Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $29.9500 (3.78%) ($29.1428 - $29.9600) on Mon. Nov. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $29.9500(3.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(71%)    IWM(68%)    IWC(67%)    IWD(67%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-17%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.68(4.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.29(9.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.43(13.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 5.6% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 8.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.96%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.47%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2016	26.4	26.43	27.29	28.68	29.04	29.21	29.95(3.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	80	36	195	8.66	49%	0.27	71.6	2.28%	0	2.4	78	INF
2	Nov_11_2016	26.33	26.16	26.82	27.99	28.31	28.99	28.86(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	200	29	156	7.35	44%	0.19	64.4	2.26%	0	2.1	75	INF
3	Nov_10_2016	26.28	25.93	26.43	27.42	27.7	28.86	28.88(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	78	320	60	132	9.1	44%	0.19	53.2	2.26%	0	2.6	73	INF
4	Nov_9_2016	26.23	25.71	26.02	26.76	26.86	27.62	28.9(7.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	68	210	62	86	10.42	44%	0.19	41.3	2.26%	0	3.5	71	INF
5	Nov_8_2016	26.18	25.51	25.66	25.96	26.03	26.53	26.83(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	27	140	27	25	4.55	36%	0.11	23.8	2.06%	0	2.3	59	INF

6	Nov_7_2016	26.15	25.41	25.53	25.68	25.66	26.09	26.49(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21	110	24	10	4.97	36%	0.08	10.7	2.05%	0	2.2	63	INF
7	Nov_4_2016	26.13	25.36	25.43	25.48	25.49	25.54	26.02(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	10	17	3	8.93	36%	0.11	-6.3	2.04%	0	1.5	64	INF
8	Nov_3_2016	26.1	25.34	25.4	25.28	25.36	25.24	25.54(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-1	-20	0	-3	5.12	36%	0.08	-29.6	2.02%	0	0.5	65	INF
9	Nov_2_2016	26.08	25.33	25.43	25.16	25.3	25.45	24.92(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	60	-6	-0	5.01	33%	0.08	-46.4	2%	0	-1	56	INF
10	Nov_1_2016	26.06	25.37	25.53	25.3	25.3	25.48	25.43(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	50	7	22	6.31	34%	0.08	-53.1	1.99%	0	0.1	54	INF

11	Oct_31_2016	26.04	25.35	25.52	25.35	25.29	25.14	25.47(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-50	-3	27	4.68	34%	0.08	-53.4	1.99%	0	0.3	57	INF
12	Oct_28_2016	26.02	25.39	25.47	25.39	25.47	25.1	25.02(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-90	-18	15	3.73	34%	0.04	-45.3	1.98%	0	-0.7	43	INF
13	Oct_27_2016	26.01	25.46	25.43	25.54	25.68	25.44	24.95(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-50	-20	12	3.46	34%	0.04	-33.5	1.98%	0	-0.9	42	INF
14	Oct_26_2016	26	25.53	25.41	25.74	25.68	25.84	25.62(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	10	-4	22	3.76	42%	0.08	-21.7	1.97%	0	0.2	51	INF
15	Oct_25_2016	25.98	25.59	25.36	25.79	25.82	25.91	25.71(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	30	7	25	4.07	42%	0.08	-14.7	2.09%	0	0.2	51	INF

16	Oct_24_2016	25.96	25.6	25.29	25.71	25.75	25.8	25.66(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	20	10	19	2.52	42%	0.12	-11.6	2.1%	0	0.1	57	INF
17	Oct_21_2016	25.93	25.62	25.28	25.55	25.59	25.72	25.78(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	40	14	6	3.53	42%	0.12	-10.2	2.1%	0	0.3	44	INF
18	Oct_20_2016	25.9	25.64	25.26	25.28	25.35	25.69	25.93(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	100	19	-18	4.22	42%	0.15	-9.3	2.1%	0	0.4	42	INF
19	Oct_19_2016	25.86	25.66	25.21	25.03	25.08	25.45	25.88(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	110	20	-42	2.94	40%	0.15	-6.9	2.11%	0	0.3	43	INF
20	Oct_18_2016	25.82	25.68	25.17	24.89	24.81	25	25.32(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	40	10	-69	2.91	38%	0	0.8	2.13%	0	-0.5	33	INF

21	Oct_17_2016	25.82	25.67	25.15	24.81	24.77	24.71	24.86(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-20	-5	-89	2.08	38%	0.12	1.9	2.12%	0	-1.2	41	INF
22	Oct_14_2016	25.79	25.68	25.28	24.98	24.86	24.61	24.43(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-80	-19	-86	3.42	38%	0.12	4.6	2.11%	0	-1.7	36	INF
23	Oct_13_2016	25.76	25.7	25.49	25.23	25.15	24.83	24.68(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-100	-17	-69	4.13	38%	0.12	10.1	2.11%	0	-1.4	36	INF
24	Oct_12_2016	25.73	25.71	25.67	25.4	25.41	25.11	25.15(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-80	-13	-58	2.53	38%	0.19	3.8	2.1%	0	-0.8	37	INF
25	Oct_11_2016	25.68	25.67	25.84	25.49	25.49	25.48	24.95(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-0	-8	-46	6.72	38%		-8.2	2.12%	0	-0.9	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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