Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $29.5000 (-0.24%) ($29.2900 - $29.6600) on Fri. Nov. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $29.5000(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(71%)    IWM(68%)    IWC(67%)    IWD(67%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-17%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.82(-1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.97(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.28(8.14%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   21.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 7.07% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.51%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.83%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.08%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -5.7%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.39%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.98%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2016	26.67	27.28	28.97	29.82	29.7	29.63	29.5(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	54	-30	1	213	3.76	46%	0.19	60.7	2.26%	0	1.2	81	0
2	Nov_17_2016	26.62	27.09	28.64	29.69	29.73	29.76	29.57(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	62	10	7	225	5.38	46%	0.26	64.9	2.26%	0	1.3	83	0
3	Nov_16_2016	26.55	26.9	28.25	29.55	29.5	29.78	29.8(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	60	9	232	6.64	46%	0.26	69.8	2.26%	0	1.6	85	0
4	Nov_15_2016	26.48	26.69	27.78	29.37	29.35	29.7	30.26(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	86	80	36	234	8.21	49%	0.3	74	2.26%	0	2.1	80	0
5	Nov_14_2016	26.4	26.43	27.29	28.68	29.04	29.21	29.95(3.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	80	36	195	8.66	49%	0.27	71.6	2.28%	0	2.4	78	0

6	Nov_11_2016	26.33	26.16	26.82	27.99	28.31	28.99	28.86(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	200	29	156	7.35	44%	0.19	64.4	2.26%	0	2.1	75	0
7	Nov_10_2016	26.28	25.93	26.43	27.42	27.7	28.86	28.88(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	78	320	60	132	9.1	44%	0.19	53.2	2.26%	0	2.6	73	0
8	Nov_9_2016	26.23	25.71	26.02	26.76	26.86	27.62	28.9(7.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	68	210	62	86	10.42	44%	0.19	41.3	2.26%	0	3.5	71	0
9	Nov_8_2016	26.18	25.51	25.66	25.96	26.03	26.53	26.83(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	27	140	27	25	4.55	36%	0.11	23.8	2.06%	0	2.3	59	0
10	Nov_7_2016	26.15	25.41	25.53	25.68	25.66	26.09	26.49(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21	110	24	10	4.97	36%	0.08	10.7	2.05%	0	2.2	63	0

11	Nov_4_2016	26.13	25.36	25.43	25.48	25.49	25.54	26.02(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	10	17	3	8.93	36%	0.11	-6.3	2.04%	0	1.5	64	0
12	Nov_3_2016	26.1	25.34	25.4	25.28	25.36	25.24	25.54(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-1	-20	0	-3	5.12	36%	0.08	-29.6	2.02%	0	0.5	65	0
13	Nov_2_2016	26.08	25.33	25.43	25.16	25.3	25.45	24.92(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	60	-6	-0	5.01	33%	0.08	-46.4	2%	0	-1	56	0
14	Nov_1_2016	26.06	25.37	25.53	25.3	25.3	25.48	25.43(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	50	7	22	6.31	34%	0.08	-53.1	1.99%	0	0.1	54	0
15	Oct_31_2016	26.04	25.35	25.52	25.35	25.29	25.14	25.47(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-50	-3	27	4.68	34%	0.08	-53.4	1.99%	0	0.3	57	0

16	Oct_28_2016	26.02	25.39	25.47	25.39	25.47	25.1	25.02(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-90	-18	15	3.73	34%	0.04	-45.3	1.98%	0	-0.7	43	0
17	Oct_27_2016	26.01	25.46	25.43	25.54	25.68	25.44	24.95(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-50	-20	12	3.46	34%	0.04	-33.5	1.98%	0	-0.9	42	0
18	Oct_26_2016	26	25.53	25.41	25.74	25.68	25.84	25.62(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	10	-4	22	3.76	42%	0.08	-21.7	1.97%	0	0.2	51	0
19	Oct_25_2016	25.98	25.59	25.36	25.79	25.82	25.91	25.71(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	30	7	25	4.07	42%	0.08	-14.7	2.09%	0	0.2	51	0
20	Oct_24_2016	25.96	25.6	25.29	25.71	25.75	25.8	25.66(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	20	10	19	2.52	42%	0.12	-11.6	2.1%	0	0.1	57	0

21	Oct_21_2016	25.93	25.62	25.28	25.55	25.59	25.72	25.78(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	40	14	6	3.53	42%	0.12	-10.2	2.1%	0	0.3	44	0
22	Oct_20_2016	25.9	25.64	25.26	25.28	25.35	25.69	25.93(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	100	19	-18	4.22	42%	0.15	-9.3	2.1%	0	0.4	42	0
23	Oct_19_2016	25.86	25.66	25.21	25.03	25.08	25.45	25.88(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	110	20	-42	2.94	40%	0.15	-6.9	2.11%	0	0.3	43	0
24	Oct_18_2016	25.82	25.68	25.17	24.89	24.81	25	25.32(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	40	10	-69	2.91	38%	0	0.8	2.13%	0	-0.5	33	0
25	Oct_17_2016	25.82	25.67	25.15	24.81	24.77	24.71	24.86(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-20	-5	-89	2.08	38%		1.9	2.12%	0	-1.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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