Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $79.4200 (-1.08%) ($79.2800 - $80.6100) on Wed. Aug. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $79.4200(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.97(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.47(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.09(0.42%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2015	76.99	79.09	79.47	79.97			79.42(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	46	5.94	60%	0.05	69.8	0.71%	0	0.3	51	0
2	Aug_4_2015	76.95	78.94	79.46	80.02			80.29(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	10	59	5.7	64%	0.05	69.7	0.71%	0	1.3	64	0
3	Aug_3_2015	76.91	78.81	79.32	79.74			79.95(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	12	45	5.76	64%	0.07	69.2	0.71%	0	1.1	61	0
4	Jul_31_2015	76.86	78.67	79.23	79.4			80.22(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	10	28	3.67	66%	0.07	57.6	0.71%	0	1.5	65	0
5	Jul_30_2015	76.81	78.52	79.12	79.13			79.97(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	8	25	3.3	63%	0.08	50	0.73%	0	1.4	72	0

6	Jul_29_2015	76.75	78.38	79.04	78.9			79.68(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	10	-10000	2	35	5.81	63%	0.07	44.8	0.74%	0	1.3	77	0
7	Jul_28_2015	76.7	78.22	78.94	78.83			78.87(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	14	-10000	-0	55	5.45	61%	0.04	34.1	0.74%	0	0.6	76	0
8	Jul_27_2015	76.67	78.09	78.95	78.84			78.26(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-7	66	5.55	56%	0.04	25	0.73%	0	0.2	55	0
9	Jul_24_2015	76.64	78.07	79.01	79.03			78.85(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	96	5.17	61%	0.03	32.1	0.74%	0	0.7	64	0
10	Jul_23_2015	76.62	78.01	78.91	79.09			78.85(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10000	-3	105	3.76	61%	0.04	32.8	0.75%	0	0.8	63	0

11	Jul_22_2015	76.59	77.95	78.7	79.18			79.32(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	3	108	3.21	61%	0.04	38.2	0.75%	0	1.3	65	0
12	Jul_21_2015	76.56	77.88	78.41	79.08			78.94(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	0	102	2.68	61%	0.03	44.6	0.75%	0	1	68	0
13	Jul_20_2015	76.54	77.82	78.29	79.07			79.19(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	3	120	2.55	63%	0.04	54.4	0.75%	0	1.4	72	0
14	Jul_17_2015	76.51	77.73	78.07	78.99			79.15(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	10	111	3.24	59%	0.04	60.2	0.76%	0	1.5	56	0
15	Jul_16_2015	76.48	77.66	77.87	78.69			79.29(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	18	93	3.28	59%	0.04	60.4	0.78%	0	1.9	58	0

16	Jul_15_2015	76.45	77.54	77.67	78.14			78.81(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	17	61	2.71	59%	0.04	49.5	0.78%	0	1.6	56	0
17	Jul_14_2015	76.42	77.43	77.43	77.63			78.89(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	8	15	3.75	59%	0.05	38.1	0.78%	0	1.9	52	0
18	Jul_13_2015	76.38	77.29	77.15	77.4			78.79(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	6	-10000	12	-12	6.06	59%	0.04	32.6	0.78%	0	2.1	53	0
19	Jul_10_2015	76.35	77.18	77.03	77.05			77.67(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	3	-33	4.66	57%	0.04	22	0.76%	0	0.8	51	0
20	Jul_9_2015	76.32	77.14	77.01	76.95			76.56(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-6	-47	5.93	53%	0.03	19.5	0.74%	0	-0.9	41	0

21	Jul_8_2015	76.3	77.14	77.12	77.11			76.24(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-2	-32	6.83	55%	0.03	23.8	0.74%	0	-1.5	47	0
22	Jul_7_2015	76.28	77.15	77.31	77.16			77.72(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	12	-10	6.96	61%	0.01	19	0.71%	0	0.9	58	0
23	Jul_6_2015	76.27	77.06	77.32	76.84			77.05(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-21	4.05	59%	0.05	1.1	0.71%	0	-0	58	0
24	Jul_2_2015	76.23	77.04	77.36	77.01			77.2(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	-3	-1	6.26	59%	0.05	10.2	0.71%	0	0.2	55	0
25	Jul_1_2015	76.19	77.02	77.44	77.09			77.35(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-2	14	6.02	59%		12.5	0.72%	0	0.5	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.