Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $27.1300 (-3.31%) ($26.9900 - $27.7600) on Tue. Jul. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.63% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $27.1300(-3.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(70%)    IWM(68%)    IWD(67%)    IVE(66%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    IBUY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.315% (StdDev 2.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.74(-2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.98(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.42(6.73%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   32.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 7.36% (three month std-dev: 2.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 2.58%(63%) Average negative next day return: -2.63%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 3.72%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -2.16%(53%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 3.33%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.09%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2016	22.72	25.42	26.98	27.74	27.73	27.66	27.13(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	37	-20	-6	165	6.39	53%	0.22	60.6	2.63%	0	0.9	83	INF
2	Jul_18_2016	22.67	25.27	26.74	27.78	27.76	27.92	28.06(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	40	11	199	2.42	56%	0.27	65.5	2.64%	0	1.5	92	INF
3	Jul_15_2016	22.61	25.04	26.44	27.52	27.59	27.8	28.04(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	60	19	213	3.02	56%	0.31	65.8	2.64%	0	1.7	82	INF
4	Jul_14_2016	22.54	24.8	26.07	27.14	27.24	27.59	27.88(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	100	25	203	4.54	56%	0.27	63.3	2.65%	0	1.9	69	INF
5	Jul_13_2016	22.48	24.58	25.62	26.59	26.77	27.37	27.59(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	180	30	178	4.05	56%	0.27	57.1	2.65%	0	2.1	70	INF

6	Jul_12_2016	22.42	24.34	25.14	26.11	26.19	26.88	27.34(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	65	190	37	150	5.53	56%	0.27	51.1	2.65%	0	2.3	68	INF
7	Jul_11_2016	22.36	24.13	24.63	25.55	25.6	26.17	26.73(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	160	29	103	5.3	58%	0.22	45.2	2.65%	0	2.3	62	INF
8	Jul_8_2016	22.31	23.95	24.25	25.2	25.14	25.49	26.17(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	90	22	77	6.16	60%	0.22	45.4	2.68%	0	2.4	63	INF
9	Jul_7_2016	22.26	23.83	24.02	24.85	24.88	25.04	25.11(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	50	19	66	4.42	58%	0.18	52.9	2.66%	0	1.7	61	INF
10	Jul_6_2016	22.22	23.78	23.87	24.49	24.57	24.78	25.19(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	70	21	48	4.1	58%	0.18	57.7	2.67%	0	1.9	59	INF

11	Jul_5_2016	22.18	23.69	23.72	24.01	24.16	24.73	24.54(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	180	27	34	5.03	58%	0.14	54.4	2.66%	0	1.3	61	INF
12	Jul_1_2016	22.15	23.64	23.68	23.56	23.68	24.36	25(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	30	220	34	19	7.21	58%	0.14	54.2	2.65%	0	2.2	58	INF
13	Jun_30_2016	22.12	23.54	23.53	23.15	23.13	23.6	24.41(4.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	9	140	15	-8	7.34	58%	0.14	46	2.63%	0	1.4	56	INF
14	Jun_29_2016	22.09	23.43	23.42	23.1	22.97	23	23.3(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10	2	-20	4.65	55%	0.09	44.7	2.57%	0	-0.2	46	INF
15	Jun_28_2016	22.07	23.37	23.46	23.18	23.16	22.66	22.78(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-150	-16	-30	5.23	55%	0.05	51.9	2.57%	0	-0.8	39	INF

16	Jun_27_2016	22.06	23.34	23.48	23.39	23.43	22.94	22.29(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-140	-31	-30	6.43	55%	0	66.9	2.56%	0	-1.5	44	INF
17	Jun_24_2016	22.06	23.31	23.62	23.79	23.77	23.66	22.96(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-30	-12	-3	7.68	57%	0.05	76.4	2.55%	0	-0.4	47	INF
18	Jun_23_2016	22.05	23.26	23.68	23.93	23.98	23.93	24.18(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10	7	16	4.43	56%	0.14	82.5	2.48%	0	1	59	INF
19	Jun_22_2016	22.02	23.13	23.64	23.78	23.92	23.89	23.69(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	10	-2	20	7.45	56%	0.14	82.2	2.6%	0	0.6	64	INF
20	Jun_21_2016	21.99	23	23.7	23.79	23.83	24.04	23.85(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	70	9	48	4.53	56%	0.09	68.8	2.59%	0	0.8	66	INF

21	Jun_20_2016	21.97	22.87	23.66	23.59	23.73	23.96	24.25(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	90	15	53	7.08	56%	0.18	58.7	2.58%	0	1.3	69	INF
22	Jun_17_2016	21.93	22.7	23.59	23.43	23.45	23.63	23.69(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	5	63	11.3	56%	0.09	50.9	2.57%	0	0.9	71	INF
23	Jun_16_2016	21.91	22.55	23.54	23.39	23.4	23.49	23.44(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	30	1	73	9.09	59%	0.14	45.9	2.6%	0	0.8	64	INF
24	Jun_15_2016	21.88	22.41	23.42	23.47	23.43	23.28	23.71(3.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-50	-6	79	9.91	57%	0.14	40.7	2.66%	0	1.1	67	INF
25	Jun_14_2016	21.85	22.31	23.26	23.62	23.52	23.31	22.84(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-80	-12	99	7.9	55%		46.8	2.66%	0	0.5	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.