Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. May. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $20.7800 (0.19%) ($20.6300 - $21.0900) on Sun. May. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.71% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $20.7800(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.355% (StdDev 2.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $10.72(-48.41%)
Resistance Level   $22.3
5 Day Moving Average   $21.1(-1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.27(-2.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.3(-6.82%)
To recent high   -15.6%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 5.56% (three month std-dev: 2.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(57%) Average negative next day return: -3.6%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.98%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1.31%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.88%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.85%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2016	21.62	22.3	21.27	21.1	21.03	20.66	20.78(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-130	-8	-105	7.7	44%	-0.09	-45.3	2.71%	0	-1.2	25	INF
2	May_19_2016	21.64	22.42	21.46	21.22	21.26	20.73	20.74(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-170	-20	-119	11.68	44%	-0.09	-42.1	2.74%	0	-1.4	25	INF
3	May_18_2016	21.66	22.56	21.64	21.36	21.52	21.39	20.5(-6.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-20	-19	-126	13.43	44%	-0.09	-37.2	2.77%	0	-1.8	26	INF
4	May_17_2016	21.68	22.71	21.88	21.64	21.71	21.79	21.83(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	40	3	-117	12.04	49%	0	-28.5	2.64%	0	-0.8	36	INF
5	May_16_2016	21.68	22.81	22.02	21.61	21.74	21.65	21.63(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10	6	-116	9.45	49%	0	-21.9	2.66%	0	-1.1	42	INF

6	May_13_2016	21.68	22.88	22.3	21.48	21.63	21.62	21.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	20	-13	-113	14.25	49%	-0.05	-20.4	2.69%	0	-1.5	45	INF
7	May_12_2016	21.69	22.94	22.61	21.75	21.64	21.83	21.41(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	50	-7	-85	11.28	49%	0	-5	2.72%	0	-1.6	41	INF
8	May_11_2016	21.69	22.99	22.89	21.97	21.88	21.64	21.92(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-90	-6	-66	7.86	49%	0	12.9	2.73%	0	-1.2	43	INF
9	May_10_2016	21.69	23.02	23.08	22.16	22.13	21.45	21.67(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-220	-27	-62	12.4	49%	0	28.8	2.76%	0	-1.5	40	INF
10	May_9_2016	21.69	23.04	23.24	22.5	22.55	22.11	20.98(-7.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-46	-130	-42	-58	24.55	46%	-0.09	47.3	2.75%	0	-2.2	33	INF

11	May_6_2016	21.71	23.08	23.43	23.23	23.11	22.82	22.76(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-100	-22	-16	10.03	55%	0.14	74.4	2.45%	0	-0.3	52	INF
12	May_5_2016	21.68	22.99	23.48	23.6	23.6	22.99	22.54(-1.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-16	-180	-25	11	13.41	55%	0.14	71.9	2.49%	0	-0.4	54	INF
13	May_4_2016	21.65	22.87	23.57	23.94	24.02	23.4	22.84(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-170	-27	41	9.78	55%	0.14	72	2.5%	0	-0	58	INF
14	May_3_2016	21.62	22.76	23.64	24.14	24.33	24.21	23.38(-5.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10	-5	74	10.61	55%	0.23	69.4	2.49%	0	0.4	62	INF
15	May_2_2016	21.57	22.6	23.69	24.06	24.23	24.63	24.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	46	140	25	109	7.98	64%	0.42	63.3	2.34%	0	1.4	76	INF

16	Apr_29_2016	21.48	22.37	23.5	23.65	23.74	24.46	24.62(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	220	30	100	11.93	64%	0.42	56.9	2.37%	0	1.6	78	INF
17	Apr_28_2016	21.39	22.17	23.28	23.36	23.28	23.83	24.24(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	160	26	101	11.8	64%	0.42	55.3	2.4%	0	1.5	81	INF
18	Apr_27_2016	21.3	21.98	23.07	23.18	23.04	23.02	23.82(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-20	8	108	13.82	64%	0.38	57.9	2.43%	0	1.4	83	INF
19	Apr_26_2016	21.22	21.82	22.92	23.1	23.08	22.74	23.02(2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-110	-15	119	9.1	60%	0.28	58.6	2.42%	0	0.9	75	INF
20	Apr_25_2016	21.16	21.7	22.81	23.26	23.33	23.06	22.56(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	30	-70	-11	152	8.81	60%	0.24	61.9	2.44%	0	0.7	74	INF

21	Apr_22_2016	21.11	21.58	22.71	23.3	23.51	23.43	23.17(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	0	4	184	10.2	66%	0.38	60.4	2.41%	0	1.2	82	INF
22	Apr_21_2016	21.03	21.42	22.46	23.16	23.32	23.43	23.33(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	100	12	181	9.16	66%	0.38	56.3	2.44%	0	1.5	74	INF
23	Apr_20_2016	20.95	21.24	22.13	22.93	22.99	23.6	23.43(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	190	24	167	8.72	66%	0.48	50.9	2.48%	0	1.8	76	INF
24	Apr_19_2016	20.85	21.1	21.81	22.7	22.62	23.03	23.79(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	120	31	154	7.71	66%	0.53	58.7	2.48%	0	2.4	74	INF
25	Apr_18_2016	20.74	20.94	21.44	22.31	22.32	22.37	22.79(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	20	17	123	5.24	59%		66.2	2.42%	0	2	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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