Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $73.6100 (-1.08%) ($73.4400 - $75.3400) on Fri. Jan. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $73.6100(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(85%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

Resistance Level   $77.82
5 Day Moving Average   $75.51(-2.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.03(-4.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.82(-5.41%)
To recent high   -10%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2016	77.78	77.82	77.03	75.51			73.61(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-10000	-24	-121	10.8	26%	-0.05	-76.1	1.01%	0	-2.6	26	0
2	Jan_7_2016	77.82	78.13	77.56	76.42			74.41(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-41	-10000	-23	-93	12.65	27%	-0.06	-78.2	1.02%	0	-2.7	24	0
3	Jan_6_2016	77.87	78.45	77.99	77.32			75.97(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-19	-61	10.12	30%	-0.04	-80.4	0.99%	0	-2.3	38	0
4	Jan_5_2016	77.9	78.7	78.19	78.05			76.72(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-10	-32	7.42	34%	-0.03	-65.2	0.98%	0	-1.9	43	0
5	Jan_4_2016	77.92	78.92	78.28	78.44			76.82(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-8	-20	13.4	34%	-0.03	-55.6	1%	0	-2	46	0

6	Dec_31_2015	77.94	79.08	78.49	78.77			78.16(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-3	-11	6.58	41%	0	-56.8	0.99%	0	-0.9	42	0
7	Dec_30_2015	77.94	79.21	78.69	78.88			78.95(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	3	-0	3.22	49%	0.01	-55.1	0.99%	0	-0.2	46	0
8	Dec_29_2015	77.93	79.33	78.68	78.75			79.59(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	9	-15	5.74	49%	0.01	-53	1.03%	0	0.2	44	0
9	Dec_28_2015	77.92	79.38	78.55	78.37			78.68(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	7	-48	4.06	41%	-0.01	-61.9	1.02%	0	-0.6	38	0
10	Dec_24_2015	77.93	79.52	78.49	78.1			78.48(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-2	-80	1.91	41%	0	-61.3	1.08%	0	-0.8	36	0

11	Dec_23_2015	77.93	79.68	78.62	78.18			78.69(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-7	-79	6.02	41%	-0.03	-52.7	1.08%	0	-0.7	46	0
12	Dec_22_2015	77.95	79.81	78.7	78.49			78.29(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-76	6.73	39%	-0.03	-37.8	1.08%	0	-1.1	40	0
13	Dec_21_2015	77.97	79.97	78.92	78.61			77.72(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-3	-78	7.09	39%	-0.03	-26.9	1.09%	0	-1.6	35	0
14	Dec_18_2015	77.99	80.15	79.24	78.76			77.33(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-3	-72	15.05	37%	-0.04	-13.1	1.1%	0	-2.2	38	0
15	Dec_17_2015	78.02	80.32	79.63	78.9			78.89(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-10000	-5	-70	9.22	39%	-0.01	-10.3	1.1%	0	-1.3	39	0

16	Dec_16_2015	78.03	80.39	79.72	79.1			80.21(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	3	-75	12.07	42%	0.03	-7	1.08%	0	-0.2	42	0
17	Dec_15_2015	78.01	80.33	79.77	78.98			78.89(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-8	-90	7.98	38%	0	-19	1.06%	0	-1.3	38	0
18	Dec_14_2015	78.01	80.34	80.04	79.33			78.46(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-11	-78	14.96	38%	0	-16.5	1.07%	0	-1.7	35	0
19	Dec_11_2015	78.01	80.32	80.28	79.81			78.06(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-28	-10000	-15	-65	10.1	38%	-0.01	-18.2	1.07%	0	-1.9	35	0
20	Dec_10_2015	78.02	80.43	80.64	80.45			79.88(0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-7	-10000	1	-29	4.73	42%	0.01	-10.4	1.03%	0	-0.5	50	0

21	Dec_9_2015	78.01	80.46	80.83	80.41			79.61(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-6	-24	9.74	42%	0	-14.3	1.03%	0	-0.8	49	0
22	Dec_8_2015	78.01	80.54	81.01	80.66			80.64(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-10000	-5	3	6.08	50%	0.03	-9.8	1.03%	0	0.1	62	0
23	Dec_7_2015	77.99	80.52	81.1	80.86			80.88(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	0	31	6.54	50%	0.03	-9.8	1.06%	0	0.3	65	0
24	Dec_4_2015	77.97	80.52	81.14	80.84			81.22(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-10000	-1	52	7.03	50%	0.01	-8.2	1.07%	0	0.6	71	0
25	Dec_3_2015	77.96	80.54	81.05	80.89			79.68(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-10	55	9.83	45%		-4.5	1.06%	0	-0.8	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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