Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $23.3300 (-0.43%) ($23.1320 - $23.8600) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.44% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $23.3300(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(72%)    IWN(69%)    IWM(67%)    IWD(66%)    IVE(65%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-18%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.16(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.46(3.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.42(8.92%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 5.88% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	21.03	21.42	22.46	23.16	23.32		23.33(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	100	12	181	9.16	66%	0.38	56.3	2.44%	0	1.5	74	INF
2	Apr_20_2016	20.95	21.24	22.13	22.93	22.99	23.6	23.43(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	190	24	167	8.72	66%	0.48	50.9	2.48%	0	1.8	76	INF
3	Apr_19_2016	20.85	21.1	21.81	22.7	22.62	23.03	23.79(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	62	120	31	154	7.71	66%	0.53	58.7	2.48%	0	2.4	74	INF
4	Apr_18_2016	20.74	20.94	21.44	22.31	22.32	22.37	22.79(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	20	17	123	5.24	59%	0.44	66.2	2.42%	0	2	70	INF
5	Apr_15_2016	20.65	20.83	21.16	22.03	22.09	22.21	22.46(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	50	16	104	5.84	59%	0.39	0	2.47%	0	2	73	INF

6	Apr_14_2016	20.57	20.74	20.96	21.65	21.82	22.27	22.19(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	170	29	89	5.42	59%	0.34	0	2.52%	0	2	71	INF
7	Apr_13_2016	20.5	20.63	20.78	21.19	21.35	21.96	22.26(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	42	220	33	70	8.57	59%	0.44	0	2.57%	0	2.5	76	INF
8	Apr_12_2016	20.41	20.47	20.61	20.78	20.79	21.37	21.83(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	32	200	29	41	7.09	59%	0.34	0	2.62%	0	2.3	56	INF
9	Apr_11_2016	20.34	20.35	20.48	20.45	20.4	20.73	21.41(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	21	110	23	16	7.17	59%	0.25	0	2.67%	0	2	53	INF
10	Apr_8_2016	20.29	20.35	20.34	20.45	20.4	20.2	20.57(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	20	3	1	5.57	49%	0.1	0	2.6%	0	42	46	INF

11	Apr_7_2016	20.27	20.35	20.3	20.17	20.14	20.2	19.89(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-30	-5	-2	8.36	37%	-0.1	0	2.56%	0	39.8	41	INF
12	Apr_6_2016	20.29	20.35	20.28	20.29	20.18	20.07	20.22(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-50	-9	-4	4.67	37%	-0.05	0	2.6%	0	40.4	53	INF
13	Apr_5_2016	20.3	20.35	20.34	20.4	20.33	20.21	20.15(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-50	-7	-3	6.85	37%	-0.05	0	2.68%	0	38.8	63	INF
14	Apr_4_2016	20.31	20.35	20.42	20.5	20.49	20.29	20.03(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-70	-3	-1	7.04	37%	-0.1	0	2.77%	0	37.1	56	INF
15	Apr_1_2016	20.33	20.35	20.5	20.52	20.46	20.44	20.58(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-20	-1	-0	8.87	37%	0.1	0	2.76%	0	37.4	50	INF

16	Mar_31_2016	20.31	20.35	20.52	20.43	20.43	20.69	20.46(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	90	12	5	5.57	37%	0.05	0	2.87%	0	35.9	50	INF
17	Mar_30_2016	20.3	20.35	20.48	20.26	20.19	20.48	20.78(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	90	6	2	7.71	37%	0.25	0	2.94%	0	35.2	50	INF
18	Mar_29_2016	20.25	20.35	20.32	20.29	20.03	20.16	20.65(2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	10	1	0	6.91	37%	0.2	0	3.08%	0	35	50	INF
19	Mar_28_2016	20.21	20.35	20.22	20.34	20.17	19.91	20.14(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-120	-6	-2	3.74	37%	-0.05	0	3.17%	0	33	50	INF
20	Mar_24_2016	20.22	20.35	20.22	20.49	20.35	19.89	20.13(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-180	-14	-6	7.69	37%	-0.05	0	3.36%	0	31.5	50	INF

21	Mar_23_2016	20.23	20.35	20.22	20.61	20.67	20.43	19.62(-6.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8	-70	-9	-4	9.86	37%	-0.44	0	3.48%	0	28.9	50	INF
22	Mar_22_2016	20.32	20.35	20.22	20.71	20.77	20.81	20.91(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	20	16	6	5.37	65%	0.49	0	2.57%	0	30.8	50	INF
23	Mar_21_2016	20.22	20.35	20.22	20.34	20.45	20.9	20.89(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	170	17	7	5.31	65%	0.65	0	2.77%	0	30.3	50	INF
24	Mar_18_2016	20.09	20.35	20.22	20.09	20.02	20.73	20.91(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	162	240	191	76	8.83	65%	1.06	0	3%	0	30.8	50	INF
25	Mar_17_2016	19.88	20.35	20.22	15.91	19.65	19.99	20.73(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	7.9	175	830	206	82	14.26	65%		0	3.43%	0	34	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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