Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $26.5000 (0.76%) ($26.3700 - $27.1600) on Thu. Sep. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.34% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $26.5000(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(71%)    IWM(68%)    IWC(67%)    IWD(67%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-17%)    IBUY(-6%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.17% (StdDev 2.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.45(4.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.15(5.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.7(3.11%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 2.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.8%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.22%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.99%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2016	25.1	25.7	25.15	25.45	25.61	26.28	26.5(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	200	39	-32	6.95	42%	0.16	-43	2.34%	0	0.9	53	INF
2	Sep_21_2016	25.06	25.66	25.13	25.07	25.02	25.42	26.3(5.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	9	110	29	-50	5.92	42%	0.12	-65	2.35%	0	0.8	54	INF
3	Sep_20_2016	25.03	25.7	25.17	24.67	24.65	24.95	25.03(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	80	15	-71	4.82	37%	0.04	-76.9	2.27%	0	-0.7	45	INF
4	Sep_19_2016	25.02	25.8	25.36	24.53	24.49	24.61	24.95(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	30	2	-80	4.56	37%	0	-82.1	2.29%	0	-0.9	38	INF
5	Sep_16_2016	25.02	25.91	25.47	24.66	24.42	24.35	24.48(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-50	-8	-78	4.03	37%	0	-79.6	2.28%	0	-1.5	40	INF

6	Sep_15_2016	25.02	26.08	25.63	24.8	24.62	24.37	24.59(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-90	-21	-79	4.55	41%	0.04	-75	2.29%	0	-1.5	40	INF
7	Sep_14_2016	25.01	26.23	25.75	25.21	24.95	24.5	24.28(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-160	-34	-64	7.69	39%	0.04	-68.3	2.33%	0	-2	42	INF
8	Sep_13_2016	25	26.41	25.92	25.75	25.57	24.87	24.37(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-39	-210	-36	-48	12.29	39%	0.08	-60.4	2.35%	0	-2.3	34	INF
9	Sep_12_2016	24.98	26.6	26.16	26.29	26.13	25.4	25.6(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-210	-28	-21	5.19	43%	0.12	-52.2	2.27%	0	-1.2	39	INF
10	Sep_9_2016	24.95	26.69	26.22	26.39	26.54	26.27	25.14(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-50	-20	-21	8.23	43%	0.04	-58.7	2.27%	0	-1.9	37	INF

11	Sep_8_2016	24.94	26.83	26.34	26.56	26.68	26.86	26.66(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	60	12	-15	3.55	51%	0.16	-60.3	2.18%	0	-0.2	39	INF
12	Sep_7_2016	24.9	26.9	26.26	26.36	26.41	26.81	26.96(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	110	19	-39	3.81	51%	0.12	-67.2	2.22%	0	0.1	44	INF
13	Sep_6_2016	24.87	26.96	26.27	26.13	26.08	26.5	27.1(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	110	16	-60	4.66	51%	0.28	-71.8	2.22%	0	0.2	43	INF
14	Sep_2_2016	24.8	27.04	26.26	26.13	25.94	26.01	26.1(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	10	8	-76	3.99	52%	0.16	-65.7	2.25%	0	-0.9	32	INF
15	Sep_1_2016	24.76	27.17	26.35	26.04	25.95	25.66	25.97(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-90	-8	-86	3.97	52%	0.12	-66.1	2.25%	0	-1.2	40	INF

16	Aug_31_2016	24.73	27.31	26.53	26.09	26.11	25.86	25.68(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-60	-12	-88	3.81	55%	0.16	-66	2.24%	0	-1.6	33	INF
17	Aug_30_2016	24.69	27.46	26.72	26.13	26.22	26.25	25.81(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	20	-12	-90	4.91	55%	0.2	-67.7	2.28%	0	-1.7	34	INF
18	Aug_29_2016	24.64	27.6	26.92	26.4	26.27	26.35	26.66(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	10	-4	-79	3.47	58%	0.24	-61.9	2.25%	0	-1	36	INF
19	Aug_26_2016	24.58	27.71	27.06	26.52	26.52	26.35	26.09(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-80	-8	-82	5.47	58%	0.24	-47.9	2.26%	0	-1.7	28	INF
20	Aug_25_2016	24.52	27.86	27.19	26.71	26.67	26.2	26.23(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-130	-30	-94	4.41	61%	0.25	-35.9	2.26%	0	-1.9	29	INF

21	Aug_24_2016	24.46	27.99	27.38	27.05	26.98	26.85	25.84(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-36	-40	-22	-79	8.1	61%	0.25	-17.2	2.31%	0	-2.8	25	INF
22	Aug_23_2016	24.4	28.14	27.62	27.4	27.35	27.15	27.2(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-60	-4	-62	2.7	66%	0.29	7.5	2.22%	0	-1.6	32	INF
23	Aug_22_2016	24.33	28.18	27.73	27.51	27.4	27.12	27.22(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-80	-19	-65	3.41	66%	0.29	17.9	2.23%	0	-1.5	36	INF
24	Aug_19_2016	24.26	28.16	27.89	27.69	27.68	27.56	27.08(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-30	-6	-51	4.34	66%	0.29	14.9	2.23%	0	-1.6	32	INF
25	Aug_18_2016	24.19	28.17	28.06	27.74	27.81	27.69	27.91(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-20	-3	-51	3.48	63%		10.1	2.19%	0	-0.4	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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