Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $22.5400 (-1.31%) ($22.4400 - $23.4392) on Thu. May. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.49% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $22.5400(-1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(69%)    IWM(67%)    IWC(66%)    IWD(66%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-18%)    IPO(-4%)    IBUY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.245% (StdDev 2.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

Resistance Level   $22.99
5 Day Moving Average   $23.6(-4.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.48(-4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.99(-1.96%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 5.13% (three month std-dev: 2.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.37%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.17%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2016	21.68	22.99	23.48	23.6	23.6	22.99	22.54(-1.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-16	-180	-25	11	13.41	55%	0.14	71.9	2.49%	0	-0.4	54	INF
2	May_4_2016	21.65	22.87	23.57	23.94	24.02	23.4	22.84(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-170	-27	41	9.78	55%	0.14	72	2.5%	0	-0	58	INF
3	May_3_2016	21.62	22.76	23.64	24.14	24.33	24.21	23.38(-5.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10	-5	74	10.61	55%	0.23	69.4	2.49%	0	0.4	62	INF
4	May_2_2016	21.57	22.6	23.69	24.06	24.23	24.63	24.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	46	140	25	109	7.98	64%	0.42	63.3	2.34%	0	1.4	76	INF
5	Apr_29_2016	21.48	22.37	23.5	23.65	23.74	24.46	24.62(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	220	30	100	11.93	64%	0.42	56.9	2.37%	0	1.6	78	INF

6	Apr_28_2016	21.39	22.17	23.28	23.36	23.28	23.83	24.24(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	160	26	101	11.8	64%	0.42	55.3	2.4%	0	1.5	81	INF
7	Apr_27_2016	21.3	21.98	23.07	23.18	23.04	23.02	23.82(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-20	8	108	13.82	64%	0.38	57.9	2.43%	0	1.4	83	INF
8	Apr_26_2016	21.22	21.82	22.92	23.1	23.08	22.74	23.02(2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-110	-15	119	9.1	60%	0.28	58.6	2.42%	0	0.9	75	INF
9	Apr_25_2016	21.16	21.7	22.81	23.26	23.33	23.06	22.56(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	30	-70	-11	152	8.81	60%	0.24	61.9	2.44%	0	0.7	74	INF
10	Apr_22_2016	21.11	21.58	22.71	23.3	23.51	23.43	23.17(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	0	4	184	10.2	66%	0.38	60.4	2.41%	0	1.2	82	INF

11	Apr_21_2016	21.03	21.42	22.46	23.16	23.32	23.43	23.33(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	100	12	181	9.16	66%	0.38	56.3	2.44%	0	1.5	74	INF
12	Apr_20_2016	20.95	21.24	22.13	22.93	22.99	23.6	23.43(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	190	24	167	8.72	66%	0.48	50.9	2.48%	0	1.8	76	INF
13	Apr_19_2016	20.85	21.1	21.81	22.7	22.62	23.03	23.79(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	120	31	154	7.71	66%	0.53	58.7	2.48%	0	2.4	74	INF
14	Apr_18_2016	20.74	20.94	21.44	22.31	22.32	22.37	22.79(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	20	17	123	5.24	59%	0.44	66.2	2.42%	0	2	70	INF
15	Apr_15_2016	20.65	20.83	21.16	22.03	22.09	22.21	22.46(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	50	16	104	5.84	59%	0.39	0	2.47%	0	2	73	INF

16	Apr_14_2016	20.57	20.74	20.96	21.65	21.82	22.27	22.19(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	170	29	89	5.42	59%	0.34	0	2.52%	0	2	71	INF
17	Apr_13_2016	20.5	20.63	20.78	21.19	21.35	21.96	22.26(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	42	220	33	70	8.57	59%	0.44	0	2.57%	0	2.5	76	INF
18	Apr_12_2016	20.41	20.47	20.61	20.78	20.79	21.37	21.83(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	32	200	29	41	7.09	59%	0.34	0	2.62%	0	2.3	56	INF
19	Apr_11_2016	20.34	20.35	20.48	20.45	20.4	20.73	21.41(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	21	110	23	16	7.17	59%	0.25	0	2.67%	0	2	53	INF
20	Apr_8_2016	20.29	20.35	20.34	20.45	20.4	20.2	20.57(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	20	3	1	5.57	49%	0.1	0	2.6%	0	42	46	INF

21	Apr_7_2016	20.27	20.35	20.3	20.17	20.14	20.2	19.89(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-30	-5	-2	8.36	37%	-0.1	0	2.56%	0	39.8	41	INF
22	Apr_6_2016	20.29	20.35	20.28	20.29	20.18	20.07	20.22(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-50	-9	-4	4.67	37%	-0.05	0	2.6%	0	40.4	53	INF
23	Apr_5_2016	20.3	20.35	20.34	20.4	20.33	20.21	20.15(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-50	-7	-3	6.85	37%	-0.05	0	2.68%	0	38.8	63	INF
24	Apr_4_2016	20.31	20.35	20.42	20.5	20.49	20.29	20.03(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-70	-3	-1	7.04	37%	-0.1	0	2.77%	0	37.1	56	INF
25	Apr_1_2016	20.33	20.35	20.5	20.52	20.46	20.44	20.58(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-20	-1	-0	8.87	37%		0	2.76%	0	37.4	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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