Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $82.0000 (-0.05%) ($81.4200 - $82.2000) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $82.0000(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.53(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.31(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.38(0.76%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.48% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2016	79.39	81.38	81.31	81.53			82(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	3	-10000	3	2	2.46	53%	0.06	22.9	0.86%	0	1.6	51	0
2	Aug_11_2016	79.34	81.33	81.26	81.44			82.04(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	-10000	7	-1	3.69	48%	0.05	22.7	0.86%	0	2	53	0
3	Aug_10_2016	79.3	81.29	81.2	81.18			81.23(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	3	-12	3.39	49%	0.04	31.7	0.89%	0	-0.2	50	0
4	Aug_9_2016	79.27	81.28	81.21	81.08			81.06(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-10000	3	-17	7.36	49%	0.04	52.4	0.9%	0	-0.6	45	0
5	Aug_8_2016	79.24	81.3	81.27	80.98			81.3(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	1	-7	-10000	-2	-21	3.15	49%	0.05	87.8	0.9%	0	0	53	0

6	Aug_5_2016	79.2	81.29	81.31	81.07			81.57(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-3	-10000	-0	-13	3.52	49%	0.04	118.2	0.9%	0	0.8	53	0
7	Aug_4_2016	79.17	81.24	81.3	81.08			80.72(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-10	2.24	46%	0.04	97.1	0.9%	0	-0.9	49	0
8	Aug_3_2016	79.14	81.18	81.37	81.24			80.76(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-3	-3	3.87	46%	0.04	92.2	0.9%	0	-0.6	44	0
9	Aug_2_2016	79.11	81.11	81.44	81.36			80.53(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-6	5	4.25	49%	0.04	88.9	0.91%	0	-0.6	47	0
10	Aug_1_2016	79.08	81.01	81.52	81.36			81.75(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	0	15	2.75	53%	0.05	110	0.9%	0	0.8	54	0

11	Jul_29_2016	79.04	80.87	81.47	81.58			81.62(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	16	4	53%	0.08	115.4	0.91%	0	0.7	58	0
12	Jul_28_2016	78.98	80.7	81.41	81.57			81.53(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	1	20	3.16	50%	0.08	99.3	0.91%	0	0.7	63	0
13	Jul_27_2016	78.92	80.51	81.39	81.52			81.38(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	-0	33	4.3	50%	0.06	83.9	0.92%	0	0.6	73	0
14	Jul_26_2016	78.87	80.27	81.36	81.54			81.63(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	3	51	4.99	50%	0.08	65.2	0.92%	0	0.8	78	0
15	Jul_25_2016	78.81	79.95	81.33	81.44			81.73(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-10000	2	71	3.13	50%	0.06	43.7	0.92%	0	0.9	82	0

16	Jul_22_2016	78.76	79.68	81.27	81.35			81.6(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	3	85	2.53	50%	0.06	37.1	0.92%	0	0.9	72	0
17	Jul_21_2016	78.71	79.55	81.17	81.23			81.26(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	-0	99	2.43	50%	0.06	38.3	0.92%	0	0.9	75	0
18	Jul_20_2016	78.66	79.39	80.99	81.25			81.48(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	3	117	2.45	50%	0.06	40.2	0.92%	0	1.1	79	0
19	Jul_19_2016	78.61	79.23	80.74	81.15			81.14(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	32	-10000	-2	134	2.64	50%	0.09	41.7	0.92%	0	1	82	0
20	Jul_18_2016	78.54	79.1	80.47	81.21			81.29(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	1	167	2.78	50%	0.08	45.8	0.92%	0	1.2	86	0

21	Jul_15_2016	78.48	78.92	80.23	81.17			80.98(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	2	189	3.48	50%	0.09	46.1	0.93%	0	1.1	73	0
22	Jul_14_2016	78.41	78.78	79.95	81.09			81.34(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	-10000	11	186	3.41	50%	0.09	43.9	0.93%	0	1.5	57	0
23	Jul_13_2016	78.34	78.61	79.57	80.67			81.01(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10000	11	164	3.66	53%	0.09	36.2	0.93%	0	1.5	58	0
24	Jul_12_2016	78.27	78.44	79.11	80.25			81.41(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	-10000	17	133	4.89	53%	0.1	26.5	0.94%	0	1.9	59	0
25	Jul_11_2016	78.19	78.26	78.46	79.62			81.09(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	12	76	4.43	53%		13.1	0.94%	0	2.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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