Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $22.2900 (-2.92%) ($22.1200 - $23.0400) on Mon. Jun. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $22.2900(-2.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(71%)    IWM(68%)    IWC(67%)    IWD(67%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-18%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

Resistance Level   $23.34
5 Day Moving Average   $23.39(-4.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.48(-5.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.34(-4.5%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.07%(75%) Average negative next day return: -4.19%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.39%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.64%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.44%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.52%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2016	22.06	23.34	23.48	23.39	23.43	22.94	22.29(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-140	-31	-30	6.43	55%	0	66.9	2.56%	0	-1.5	44	0
2	Jun_24_2016	22.06	23.31	23.62	23.79	23.77	23.66	22.96(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-30	-12	-3	7.68	57%	0.05	76.4	2.55%	0	-0.4	47	0
3	Jun_23_2016	22.05	23.26	23.68	23.93	23.98	23.93	24.18(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10	7	16	4.43	56%	0.14	82.5	2.48%	0	1	59	0
4	Jun_22_2016	22.02	23.13	23.64	23.78	23.92	23.89	23.69(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	10	-2	20	7.45	56%	0.14	82.2	2.6%	0	0.6	64	0
5	Jun_21_2016	21.99	23	23.7	23.79	23.83	24.04	23.85(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	70	9	48	4.53	56%	0.09	68.8	2.59%	0	0.8	66	0

6	Jun_20_2016	21.97	22.87	23.66	23.59	23.73	23.96	24.25(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	90	15	53	7.08	56%	0.18	58.7	2.58%	0	1.3	69	0
7	Jun_17_2016	21.93	22.7	23.59	23.43	23.45	23.63	23.69(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	5	63	11.3	56%	0.09	50.9	2.57%	0	0.9	71	0
8	Jun_16_2016	21.91	22.55	23.54	23.39	23.4	23.49	23.44(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	30	1	73	9.09	59%	0.14	45.9	2.6%	0	0.8	64	0
9	Jun_15_2016	21.88	22.41	23.42	23.47	23.43	23.28	23.71(3.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-50	-6	79	9.91	57%	0.14	40.7	2.66%	0	1.1	67	0
10	Jun_14_2016	21.85	22.31	23.26	23.62	23.52	23.31	22.84(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-80	-12	99	7.9	55%	0.05	46.8	2.66%	0	0.5	69	0

11	Jun_13_2016	21.84	22.25	23.2	23.74	23.81	23.57	23.47(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-60	-4	121	5.15	57%	0.14	53	2.65%	0	1	70	0
12	Jun_10_2016	21.81	22.15	22.99	23.77	23.79	23.73	23.47(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	30	-20	-4	131	6.67	57%	0.09	50.1	2.67%	0	1.2	72	0
13	Jun_9_2016	21.79	22.04	22.83	23.71	23.75	24.05	23.87(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	90	18	150	7.82	57%	0.18	45.6	2.68%	0	1.6	76	0
14	Jun_8_2016	21.75	21.93	22.61	23.35	23.48	23.84	24.43(4.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	60	120	30	149	8.3	57%	0.18	35.7	2.68%	0	2.5	82	0
15	Jun_7_2016	21.71	21.78	22.24	22.86	22.89	23.45	23.47(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	180	21	111	9.45	54%	0.14	18.1	2.66%	0	2	61	0

16	Jun_6_2016	21.68	21.65	22	22.57	22.47	23.12	23.61(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	50	190	35	96	10.06	54%	0.18	-12.4	2.68%	0	2.6	63	0
17	Jun_3_2016	21.64	21.59	21.71	22.11	22.09	22.33	23.15(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31	70	22	59	11.04	54%	0.09	-46.8	2.69%	0	2.4	62	0
18	Jun_2_2016	21.62	21.54	21.46	21.83	21.76	21.83	22.08(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	10	2	30	6.36	51%	0.05	-77	2.65%	0	0.9	56	0
19	Jun_1_2016	21.61	21.57	21.3	21.75	21.78	21.85	21.98(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	30	13	16	7.44	51%	0.05	-81.8	2.67%	0	0.6	50	0
20	May_31_2016	21.6	21.63	21.27	21.51	21.65	21.68	22.03(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	30	8	2	8.57	51%	0.05	-76.9	2.7%	0	0.5	52	0

21	May_27_2016	21.59	21.74	21.22	21.34	21.42	21.7	21.29(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	5	100	7	-3	6.26	48%	-0.05	-47.7	2.68%	0	-0.4	54	0
22	May_26_2016	21.6	21.9	21.23	21.24	21.29	21.61	21.77(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	110	19	-16	7.26	48%	0	-41.8	2.69%	0	-0.1	42	0
23	May_25_2016	21.6	22.01	21.19	21.03	21.02	21.14	21.68(4.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	40	14	-41	13.38	48%	0	-41.9	2.72%	0	-0.3	44	0
24	May_24_2016	21.6	22.11	21.2	20.8	20.81	20.96	20.8(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	50	-6	-72	6.19	44%	-0.05	-45.6	2.68%	0	-1	35	0
25	May_23_2016	21.61	22.22	21.29	21	20.82	20.9	21.16(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	0	-1	-74	5.69	44%		-45.6	2.7%	0	-0.8	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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