Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $21.7700 (0.42%) ($21.5300 - $22.3200) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $21.7700(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(70%)    IWM(68%)    IWD(67%)    IWC(66%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-18%)    IPO(-5%)    IBUY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $21.9
5 Day Moving Average   $21.24(2.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.23(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.9(-0.59%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 5.62% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	21.6	21.9	21.23	21.24	21.29	21.61	21.77(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	110	19	-16	7.26	48%	0	-41.8	2.69%	0	-0.1	42	0
2	May_25_2016	21.6	22.01	21.19	21.03	21.02	21.14	21.68(4.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	40	14	-41	13.38	48%	0	-41.9	2.72%	0	-0.3	44	0
3	May_24_2016	21.6	22.11	21.2	20.8	20.81	20.96	20.8(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	50	-6	-72	6.19	44%	-0.05	-45.6	2.68%	0	-1	35	0
4	May_23_2016	21.61	22.22	21.29	21	20.82	20.9	21.16(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	0	-1	-74	5.69	44%	-0.05	-45.6	2.7%	0	-0.8	34	0
5	May_20_2016	21.62	22.3	21.27	21.1	21.03	20.66	20.78(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-130	-8	-105	7.7	44%	-0.09	-45.3	2.71%	0	-1.2	25	0

6	May_19_2016	21.64	22.42	21.46	21.22	21.26	20.73	20.74(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-170	-20	-119	11.68	44%	-0.09	-42.1	2.74%	0	-1.4	25	0
7	May_18_2016	21.66	22.56	21.64	21.36	21.52	21.39	20.5(-6.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-20	-19	-126	13.43	44%	-0.09	-37.2	2.77%	0	-1.8	26	0
8	May_17_2016	21.68	22.71	21.88	21.64	21.71	21.79	21.83(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	40	3	-117	12.04	49%	0	-28.5	2.64%	0	-0.8	36	0
9	May_16_2016	21.68	22.81	22.02	21.61	21.74	21.65	21.63(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10	6	-116	9.45	49%	0	-21.9	2.66%	0	-1.1	42	0
10	May_13_2016	21.68	22.88	22.3	21.48	21.63	21.62	21.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	20	-13	-113	14.25	49%	-0.05	-20.4	2.69%	0	-1.5	45	0

11	May_12_2016	21.69	22.94	22.61	21.75	21.64	21.83	21.41(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	50	-7	-85	11.28	49%	0	-5	2.72%	0	-1.6	41	0
12	May_11_2016	21.69	22.99	22.89	21.97	21.88	21.64	21.92(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-90	-6	-66	7.86	49%	0	12.9	2.73%	0	-1.2	43	0
13	May_10_2016	21.69	23.02	23.08	22.16	22.13	21.45	21.67(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-220	-27	-62	12.4	49%	0	28.8	2.76%	0	-1.5	40	0
14	May_9_2016	21.69	23.04	23.24	22.5	22.55	22.11	20.98(-7.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-46	-130	-42	-58	24.55	46%	-0.09	47.3	2.75%	0	-2.2	33	0
15	May_6_2016	21.71	23.08	23.43	23.23	23.11	22.82	22.76(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-100	-22	-16	10.03	55%	0.14	74.4	2.45%	0	-0.3	52	0

16	May_5_2016	21.68	22.99	23.48	23.6	23.6	22.99	22.54(-1.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-16	-180	-25	11	13.41	55%	0.14	71.9	2.49%	0	-0.4	54	0
17	May_4_2016	21.65	22.87	23.57	23.94	24.02	23.4	22.84(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-170	-27	41	9.78	55%	0.14	72	2.5%	0	-0	58	0
18	May_3_2016	21.62	22.76	23.64	24.14	24.33	24.21	23.38(-5.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10	-5	74	10.61	55%	0.23	69.4	2.49%	0	0.4	62	0
19	May_2_2016	21.57	22.6	23.69	24.06	24.23	24.63	24.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	46	140	25	109	7.98	64%	0.42	63.3	2.34%	0	1.4	76	0
20	Apr_29_2016	21.48	22.37	23.5	23.65	23.74	24.46	24.62(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	220	30	100	11.93	64%	0.42	56.9	2.37%	0	1.6	78	0

21	Apr_28_2016	21.39	22.17	23.28	23.36	23.28	23.83	24.24(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	160	26	101	11.8	64%	0.42	55.3	2.4%	0	1.5	81	0
22	Apr_27_2016	21.3	21.98	23.07	23.18	23.04	23.02	23.82(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-20	8	108	13.82	64%	0.38	57.9	2.43%	0	1.4	83	0
23	Apr_26_2016	21.22	21.82	22.92	23.1	23.08	22.74	23.02(2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-110	-15	119	9.1	60%	0.28	58.6	2.42%	0	0.9	75	0
24	Apr_25_2016	21.16	21.7	22.81	23.26	23.33	23.06	22.56(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	30	-70	-11	152	8.81	60%	0.24	61.9	2.44%	0	0.7	74	0
25	Apr_22_2016	21.11	21.58	22.71	23.3	23.51	23.43	23.17(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	0	4	184	10.2	66%		60.4	2.41%	0	1.2	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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