Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $25.6800 (-0.5%) ($25.3400 - $25.7750) on Wed. Aug. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $25.6800(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(71%)    IWM(68%)    IWC(67%)    IWD(67%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    IBUY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.33(-24.73%)
Resistance Level   $27.31
5 Day Moving Average   $26.09(-1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.53(-3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.31(-5.97%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 3.73% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 1.68%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(60%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 2.16%(37%) Average negative next three day return: -3.69%(63%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2016	24.73	27.31	26.53	26.09	26.11	25.86	25.68(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-60	-12	-88	3.81	55%	0.16	-66	2.24%	0	-1.6	33	INF
2	Aug_30_2016	24.69	27.46	26.72	26.13	26.22	26.25	25.81(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	20	-12	-90	4.91	55%	0.2	-67.7	2.28%	0	-1.7	34	INF
3	Aug_29_2016	24.64	27.6	26.92	26.4	26.27	26.35	26.66(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	10	-4	-79	3.47	58%	0.24	-61.9	2.25%	0	-1	36	INF
4	Aug_26_2016	24.58	27.71	27.06	26.52	26.52	26.35	26.09(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-80	-8	-82	5.47	58%	0.24	-47.9	2.26%	0	-1.7	28	INF
5	Aug_25_2016	24.52	27.86	27.19	26.71	26.67	26.2	26.23(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-130	-30	-94	4.41	61%	0.25	-35.9	2.26%	0	-1.9	29	INF

6	Aug_24_2016	24.46	27.99	27.38	27.05	26.98	26.85	25.84(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-36	-40	-22	-79	8.1	61%	0.25	-17.2	2.31%	0	-2.8	25	INF
7	Aug_23_2016	24.4	28.14	27.62	27.4	27.35	27.15	27.2(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-60	-4	-62	2.7	66%	0.29	7.5	2.22%	0	-1.6	32	INF
8	Aug_22_2016	24.33	28.18	27.73	27.51	27.4	27.12	27.22(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-80	-19	-65	3.41	66%	0.29	17.9	2.23%	0	-1.5	36	INF
9	Aug_19_2016	24.26	28.16	27.89	27.69	27.68	27.56	27.08(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-30	-6	-51	4.34	66%	0.29	14.9	2.23%	0	-1.6	32	INF
10	Aug_18_2016	24.19	28.17	28.06	27.74	27.81	27.69	27.91(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-20	-3	-51	3.48	63%	0.29	10.1	2.19%	0	-0.4	36	INF

11	Aug_17_2016	24.12	28.13	28.14	27.77	27.79	27.81	27.57(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	10	-8	-50	3.74	63%	0.29	4.4	2.33%	0	-0.7	35	INF
12	Aug_16_2016	24.05	28.09	28.26	27.88	27.93	27.94	27.79(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	10	-1	-40	3.81	63%	0.33	2.9	2.33%	0	-0.4	43	INF
13	Aug_15_2016	23.97	28.07	28.33	27.99	28	27.77	28.1(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-60	-10	-35	4.18	63%	0.17	5.4	2.32%	0	0	53	INF
14	Aug_12_2016	23.93	28.06	28.4	28.13	28.18	27.91	27.34(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-60	-19	-14	5.46	61%	0.29	18.3	2.3%	0	-0.9	64	INF
15	Aug_11_2016	23.86	28.1	28.58	28.42	28.47	28.22	28.05(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-60	-11	21	5.51	64%	0.38	40.5	2.3%	0	-0.1	64	INF

16	Aug_10_2016	23.77	28.09	28.66	28.55	28.62	28.45	28.12(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-30	-11	45	5.6	66%	0.3	62.4	2.3%	0	0	67	INF
17	Aug_9_2016	23.7	28.07	28.7	28.68	28.7	28.73	28.34(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	10	-2	72	4.2	58%	0.34	80.8	2.32%	0	0.3	71	INF
18	Aug_8_2016	23.62	28.02	28.68	28.68	28.69	28.78	28.82(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	20	3	78	2.92	58%	0.34	94.9	2.53%	0	1	68	INF
19	Aug_5_2016	23.54	27.92	28.47	28.72	28.63	28.66	28.79(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-0	-1	67	2.84	58%	0.34	99.7	2.53%	0	1	55	INF
20	Aug_4_2016	23.46	27.79	28.31	28.77	28.69	28.59	28.7(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-30	-1	63	3.55	58%	0.39	96.7	2.54%	0	0.9	55	INF

21	Aug_3_2016	23.37	27.62	28.13	28.78	28.74	28.6	28.77(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-40	-3	56	4.33	54%	0.43	97.3	2.56%	0	1	57	INF
22	Aug_2_2016	23.27	27.45	27.92	28.73	28.79	28.79	28.53(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	10	2	48	6.19	54%	0.39	96.9	2.64%	0	0.9	58	INF
23	Aug_1_2016	23.18	27.26	27.78	28.62	28.71	28.88	28.81(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	50	18	49	4.4	54%	0.22	104.6	2.64%	0	1.3	62	INF
24	Jul_29_2016	23.13	27.07	27.69	28.17	28.31	28.79	29.02(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	130	22	39	3.52	54%	0.3	101.3	2.66%	0	1.5	68	INF
25	Jul_28_2016	23.06	26.84	27.57	27.77	27.76	28.55	28.79(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	200	29	38	5.03	54%		90.7	2.66%	0	1.5	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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