Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $28.7000 (-0.24%) ($28.4050 - $28.8800) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.54% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $28.7000(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XME advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(70%)    IWM(68%)    IWD(67%)    IVE(66%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.27% (StdDev 2.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.77(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.31(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.79(3.27%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   40%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 2.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.78%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2016	23.46	27.79	28.31	28.77	28.69	28.59	28.7(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-30	-1	63	3.55	58%	0.39	96.7	2.54%	0	0.9	55	0
2	Aug_3_2016	23.37	27.62	28.13	28.78	28.74	28.6	28.77(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-40	-3	56	4.33	54%	0.43	97.3	2.56%	0	1	57	0
3	Aug_2_2016	23.27	27.45	27.92	28.73	28.79	28.79	28.53(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	10	2	48	6.19	54%	0.39	96.9	2.64%	0	0.9	58	0
4	Aug_1_2016	23.18	27.26	27.78	28.62	28.71	28.88	28.81(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	50	18	49	4.4	54%	0.22	104.6	2.64%	0	1.3	62	0
5	Jul_29_2016	23.13	27.07	27.69	28.17	28.31	28.79	29.02(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	130	22	39	3.52	54%	0.3	101.3	2.66%	0	1.5	68	0

6	Jul_28_2016	23.06	26.84	27.57	27.77	27.76	28.55	28.79(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	200	29	38	5.03	54%	0.26	90.7	2.66%	0	1.5	71	0
7	Jul_27_2016	23	26.57	27.46	27.38	27.3	27.84	28.48(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	130	31	42	9.61	56%	0.22	74.3	2.67%	0	1.3	75	0
8	Jul_26_2016	22.95	26.3	27.36	27	26.93	26.97	28.01(5.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	0	10	35	5.7	56%	0.26	58	2.69%	0	1.1	73	0
9	Jul_25_2016	22.89	26.02	27.28	26.83	26.75	26.77	26.55(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-0	-13	41	3.17	50%	0.18	44.8	2.62%	0	0.3	71	0
10	Jul_22_2016	22.85	25.85	27.31	27.13	26.93	26.89	27.01(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-30	-6	73	2.02	50%	0.18	45.6	2.63%	0	0.6	69	0

11	Jul_21_2016	22.81	25.71	27.25	27.34	27.2	26.74	26.84(0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-130	-13	97	5.37	50%	0.22	51.4	2.63%	0	0.6	72	0
12	Jul_20_2016	22.76	25.56	27.1	27.54	27.45	26.98	26.61(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-130	-22	123	4.56	50%	0.18	54.4	2.63%	0	0.6	76	0
13	Jul_19_2016	22.72	25.42	26.98	27.74	27.73	27.66	27.13(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	37	-20	-6	165	6.39	53%	0.22	60.6	2.63%	0	0.9	83	0
14	Jul_18_2016	22.67	25.27	26.74	27.78	27.76	27.92	28.06(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	40	11	199	2.42	56%	0.27	65.5	2.64%	0	1.5	92	0
15	Jul_15_2016	22.61	25.04	26.44	27.52	27.59	27.8	28.04(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	60	19	213	3.02	56%	0.31	65.8	2.64%	0	1.7	82	0

16	Jul_14_2016	22.54	24.8	26.07	27.14	27.24	27.59	27.88(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	100	25	203	4.54	56%	0.27	63.3	2.65%	0	1.9	69	0
17	Jul_13_2016	22.48	24.58	25.62	26.59	26.77	27.37	27.59(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	180	30	178	4.05	56%	0.27	57.1	2.65%	0	2.1	70	0
18	Jul_12_2016	22.42	24.34	25.14	26.11	26.19	26.88	27.34(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	190	37	150	5.53	56%	0.27	51.1	2.65%	0	2.3	68	0
19	Jul_11_2016	22.36	24.13	24.63	25.55	25.6	26.17	26.73(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	160	29	103	5.3	58%	0.22	45.2	2.65%	0	2.3	62	0
20	Jul_8_2016	22.31	23.95	24.25	25.2	25.14	25.49	26.17(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	90	22	77	6.16	60%	0.22	45.4	2.68%	0	2.4	63	0

21	Jul_7_2016	22.26	23.83	24.02	24.85	24.88	25.04	25.11(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	50	19	66	4.42	58%	0.18	52.9	2.66%	0	1.7	61	0
22	Jul_6_2016	22.22	23.78	23.87	24.49	24.57	24.78	25.19(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	70	21	48	4.1	58%	0.18	57.7	2.67%	0	1.9	59	0
23	Jul_5_2016	22.18	23.69	23.72	24.01	24.16	24.73	24.54(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	180	27	34	5.03	58%	0.14	54.4	2.66%	0	1.3	61	0
24	Jul_1_2016	22.15	23.64	23.68	23.56	23.68	24.36	25(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	30	220	34	19	7.21	58%	0.14	54.2	2.65%	0	2.2	58	0
25	Jun_30_2016	22.12	23.54	23.53	23.15	23.13	23.6	24.41(4.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	9	140	15	-8	7.34	58%		46	2.63%	0	1.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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