Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $78.5100 (-0.6%) ($78.1700 - $78.5800) on Fri. Sep. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $78.5100(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $76.81(-2.17%)
Resistance Level   $80.29
5 Day Moving Average   $78.77(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.5(-1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.29(-2.22%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2016	79.77	80.29	79.5	78.77			78.51(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	1	-88	5.35	50%	-0.01	-67.1	0.9%	0	-1.5	34	0
2	Sep_15_2016	79.78	80.45	79.72	78.75			78.98(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	-8	-97	5.77	50%	0	-74.1	0.9%	0	-1.3	35	0
3	Sep_14_2016	79.78	80.58	79.88	79.03			78.41(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-15	-96	7.36	50%	-0.03	-69.2	0.89%	0	-2.1	28	0
4	Sep_13_2016	79.8	80.75	80.13	79.56			78.4(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-10000	-15	-82	9.24	50%	-0.01	-59.5	0.89%	0	-2.5	26	0
5	Sep_12_2016	79.81	80.94	80.42	80.09			79.53(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-8	-58	10.88	53%	0	-47	0.88%	0	-1.7	36	0

6	Sep_9_2016	79.81	81.07	80.57	80.36			78.43(-2.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-23	-10000	-13	-53	9.56	48%	-0.01	-37.9	0.87%	0	-3.4	24	0
7	Sep_8_2016	79.82	81.26	80.87	80.81			80.37(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-1	-32	4.46	54%	0.01	-21.7	0.82%	0	-1.8	36	0
8	Sep_7_2016	79.81	81.26	80.97	80.85			81.07(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-30	5.36	56%	0.01	-18.5	0.81%	0	-0.5	42	0
9	Sep_6_2016	79.8	81.31	81.04	80.79			81.03(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-1	-34	6.18	56%	0.01	-16.7	0.81%	0	-0.6	39	0
10	Sep_2_2016	79.79	81.33	81.08	80.83			80.88(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-0	-38	3.35	56%	0.03	-18.9	0.81%	0	-1	30	0

11	Sep_1_2016	79.77	81.36	81.14	80.84			80.72(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-3	-43	5.42	56%	0.01	-18.5	0.81%	0	-1.5	31	0
12	Aug_31_2016	79.76	81.37	81.21	80.93			80.56(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-5	-46	3.5	56%	0.04	-22.2	0.81%	0	-1.8	28	0
13	Aug_30_2016	79.73	81.39	81.31	81.11			80.77(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-6	-36	2.45	56%	0.04	-16.7	0.81%	0	-1.4	47	0
14	Aug_29_2016	79.7	81.38	81.41	81.32			81.22(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-1	-18	4	56%	0.04	-15.1	0.81%	0	-0.4	54	0
15	Aug_26_2016	79.67	81.41	81.49	81.36			80.94(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-3	-11	6.29	56%	0.04	-13.2	0.81%	0	-1.1	47	0

16	Aug_25_2016	79.64	81.45	81.6	81.47			81.17(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-1	3.03	56%	0.03	-5.8	0.81%	0	-0.7	46	0
17	Aug_24_2016	79.62	81.45	81.69	81.53			81.44(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	-0	13	3.23	59%	0.05	2	0.81%	0	-0	60	0
18	Aug_23_2016	79.58	81.46	81.68	81.54			81.83(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	1	18	5.35	59%	0.04	2	0.82%	0	0.9	65	0
19	Aug_22_2016	79.55	81.45	81.61	81.51			81.42(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-4	20	2.89	59%	0.03	4	0.82%	0	-0.1	64	0
20	Aug_19_2016	79.53	81.46	81.6	81.66			81.5(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-3	24	3.72	59%	0.03	20	0.83%	0	0.1	47	0

21	Aug_18_2016	79.51	81.47	81.61	81.76			81.45(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-4	29	4.73	59%	0.04	34	0.83%	0	-0	48	0
22	Aug_17_2016	79.48	81.47	81.54	81.88			81.5(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	9	-10000	2	31	3.42	56%	0.03	42	0.83%	0	0.1	50	0
23	Aug_16_2016	79.46	81.46	81.48	81.82			81.69(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	4	25	2.31	56%	0.05	42.3	0.84%	0	0.5	53	0
24	Aug_15_2016	79.42	81.43	81.37	81.7			82.16(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	5	11	3.07	56%	0.04	30.8	0.84%	0	1.7	54	0
25	Aug_12_2016	79.39	81.38	81.31	81.53			82(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	3	-10000	3	2	2.46	53%		22.9	0.86%	0	1.6	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.