Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $81.0900 (0.58%) ($80.8300 - $81.2900) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $81.0900(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.62(1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.46(3.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.26(3.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2016	78.19	78.26	78.46	79.62			81.09(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	12	76	4.43	53%	0.1	13.1	0.94%	0	2.1	57	0
2	Jul_8_2016	78.11	78.11	77.96	79.17			80.62(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	14	45	7.41	53%	0.12	1.9	0.94%	0	2.1	59	0
3	Jul_7_2016	78.02	78.11	77.76	78.66			79.24(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	10	26	9.24	50%	0.08	-12.1	0.92%	0	1.1	53	0
4	Jul_6_2016	77.96	78.02	77.64	78.31			78.9(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	15	14	7.78	50%	0.09	-19.4	0.93%	0	0.8	53	0
5	Jul_5_2016	77.89	78.03	77.58	77.78			78.23(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	-10000	19	-5	7.32	50%	0.12	-31.5	0.93%	0	0.2	52	0

6	Jul_1_2016	77.8	78.03	77.6	77.09			78.87(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	15	-35	7.13	50%	0.14	-47.3	0.93%	0	0.7	53	0
7	Jun_30_2016	77.69	78.08	77.48	76.55			78.06(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-23	-10000	-6	-74	6.71	47%	0.12	-58.4	0.91%	0	-0	47	0
8	Jun_29_2016	77.6	78.15	77.5	76.76			77.49(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	-10000	-5	-73	7.05	47%	0.12	-50.6	0.91%	0	-0.5	41	0
9	Jun_28_2016	77.51	78.24	77.55	76.93			76.26(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-12	-81	7.86	43%	0.1	-44.2	0.9%	0	-1.6	34	0
10	Jun_27_2016	77.43	78.39	77.73	77.36			74.77(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-38	-10000	-23	-81	10.86	37%	0.06	-29.7	0.86%	0	-3.1	24	0

11	Jun_24_2016	77.38	78.64	78.09	78.14			76.15(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-21	-10000	-11	-50	15.35	41%	0.04	-7.8	0.84%	0	-3.1	29	0
12	Jun_23_2016	77.35	78.79	78.09	78.49			79.11(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	5	-39	4.44	53%	0.09	21.1	0.7%	0	0.6	48	0
13	Jun_22_2016	77.28	78.77	78.34	78.34			78.34(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	-10000	2	-53	4.1	49%	0.06	25.4	0.7%	0	-0.8	34	0
14	Jun_21_2016	77.23	78.78	78.45	78.28			78.45(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	4	-54	2.9	49%	0.05	29.6	0.7%	0	-0.6	42	0
15	Jun_20_2016	77.19	78.74	78.53	78.17			78.63(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	4	-61	3.97	49%	0.06	12.5	0.7%	0	-0.2	43	0

16	Jun_17_2016	77.14	78.7	78.59	78.05			77.93(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-4	-73	8.56	45%	0.05	4.7	0.69%	0	-1.1	33	0
17	Jun_16_2016	77.1	78.67	78.72	78.16			78.33(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-68	6.38	45%	0.08	-3.2	0.68%	0	-0.5	43	0
18	Jun_15_2016	77.04	78.63	78.84	78.36			78.08(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-11	-50	5.64	45%	0.06	-5	0.69%	0	-0.7	43	0
19	Jun_14_2016	76.99	78.62	78.96	78.65			77.86(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-11	-25	8.1	45%	0.08	-10.8	0.69%	0	-1	48	0
20	Jun_13_2016	76.93	78.66	79.11	78.96			78.06(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-9	12	6.03	45%	0.05	-5	0.69%	0	-0.8	61	0

21	Jun_10_2016	76.89	78.67	79.25	79.21			78.49(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-4	45	4.81	51%	0.09	-3	0.71%	0	-0.2	62	0
22	Jun_9_2016	76.82	78.69	79.3	79.33			79.32(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-2	73	6.58	56%	0.1	3	0.7%	0	0.8	76	0
23	Jun_8_2016	76.74	78.67	79.26	79.39			79.5(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	2	95	3.95	56%	0.1	4	0.7%	0	1.1	77	0
24	Jun_7_2016	76.66	78.67	79.15	79.33			79.41(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	1	98	4.33	56%	0.04	6.4	0.71%	0	0.8	68	0
25	Jun_6_2016	76.63	78.7	78.96	79.3			79.31(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	0	87	4.1	56%		0.9	0.71%	0	0.7	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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