Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $23.1700 (-0.69%) ($23.0000 - $23.8800) on Fri. Apr. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $23.1700(-0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(69%)    IWM(67%)    IWD(66%)    IVE(65%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-18%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.3(-0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.71(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.58(7.37%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   21.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 5.93% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.62%(45%) Average negative next day return: -2.27%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 4.82%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -4.32%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 4.89%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.63%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2016	21.11	21.58	22.71	23.3	23.51	23.43	23.17(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	0	4	184	10.2	66%	0.38	60.4	2.41%	0	1.2	82	0
2	Apr_21_2016	21.03	21.42	22.46	23.16	23.32	23.43	23.33(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	100	12	181	9.16	66%	0.38	56.3	2.44%	0	1.5	74	0
3	Apr_20_2016	20.95	21.24	22.13	22.93	22.99	23.6	23.43(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	190	24	167	8.72	66%	0.48	50.9	2.48%	0	1.8	76	0
4	Apr_19_2016	20.85	21.1	21.81	22.7	22.62	23.03	23.79(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	120	31	154	7.71	66%	0.53	58.7	2.48%	0	2.4	74	0
5	Apr_18_2016	20.74	20.94	21.44	22.31	22.32	22.37	22.79(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	20	17	123	5.24	59%	0.44	66.2	2.42%	0	2	70	0

6	Apr_15_2016	20.65	20.83	21.16	22.03	22.09	22.21	22.46(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	50	16	104	5.84	59%	0.39	0	2.47%	0	2	73	0
7	Apr_14_2016	20.57	20.74	20.96	21.65	21.82	22.27	22.19(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	170	29	89	5.42	59%	0.34	0	2.52%	0	2	71	0
8	Apr_13_2016	20.5	20.63	20.78	21.19	21.35	21.96	22.26(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	42	220	33	70	8.57	59%	0.44	0	2.57%	0	2.5	76	0
9	Apr_12_2016	20.41	20.47	20.61	20.78	20.79	21.37	21.83(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	32	200	29	41	7.09	59%	0.34	0	2.62%	0	2.3	56	0
10	Apr_11_2016	20.34	20.35	20.48	20.45	20.4	20.73	21.41(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	21	110	23	16	7.17	59%	0.25	0	2.67%	0	2	53	0

11	Apr_8_2016	20.29	20.35	20.34	20.45	20.4	20.2	20.57(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	20	3	1	5.57	49%	0.1	0	2.6%	0	42	46	0
12	Apr_7_2016	20.27	20.35	20.3	20.17	20.14	20.2	19.89(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-30	-5	-2	8.36	37%	-0.1	0	2.56%	0	39.8	41	0
13	Apr_6_2016	20.29	20.35	20.28	20.29	20.18	20.07	20.22(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-50	-9	-4	4.67	37%	-0.05	0	2.6%	0	40.4	53	0
14	Apr_5_2016	20.3	20.35	20.34	20.4	20.33	20.21	20.15(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-50	-7	-3	6.85	37%	-0.05	0	2.68%	0	38.8	63	0
15	Apr_4_2016	20.31	20.35	20.42	20.5	20.49	20.29	20.03(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-70	-3	-1	7.04	37%	-0.1	0	2.77%	0	37.1	56	0

16	Apr_1_2016	20.33	20.35	20.5	20.52	20.46	20.44	20.58(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-20	-1	-0	8.87	37%	0.1	0	2.76%	0	37.4	50	0
17	Mar_31_2016	20.31	20.35	20.52	20.43	20.43	20.69	20.46(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	90	12	5	5.57	37%	0.05	0	2.87%	0	35.9	50	0
18	Mar_30_2016	20.3	20.35	20.48	20.26	20.19	20.48	20.78(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	90	6	2	7.71	37%	0.25	0	2.94%	0	35.2	50	0
19	Mar_29_2016	20.25	20.35	20.32	20.29	20.03	20.16	20.65(2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	10	1	0	6.91	37%	0.2	0	3.08%	0	35	50	0
20	Mar_28_2016	20.21	20.35	20.22	20.34	20.17	19.91	20.14(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-120	-6	-2	3.74	37%	-0.05	0	3.17%	0	33	50	0

21	Mar_24_2016	20.22	20.35	20.22	20.49	20.35	19.89	20.13(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-180	-14	-6	7.69	37%	-0.05	0	3.36%	0	31.5	50	0
22	Mar_23_2016	20.23	20.35	20.22	20.61	20.67	20.43	19.62(-6.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8	-70	-9	-4	9.86	37%	-0.44	0	3.48%	0	28.9	50	0
23	Mar_22_2016	20.32	20.35	20.22	20.71	20.77	20.81	20.91(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	20	16	6	5.37	65%	0.49	0	2.57%	0	30.8	50	0
24	Mar_21_2016	20.22	20.35	20.22	20.34	20.45	20.9	20.89(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	170	17	7	5.31	65%	0.65	0	2.77%	0	30.3	50	0
25	Mar_18_2016	20.09	20.35	20.22	20.09	20.02	20.73	20.91(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	162	240	191	76	8.83	65%		0	3%	0	30.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.