Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $77.0000 (1.48%) ($76.1700 - $77.1400) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $77.0000(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IWF(85%)    SPY(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.85(2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.65(3.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.15(2.46%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2015	76.83	75.15	74.65	74.85			77(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	7	-10000	18	-28	7.02	49%	0	10.8	1.37%	0	1.6	53	0
2	Oct_2_2015	76.83	74.99	74.52	73.96			75.88(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-11	-10000	5	-58	8.2	47%	0	-17.1	1.37%	0	0.8	53	0
3	Oct_1_2015	76.83	74.93	74.45	73.73			74.81(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-18	-10000	0	-70	8.36	47%	0	-26.5	1.36%	0	-0.1	47	0
4	Sep_30_2015	76.83	74.92	74.64	73.71			74.26(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-62	10.8	47%	-0.03	-23.8	1.36%	0	-0.6	48	0
5	Sep_29_2015	76.85	74.87	74.87	73.84			72.31(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-11	-53	6.18	41%	-0.05	-12.6	1.32%	0	-2.2	39	0

6	Sep_28_2015	76.89	75.02	75.26	74.4			72.55(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-19	-10000	-14	-34	12.02	41%	-0.06	15.8	1.35%	0	-2.4	36	0
7	Sep_25_2015	76.94	75.18	75.55	75.11			74.7(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-3	0	5.85	44%	-0.01	48.3	1.3%	0	-0.6	57	0
8	Sep_24_2015	76.95	75.23	75.64	75.26			74.71(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-9	8	6.98	43%	0	47.4	1.3%	0	-0.6	52	0
9	Sep_23_2015	76.95	75.19	75.64	75.71			74.91(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-8	26	5.39	43%	-0.01	33.6	1.3%	0	-0.3	53	0
10	Sep_22_2015	76.96	75.02	75.69	76.09			75.11(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-3	51	7.65	43%	-0.03	4.1	1.3%	0	0.1	61	0

11	Sep_21_2015	76.98	74.86	75.74	76.25			76.12(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	4	64	7.02	45%	0	-16.6	1.3%	0	0.8	55	0
12	Sep_18_2015	76.98	74.76	75.53	76.05			75.46(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	-0	47	9.86	46%	0	-33.3	1.29%	0	0.5	50	0
13	Sep_17_2015	76.98	74.81	75.46	76.06			76.97(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	48	11	49%	0.01	-36.1	1.28%	0	1.4	55	0
14	Sep_16_2015	76.97	74.88	75.21	75.66			76.77(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	8	39	6.62	49%	0	-35.9	1.28%	0	1.1	62	0
15	Sep_15_2015	76.97	74.97	74.84	75.25			75.91(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	1	34	5.57	49%	-0.01	-35.8	1.28%	0	0.5	69	0

16	Sep_14_2015	76.98	75.1	74.73	75.18			75.12(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	5	55	3.59	49%	-0.03	-33.7	1.27%	0	0	66	0
17	Sep_11_2015	77	75.25	74.76	74.93			75.52(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	4	54	4.61	49%	-0.01	-35.2	1.27%	0	0.1	53	0
18	Sep_10_2015	77.01	75.37	74.75	74.75			74.96(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	40	6.21	50%	-0.03	-36.2	1.27%	0	-0.2	44	0
19	Sep_9_2015	77.03	75.51	74.64	74.69			74.75(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	7	10	7.68	50%	-0.01	-39.7	1.27%	0	-0.3	39	0
20	Sep_8_2015	77.04	75.67	74.31	74.35			75.56(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	2	-49	5.26	50%	0.01	-46.6	1.27%	0	-0	39	0

21	Sep_4_2015	77.03	75.82	73.9	74.24			73.85(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-7	-104	7.16	47%	-0.03	-48.5	1.23%	0	-0.8	35	0
22	Sep_3_2015	77.05	76.04	73.95	74.58			74.65(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-4	-117	6.6	48%	-0.03	-48.6	1.22%	0	-0.6	39	0
23	Sep_2_2015	77.07	76.22	74.13	74.75			74.62(2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	-10000	3	-118	7.69	48%	-0.03	-49.1	1.23%	0	-0.6	39	0
24	Sep_1_2015	77.09	76.46	74.52	74.59			73.08(-2.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-23	-10000	9	-120	13.94	45%	-0.04	-50	1.2%	0	-1.3	36	0
25	Aug_31_2015	77.12	76.82	75.1	74.19			74.98(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10000	17	-132	10.11	48%		-53.2	1.16%	0	-0.7	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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