Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $79.0500 (0.19%) ($78.4900 - $79.3500) on Thu. May. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $79.0500(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $79.51
5 Day Moving Average   $79.45(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.42(-0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.51(-0.58%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.59% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2016	76.2	79.51	79.42	79.45			79.05(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.9	2	-10000	2	1	5.6	84%	0.01	49.2	0.87%	0	-1	48	0
2	May_11_2016	76.19	79.53	79.4	79.38			78.9(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-2	-10	6.12	84%	0	58.6	0.89%	0	-1.4	46	0
3	May_10_2016	76.19	79.55	79.48	79.44			80.52(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	3	-10000	6	-6	4.83	94%	0.04	56.7	0.85%	0	1.8	53	0
4	May_9_2016	76.16	79.44	79.48	79.25			79.5(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-5	-21	5.22	93%	0.04	41	0.84%	0	0.1	47	0
5	May_6_2016	76.13	79.35	79.39	79.41			79.28(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	0	-16	5.39	84%	0	36.8	0.88%	0	-0.1	41	0

6	May_5_2016	76.13	79.29	79.41	79.4			78.7(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-1	-17	6.29	71%	-0.03	24.7	0.88%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	May_4_2016	76.15	79.26	79.51	79.42			79.21(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-14	6.44	71%	0.01	18.3	0.98%	0	-0.1	51	0
8	May_3_2016	76.14	79.25	79.58	79.51			79.57(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	5.78	71%	0.01	19.6	0.98%	0	0.4	54	0
9	May_2_2016	76.13	79.18	79.6	79.54			80.31(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	4	10	6.65	65%	0.03	17.5	0.97%	0	1.5	70	0
10	Apr_29_2016	76.11	79.1	79.58	79.39			79.2(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-1	20	8.4	63%	0	18.5	0.99%	0	0.1	69	0

11	Apr_28_2016	76.11	79.11	79.61	79.44			78.8(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-4	32	7.3	65%	-0.01	32.6	0.99%	0	-0.4	62	0
12	Apr_27_2016	76.12	79.13	79.67	79.61			79.66(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-1	51	5.71	64%	-0.01	48.9	0.99%	0	0.7	70	0
13	Apr_26_2016	76.13	79.1	79.64	79.65			79.74(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-1	55	3.9	66%	-0.01	60.4	1.01%	0	0.9	58	0
14	Apr_25_2016	76.14	79.04	79.49	79.67			79.55(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-3	55	3.9	66%	-0.03	62.8	1.03%	0	0.7	63	0
15	Apr_22_2016	76.16	78.97	79.32	79.8			79.46(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	-0	55	4.73	68%	0	66.3	1.04%	0	0.7	55	0

16	Apr_21_2016	76.16	78.87	79.17	79.81			79.62(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	2	46	4.14	69%	-0.03	59.4	1.06%	0	0.9	50	0
17	Apr_20_2016	76.18	78.77	79.01	79.74			79.9(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	37	4.79	69%	-0.03	51.4	1.06%	0	1.4	55	0
18	Apr_19_2016	76.2	78.67	78.9	79.61			79.8(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	7	33	4.27	69%	-0.01	51	1.07%	0	1.4	53	0
19	Apr_18_2016	76.21	78.58	78.73	79.29			80.24(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	13	19	4.46	69%	-0.01	45.4	1.07%	0	2.2	60	0
20	Apr_15_2016	76.22	78.47	78.56	78.76			79.49(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	8	2	4.3	65%	0.05	36.9	1.07%	0	1.5	62	0

21	Apr_14_2016	76.18	78.4	78.54	78.43			79.27(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	5	-10000	6	-0	3.46	65%	-0.04	40.5	1.11%	0	1.4	63	0
22	Apr_13_2016	76.21	78.35	78.51	78.18			79.27(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	1	-10000	2	-1	5.04	58%	-0.03	48.6	1.11%	0	1.6	63	0
23	Apr_12_2016	76.23	78.26	78.48	78.1			78.17(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	0	2	5.75	58%	-0.05	60.3	1.19%	0	-0.2	52	0
24	Apr_11_2016	76.27	78.26	78.54	78.09			77.58(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-5	3	5.87	58%	-0.05	68.9	1.19%	0	-1.1	47	0
25	Apr_8_2016	76.31	78.23	78.59	78.34			77.87(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-7	10	5.16	56%		83.1	1.19%	0	-0.6	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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