Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $81.3400 (0.41%) ($81.2400 - $81.8100) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $81.3400(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.09(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.95(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.78(3.25%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	78.41	78.78	79.95	81.09			81.34(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	-10000	11	186	3.41	50%	0.09	43.9	0.93%	0	1.5	57	0
2	Jul_13_2016	78.34	78.61	79.57	80.67			81.01(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10000	11	164	3.66	53%	0.09	36.2	0.93%	0	1.5	58	0
3	Jul_12_2016	78.27	78.44	79.11	80.25			81.41(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	-10000	17	133	4.89	53%	0.1	26.5	0.94%	0	1.9	59	0
4	Jul_11_2016	78.19	78.26	78.46	79.62			81.09(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	12	76	4.43	53%	0.1	13.1	0.94%	0	2.1	57	0
5	Jul_8_2016	78.11	78.11	77.96	79.17			80.62(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	14	45	7.41	53%	0.12	1.9	0.94%	0	2.1	59	0

6	Jul_7_2016	78.02	78.11	77.76	78.66			79.24(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	10	26	9.24	50%	0.08	-12.1	0.92%	0	1.1	53	0
7	Jul_6_2016	77.96	78.02	77.64	78.31			78.9(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	15	14	7.78	50%	0.09	-19.4	0.93%	0	0.8	53	0
8	Jul_5_2016	77.89	78.03	77.58	77.78			78.23(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	-10000	19	-5	7.32	50%	0.12	-31.5	0.93%	0	0.2	52	0
9	Jul_1_2016	77.8	78.03	77.6	77.09			78.87(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	15	-35	7.13	50%	0.14	-47.3	0.93%	0	0.7	53	0
10	Jun_30_2016	77.69	78.08	77.48	76.55			78.06(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-23	-10000	-6	-74	6.71	47%	0.12	-58.4	0.91%	0	-0	47	0

11	Jun_29_2016	77.6	78.15	77.5	76.76			77.49(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	-10000	-5	-73	7.05	47%	0.12	-50.6	0.91%	0	-0.5	41	0
12	Jun_28_2016	77.51	78.24	77.55	76.93			76.26(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-12	-81	7.86	43%	0.1	-44.2	0.9%	0	-1.6	34	0
13	Jun_27_2016	77.43	78.39	77.73	77.36			74.77(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-38	-10000	-23	-81	10.86	37%	0.06	-29.7	0.86%	0	-3.1	24	0
14	Jun_24_2016	77.38	78.64	78.09	78.14			76.15(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-21	-10000	-11	-50	15.35	41%	0.04	-7.8	0.84%	0	-3.1	29	0
15	Jun_23_2016	77.35	78.79	78.09	78.49			79.11(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	5	-39	4.44	53%	0.09	21.1	0.7%	0	0.6	48	0

16	Jun_22_2016	77.28	78.77	78.34	78.34			78.34(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	-10000	2	-53	4.1	49%	0.06	25.4	0.7%	0	-0.8	34	0
17	Jun_21_2016	77.23	78.78	78.45	78.28			78.45(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	4	-54	2.9	49%	0.05	29.6	0.7%	0	-0.6	42	0
18	Jun_20_2016	77.19	78.74	78.53	78.17			78.63(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	4	-61	3.97	49%	0.06	12.5	0.7%	0	-0.2	43	0
19	Jun_17_2016	77.14	78.7	78.59	78.05			77.93(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-4	-73	8.56	45%	0.05	4.7	0.69%	0	-1.1	33	0
20	Jun_16_2016	77.1	78.67	78.72	78.16			78.33(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-68	6.38	45%	0.08	-3.2	0.68%	0	-0.5	43	0

21	Jun_15_2016	77.04	78.63	78.84	78.36			78.08(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-11	-50	5.64	45%	0.06	-5	0.69%	0	-0.7	43	0
22	Jun_14_2016	76.99	78.62	78.96	78.65			77.86(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-11	-25	8.1	45%	0.08	-10.8	0.69%	0	-1	48	0
23	Jun_13_2016	76.93	78.66	79.11	78.96			78.06(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-9	12	6.03	45%	0.05	-5	0.69%	0	-0.8	61	0
24	Jun_10_2016	76.89	78.67	79.25	79.21			78.49(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	45	4.81	51%	0.09	-3	0.71%	0	-0.2	62	0
25	Jun_9_2016	76.82	78.69	79.3	79.33			79.32(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-2	73	6.58	56%		3	0.7%	0	0.8	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.