Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $33.8100 (0.36%) ($33.5100 - $34.0900) on Wed. Feb. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $33.8100(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(73%)    IWN(71%)    IWM(69%)    IWD(68%)    IWC(67%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TLT(-20%)    VIXM(-16%)    IPO(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.74(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.56(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.24(1.71%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   26%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.34%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.82%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.74%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.13%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.96%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.53%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2017	29.71	33.24	33.56	33.74	33.75	33.85	33.81(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	20	5	26	2.53	83%	0.3	71.9	1.91%	0	1	64	0
2	Feb_7_2017	29.62	33.17	33.54	33.61	33.69	33.86	33.69(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	40	10	27	4.28	83%	0.3	76.7	1.91%	0	0.9	57	0
3	Feb_6_2017	29.53	33.06	33.57	33.55	33.53	33.65	34(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	20	10	39	2.96	83%	0.34	70.4	1.91%	0	1.4	65	0
4	Feb_3_2017	29.43	32.95	33.48	33.4	33.41	33.52	33.56(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	20	3	35	2.7	84%	0.31	67	1.92%	0	0.9	62	0
5	Feb_2_2017	29.34	32.9	33.41	33.42	33.41	33.42	33.65(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	10	5	43	2.29	80%	0.34	79.4	1.93%	0	1.1	65	0

6	Feb_1_2017	29.24	32.83	33.41	33.35	33.34	33.3	33.13(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10	-3	37	4.15	80%	0.31	84.6	1.95%	0	0.5	56	0
7	Jan_31_2017	29.15	32.74	33.3	33.46	33.36	33.27	33.39(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-30	-8	46	4.44	80%	0.28	79	1.95%	0	0.9	59	0
8	Jan_30_2017	29.07	32.59	33.2	33.6	33.45	33.37	33.27(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-30	-4	65	5.12	80%	0.28	81.7	1.96%	0	0.9	67	0
9	Jan_27_2017	28.99	32.5	33.12	33.57	33.64	33.45	33.64(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-30	5	74	2.66	76%	0.24	66.8	1.95%	0	1.3	65	0
10	Jan_26_2017	28.92	32.38	32.97	33.4	33.51	33.53	33.32(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	10	0	59	3.77	76%	0.24	59.6	1.98%	0	1.1	54	0

11	Jan_25_2017	28.85	32.28	32.9	33.24	33.33	33.83	33.66(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	110	17	62	6.2	76%	0.24	55.8	1.98%	0	1.6	60	0
12	Jan_24_2017	28.78	32.15	32.77	33.11	33.05	33.49	34.12(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	90	33	75	6.52	76%	0.17	53.8	1.96%	0	2.3	70	0
13	Jan_23_2017	28.73	31.99	32.49	32.75	32.73	32.83	33.09(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	20	12	58	4.39	75%	0.28	43.4	1.94%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Jan_20_2017	28.65	31.92	32.37	32.61	32.61	32.61	32.79(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	0	6	53	2.51	75%	0.24	36.9	1.94%	0	1.2	59	0
15	Jan_19_2017	28.58	31.86	32.34	32.48	32.5	32.62	32.54(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	30	1	59	2.98	76%	0.25	28.3	1.94%	0	1	59	0

16	Jan_18_2017	28.51	31.79	32.31	32.49	32.45	32.61	33(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	30	10	71	4.8	76%	0.25	20.3	1.94%	0	1.8	60	0
17	Jan_17_2017	28.44	31.7	32.12	32.39	32.4	32.39	32.32(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-0	10	67	2.57	75%	0.32	5.1	1.94%	0	1	59	0
18	Jan_13_2017	28.35	31.68	31.95	32.2	32.33	32.29	32.42(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	0	3	49	2.52	75%	0.21	-16.6	1.94%	0	1.2	60	0
19	Jan_12_2017	28.29	31.68	31.84	32.07	32.2	32.42	32.14(-1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	60	-2	38	4.42	75%	0.25	-34.4	1.96%	0	0.8	53	0
20	Jan_11_2017	28.22	31.66	31.75	32.18	32.17	32.37	32.58(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	40	12	46	4.22	71%	0.18	-36.6	1.94%	0	1.6	55	0

21	Jan_10_2017	28.17	31.65	31.62	32.11	32.18	32.37	32.48(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-40	11	44	4.79	71%	0.18	-46.1	1.99%	0	1.5	59	0
22	Jan_9_2017	28.12	31.67	31.48	31.83	32.07	31.97	31.37(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	0	-2	24	3.03	68%	0.18	-50.8	1.95%	0	-0.5	51	0
23	Jan_6_2017	28.07	31.78	31.46	31.64	31.88	32.4	31.8(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	140	14	12	4.2	68%	0.14	-37	1.94%	0	0	48	0
24	Jan_5_2017	28.03	31.86	31.44	31.55	31.58	32.16	32.66(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	130	36	12	4.15	72%	0.18	-19.9	1.9%	0	1	53	0
25	Jan_4_2017	27.98	31.88	31.33	31.25	31.26	31.37	32.23(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	30	16	-18	6	66%		-17	1.91%	0	0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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