Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 4, 2018

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $37.7000 (0.67%) ($37.3000 - $37.7700) on Thu. Jan. 4, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $37.7000(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(75%)    XLB(73%)    IWN(72%)    IWD(69%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    TLT(-20%)    VIXM(-16%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.12(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.4(3.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.84(8.21%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 4.97% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(59%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -2.24%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 2.73%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.74%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2018	32.52	34.84	36.4	37.12	37.18	37.62	37.7(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	103	90	39	295	2.06	68%	0.22	79.5	1.09%	0	1.7	82	0
2	Jan_3_2018	32.45	34.54	36.06	36.75	36.83	37.39	37.45(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	113	110	53	291	3.42	68%	0.25	74.7	1.09%	0	1.7	83	0
3	Jan_2_2018	32.37	34.28	35.71	36.5	36.43	36.75	37.7(3.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	112	60	53	290	5.94	69%	0.31	75.3	1.08%	0	2	85	0
4	Dec_29_2017	32.27	33.99	35.26	36.07	36.11	36.27	36.37(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	88	30	27	271	3.22	66%	0.19	76.1	1.01%	0	1.5	84	0
5	Dec_28_2017	32.21	33.77	34.93	35.85	35.87	36.11	36.4(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	92	50	32	273	1.84	66%	0.19	76.6	1.01%	0	1.8	86	0

6	Dec_27_2017	32.15	33.52	34.64	35.56	35.6	35.96	35.84(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	106	70	45	290	3.43	65%	0.19	75.9	0.99%	0	1.6	86	0
7	Dec_26_2017	32.09	33.3	34.38	35.25	35.28	35.62	36.17(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	118	70	58	296	3.46	65%	0.22	76.2	0.99%	0	2.1	91	0
8	Dec_22_2017	32.02	33.06	34.07	34.8	34.85	35.25	35.55(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	113	80	59	276	3.96	63%	0.16	75.1	0.97%	0	2	78	0
9	Dec_21_2017	31.97	32.85	33.78	34.32	34.41	34.93	35.3(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	112	110	68	243	3.14	59%	0.13	75.9	0.98%	0	2.2	78	0
10	Dec_20_2017	31.93	32.65	33.47	33.87	33.89	34.44	34.92(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	90	120	54	197	4.56	58%	0.16	78.8	1%	0	2.3	78	0

11	Dec_19_2017	31.88	32.47	33.16	33.6	33.54	33.89	34.31(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	70	47	178	4.62	56%	0.06	85.4	0.98%	0	2.1	78	0
12	Dec_18_2017	31.86	32.29	32.9	33.38	33.35	33.35	33.92(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	-0	21	150	4.33	54%	0.09	85.6	0.98%	0	2	74	0
13	Dec_15_2017	31.83	32.14	32.73	33.23	33.23	33.19	33.17(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	36	-10	-3	153	5.68	50%	0.06	87.2	0.94%	0	1.3	73	0
14	Dec_14_2017	31.81	32.01	32.63	33.14	33.25	33.34	33.04(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	56	30	19	165	3.05	50%	0	78.7	0.94%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Dec_13_2017	31.81	31.88	32.52	32.98	33.08	33.28	33.54(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	50	40	167	2.5	53%	0.06	64.6	0.93%	0	2	74	0

16	Dec_12_2017	31.79	31.72	32.32	32.64	32.75	33.15	33.23(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	69	100	45	139	2.44	51%	0.03	47.6	0.93%	0	1.9	74	0
17	Dec_11_2017	31.78	31.6	32.15	32.34	32.41	32.88	33.18(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	69	110	51	122	2.96	51%	0.06	34.2	0.93%	0	2.2	77	0
18	Dec_8_2017	31.76	31.48	31.96	32.17	32.07	32.34	32.72(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	50	32	107	3.55	45%	0.03	25.2	0.92%	0	1.9	74	0
19	Dec_7_2017	31.75	31.39	31.85	32.05	32.03	31.93	32.23(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-20	10	105	2.72	41%	0.03	15.1	0.93%	0	1.4	75	0
20	Dec_6_2017	31.74	31.39	31.78	31.99	32.03	31.81	31.83(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-50	-14	113	1.94	38%	0	11.4	0.92%	0	0.9	74	0

21	Dec_5_2017	31.74	31.39	31.72	31.94	32.04	32.13	31.74(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	30	-5	131	2.4	38%	0.03	9.7	0.92%	0	0.7	74	0
22	Dec_4_2017	31.73	31.35	31.65	31.92	31.99	32.27	32.34(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	70	41	156	2.98	42%	0.03	8.4	0.89%	0	1.8	69	0
23	Dec_1_2017	31.72	31.31	31.51	31.72	31.73	31.94	32.12(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	50	25	130	4.53	46%	0.03	-7.8	0.9%	0	1.6	69	0
24	Nov_30_2017	31.71	31.3	31.36	31.61	31.58	31.72	31.94(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	30	17	105	3.68	46%	0.06	-19.6	0.92%	0	1.3	61	0
25	Nov_29_2017	31.69	31.29	31.21	31.53	31.55	31.52	31.54(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-0	10	73	1.74	43%		-34.4	0.9%	0	0.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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