Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $81.7300 (0.65%) ($81.2400 - $81.7300) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $81.7300(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.98(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.2(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.1(3.32%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2016	80.09	79.1	80.2	80.98			81.73(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	-10000	14	198	4.76	48%	0.04	34.8	0.72%	0	1.9	82	0
2	Nov_18_2016	80.06	79	79.88	80.58			81.2(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	-10000	10	182	4.29	48%	0.04	36.8	0.72%	0	1.7	72	0
3	Nov_17_2016	80.03	78.9	79.44	80.28			81.45(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	-10000	15	158	5.7	48%	0.05	35.8	0.72%	0	2.1	75	0
4	Nov_16_2016	79.99	78.76	78.99	79.85			80.48(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	-10000	11	124	3.99	45%	0.06	29.3	0.7%	0	1.6	68	0
5	Nov_15_2016	79.94	78.68	78.65	79.55			80.04(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	9	89	6.01	45%	0.06	21.6	0.7%	0	1.4	57	0

6	Nov_14_2016	79.89	78.61	78.39	79.3			79.73(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	59	6.33	45%	0.04	15.3	0.7%	0	1.2	51	0
7	Nov_11_2016	79.86	78.53	78.21	79.06			79.72(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	22	29	6.04	48%	0.01	0	0.7%	0	1.3	43	0
8	Nov_10_2016	79.85	78.48	78.03	78.46			79.27(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	17	-24	16.69	48%	0.01	-23.4	0.71%	0	0.9	45	0
9	Nov_9_2016	79.84	78.46	77.9	77.98			78.98(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	14	-62	11.43	48%	0.01	-44.1	0.71%	0	0.6	49	0
10	Nov_8_2016	79.83	78.46	77.87	77.6			78.82(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-16	-10000	9	-90	5.33	48%	0	-60.9	0.71%	0	0.4	47	0

11	Nov_7_2016	79.83	78.47	77.89	77.35			78.5(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-24	-10000	3	-105	7.14	48%	0	-70.7	0.71%	0	0	48	0
12	Nov_4_2016	79.83	78.53	78.02	77.27			76.73(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-10	-107	8.91	44%	-0.01	-71.7	0.66%	0	-1.9	40	0
13	Nov_3_2016	79.84	78.68	78.31	77.53			76.88(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-11	-84	8.9	44%	-0.03	-69.9	0.66%	0	-2	36	0
14	Nov_2_2016	79.86	78.85	78.53	77.8			77.08(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-14	-70	9.7	41%	0	-64.4	0.66%	0	-2.2	36	0
15	Nov_1_2016	79.86	79	78.75	78.16			77.55(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-12	-48	11.95	41%	-0.01	-58.2	0.68%	0	-2	37	0

16	Oct_31_2016	79.87	79.11	78.88	78.49			78.1(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-16	-31	5.9	43%	0	-50.6	0.67%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	Oct_28_2016	79.87	79.21	78.91	78.9			78.04(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-12	-21	5.01	43%	-0.03	-25.9	0.67%	0	-1.8	37	0
18	Oct_27_2016	79.89	79.31	79.01	79.21			78.22(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-7	-10000	-6	-8	5.34	43%	-0.01	-11	0.67%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	Oct_26_2016	79.9	79.38	79.09	79.36			78.88(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-2	-8	4.33	45%	0	-7.5	0.67%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Oct_25_2016	79.9	79.42	79.13	79.41			79.22(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1	-10000	3	-11	4.63	45%	0	-1.5	0.67%	0	-0.4	42	0

21	Oct_24_2016	79.9	79.44	79.1	79.32			80.16(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	6	-10000	15	-22	3.57	48%	0.01	3	0.65%	0	1.4	52	0
22	Oct_21_2016	79.89	79.44	79.1	78.93			79.59(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-9	-10000	6	-52	4.8	45%	0	-15.6	0.65%	0	0.4	45	0
23	Oct_20_2016	79.89	79.37	79.05	78.79			78.96(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-0	-69	4.91	43%	-0.01	-12.1	0.64%	0	-0.8	38	0
24	Oct_19_2016	79.9	79.42	79.16	78.8			79.11(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	-10000	-1	-63	3.26	43%	0	-4.7	0.64%	0	-0.6	48	0
25	Oct_18_2016	79.9	79.43	79.24	78.83			78.76(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-60	3.95	43%		4.4	0.64%	0	-1.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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