Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 30, 2018

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $108.1600 (-0.5%) ($107.5400 - $108.5800) on Tue. Jan. 30, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $108.1600(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(90%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.39(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.23(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.88(3.13%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.74% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2018	95.66	104.88	107.23	108.39			108.16(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	68	-10000	3	262	5.28	81%	0.2	83.6	0.54%	0	1.1	82	-1.9
2	Jan_29_2018	95.47	104.42	106.86	108.29			108.7(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	-10000	14	297	6.36	81%	0.22	84.1	0.53%	0	1.5	86	-2.1
3	Jan_26_2018	95.26	103.95	106.49	107.9			109(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	93	-10000	23	301	3.92	82%	0.21	79.4	0.56%	0	1.7	88	136.8
4	Jan_25_2018	95.06	103.44	105.95	107.22			107.94(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	-10000	22	298	5.07	81%	0.19	76.1	0.55%	0	1.6	88	137.4
5	Jan_24_2018	94.88	103	105.37	106.57			108.13(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	88	-10000	23	281	6.46	81%	0.2	71.3	0.55%	0	1.8	90	-1.4

6	Jan_23_2018	94.69	102.53	104.77	105.9			107.67(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	85	-10000	24	267	4.15	79%	0.14	71.2	0.55%	0	1.9	90	0.1
7	Jan_22_2018	94.56	102.09	104.18	105.22			106.77(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	-10000	11	254	7.75	78%	0.19	72.5	0.56%	0	1.9	92	0.9
8	Jan_19_2018	94.38	101.67	103.67	104.88			105.6(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	-10000	13	270	3.76	76%	0.17	76.1	0.55%	0	1.7	84	1
9	Jan_18_2018	94.22	101.32	103.21	104.49			104.69(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	-10000	19	281	3.29	75%	0.17	78.6	0.54%	0	1.5	83	0
10	Jan_17_2018	94.06	101.02	102.81	103.96			104.78(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	-10000	19	264	6.66	75%	0.18	76.8	0.55%	0	1.8	82	0

11	Jan_16_2018	93.89	100.67	102.35	103.43			104.28(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	-10000	17	249	9.25	75%	0.23	76.9	0.55%	0	1.8	81	0
12	Jan_12_2018	93.67	100.34	101.81	102.95			105.03(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	76	-10000	24	231	4.04	75%	0.18	77.7	0.53%	0	2.5	85	0
13	Jan_11_2018	93.5	99.96	101.21	102.3			103.69(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	66	-10000	20	205	3.62	74%	0.17	82.7	0.52%	0	2.3	85	0
14	Jan_10_2018	93.34	99.64	100.73	101.76			102.03(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	-10000	11	184	2.84	71%	0.14	83.6	0.49%	0	1.6	78	0
15	Jan_9_2018	93.21	99.41	100.45	101.48			102.1(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	-10000	16	175	3.16	71%	0.15	81	0.49%	0	1.9	77	0

16	Jan_8_2018	93.07	99.16	100.13	101.1			101.9(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	61	-10000	26	165	2.67	71%	0.15	81.2	0.5%	0	2.1	80	0
17	Jan_5_2018	92.93	98.9	99.84	100.46			101.78(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	49	-10000	20	136	4.29	72%	0.14	74.8	0.5%	0	2.4	80	0
18	Jan_4_2018	92.8	98.63	99.51	99.96			100.98(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	41	-10000	16	117	3.46	70%	0.12	70.8	0.49%	0	2.1	79	0
19	Jan_3_2018	92.69	98.43	99.27	99.56			100.65(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	35	-10000	12	104	5.32	70%	0.13	71.3	0.49%	0	2.1	78	0
20	Jan_2_2018	92.57	98.28	99.08	99.27			100.19(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	10	101	4.9	70%	0.13	84.7	0.49%	0	2	77	0

21	Dec_29_2017	92.45	98.1	98.85	99.03			98.69(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-4	95	2.63	67%	0.11	95.6	0.46%	0	0.7	71	0
22	Dec_28_2017	92.35	98	98.78	99.12			99.27(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	6	121	4.2	70%	0.1	106.3	0.46%	0	1.4	83	0
23	Dec_27_2017	92.26	97.84	98.62	98.98			99(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	-10000	3	124	1.87	70%	0.08	110.3	0.46%	0	1.2	84	0
24	Dec_26_2017	92.19	97.68	98.47	98.92			99.2(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	3	126	1.5	70%	0.11	112.6	0.46%	0	1.5	73	0
25	Dec_22_2017	92.09	97.47	98.3	98.85			98.98(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	9	124	3.22	70%		94.5	0.46%	0	1.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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