006	150.45	139.59	139.51	138.86			141.44(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	12	14	0.02	40%	-0.08	-77	1.75%	0	0.7	59	0
10	Oct_9_2006	150.57	139.58	139.39	137.42			138.48(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0	38%	-0.11	-118.8	1.73%	0	-0.4	48	0

11	Oct_6_2006	150.73	139.77	139.25	137.68			139.16(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-5	-22	0.02	38%	-0.1	-119.2	1.73%	0	-0.2	43	0
12	Oct_5_2006	150.88	140.16	139.02	138.27			139(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-5	-21	0.04	38%	-0.11	-95.5	1.74%	0	-0.3	49	0
13	Oct_4_2006	151.05	140.77	139	138.89			136.24(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-12	-19	0.02	35%	-0.13	-78.5	1.72%	0	-0.9	45	0
14	Oct_3_2006	151.25	141.59	139.12	140.28			134.24(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-10	-16	0.05	35%	-0.16	-61.9	1.72%	0	-1.3	36	0
15	Oct_2_2006	151.49	142.73	139.74	141.54			139.76(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	5	4	0.01	38%	-0.11	-58.7	1.66%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Sep_29_2006	151.66	143.51	140.05	140.92			142.12(0.03%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	7	-10000	10	-2	0.01	43%	-0.09	-58.3	1.66%	0	-0.2	49	0
17	Sep_28_2006	151.8	144.09	139.81	139.82			142.08(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.02	43%	-0.09	-61.3	1.7%	0	-0.3	41	0
18	Sep_27_2006	151.94	144.62	139.57	139.15			143.2(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	11	-71	0.07	43%	-0.09	-63.4	1.7%	0	-0.2	36	0
19	Sep_26_2006	152.07	145.25	139.59	137.89			140.52(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-10000	1	-113	0.01	40%	-0.12	-65.1	1.7%	0	-0.6	31	0
20	Sep_25_2006	152.25	146.09	139.67	137.78			136.68(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-10000	-11	-160	0.02	37%	-0.16	-62.4	1.66%	0	-1.2	21	0

21	Sep_22_2006	152.49	147.26	140.28	139.08			136.64(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-10000	-5	-159	0.1	44%	-0.16	-54.5	1.8%	0	-1.3	24	0
22	Sep_21_2006	152.73	148.29	141.34	139.74			138.72(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-2	-166	0.05	44%	-0.15	-52.7	1.8%	0	-1.2	30	0
23	Sep_20_2006	152.96	149.13	142.64	140			136.88(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-12	-170	0.05	44%	-0.16	-54.5	1.81%	0	-1.6	29	0
24	Sep_19_2006	153.21	150.21	144.24	141.5			139.96(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-3	-158	0.1	46%	-0.14	-51.8	1.8%	0	-1.4	28	0
25	Sep_18_2006	153.43	151.08	145.97	141.83			143.2(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10000	1	-155	0	48%		-52.8	1.79%	0	-1.2	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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