Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $23.4700 (-0.59%) ($23.3200 - $23.7500) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.66% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $23.4700(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(70%)    IWM(68%)    IWD(67%)    IVE(66%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-18%)    IPO(-5%)    IBUY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.33% (StdDev 2.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.86(2.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.24(5.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.78(7.76%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 3.81% (three month std-dev: 2.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.16%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.67%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.14%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2016	21.71	21.78	22.24	22.86	22.89	23.45	23.47(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	180	21	111	9.45	54%	0.14	18.1	2.66%	0	2	61	INF
2	Jun_6_2016	21.68	21.65	22	22.57	22.47	23.12	23.61(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	50	190	35	96	10.06	54%	0.18	-12.4	2.68%	0	2.6	63	INF
3	Jun_3_2016	21.64	21.59	21.71	22.11	22.09	22.33	23.15(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31	70	22	59	11.04	54%	0.09	-46.8	2.69%	0	2.4	62	INF
4	Jun_2_2016	21.62	21.54	21.46	21.83	21.76	21.83	22.08(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	10	2	30	6.36	51%	0.05	-77	2.65%	0	0.9	56	INF
5	Jun_1_2016	21.61	21.57	21.3	21.75	21.78	21.85	21.98(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	30	13	16	7.44	51%	0.05	-81.8	2.67%	0	0.6	50	INF

6	May_31_2016	21.6	21.63	21.27	21.51	21.65	21.68	22.03(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	30	8	2	8.57	51%	0.05	-76.9	2.7%	0	0.5	52	INF
7	May_27_2016	21.59	21.74	21.22	21.34	21.42	21.7	21.29(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	5	100	7	-3	6.26	48%	-0.05	-47.7	2.68%	0	-0.4	54	INF
8	May_26_2016	21.6	21.9	21.23	21.24	21.29	21.61	21.77(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	110	19	-16	7.26	48%	0	-41.8	2.69%	0	-0.1	42	INF
9	May_25_2016	21.6	22.01	21.19	21.03	21.02	21.14	21.68(4.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	40	14	-41	13.38	48%	0	-41.9	2.72%	0	-0.3	44	INF
10	May_24_2016	21.6	22.11	21.2	20.8	20.81	20.96	20.8(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	50	-6	-72	6.19	44%	-0.05	-45.6	2.68%	0	-1	35	INF

11	May_23_2016	21.61	22.22	21.29	21	20.82	20.9	21.16(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	0	-1	-74	5.69	44%	-0.05	-45.6	2.7%	0	-0.8	34	INF
12	May_20_2016	21.62	22.3	21.27	21.1	21.03	20.66	20.78(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-130	-8	-105	7.7	44%	-0.09	-45.3	2.71%	0	-1.2	25	INF
13	May_19_2016	21.64	22.42	21.46	21.22	21.26	20.73	20.74(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-170	-20	-119	11.68	44%	-0.09	-42.1	2.74%	0	-1.4	25	INF
14	May_18_2016	21.66	22.56	21.64	21.36	21.52	21.39	20.5(-6.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-20	-19	-126	13.43	44%	-0.09	-37.2	2.77%	0	-1.8	26	INF
15	May_17_2016	21.68	22.71	21.88	21.64	21.71	21.79	21.83(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	40	3	-117	12.04	49%	0	-28.5	2.64%	0	-0.8	36	INF

16	May_16_2016	21.68	22.81	22.02	21.61	21.74	21.65	21.63(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10	6	-116	9.45	49%	0	-21.9	2.66%	0	-1.1	42	INF
17	May_13_2016	21.68	22.88	22.3	21.48	21.63	21.62	21.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	20	-13	-113	14.25	49%	-0.05	-20.4	2.69%	0	-1.5	45	INF
18	May_12_2016	21.69	22.94	22.61	21.75	21.64	21.83	21.41(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	50	-7	-85	11.28	49%	0	-5	2.72%	0	-1.6	41	INF
19	May_11_2016	21.69	22.99	22.89	21.97	21.88	21.64	21.92(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-90	-6	-66	7.86	49%	0	12.9	2.73%	0	-1.2	43	INF
20	May_10_2016	21.69	23.02	23.08	22.16	22.13	21.45	21.67(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-220	-27	-62	12.4	49%	0	28.8	2.76%	0	-1.5	40	INF

21	May_9_2016	21.69	23.04	23.24	22.5	22.55	22.11	20.98(-7.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-46	-130	-42	-58	24.55	46%	-0.09	47.3	2.75%	0	-2.2	33	INF
22	May_6_2016	21.71	23.08	23.43	23.23	23.11	22.82	22.76(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-100	-22	-16	10.03	55%	0.14	74.4	2.45%	0	-0.3	52	INF
23	May_5_2016	21.68	22.99	23.48	23.6	23.6	22.99	22.54(-1.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-16	-180	-25	11	13.41	55%	0.14	71.9	2.49%	0	-0.4	54	INF
24	May_4_2016	21.65	22.87	23.57	23.94	24.02	23.4	22.84(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-170	-27	41	9.78	55%	0.14	72	2.5%	0	-0	58	INF
25	May_3_2016	21.62	22.76	23.64	24.14	24.33	24.21	23.38(-5.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10	-5	74	10.61	55%		69.4	2.49%	0	0.4	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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