Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $79.9500 (-0.34%) ($79.5200 - $80.5000) on Mon. Aug. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $79.9500(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.74(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.32(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.81(1.45%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2015	76.91	78.81	79.32	79.74			79.95(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	12	45	5.76	64%	0.07	69.2	0.71%	0	1.1	61	0
2	Jul_31_2015	76.86	78.67	79.23	79.4			80.22(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	10	28	3.67	66%	0.07	57.6	0.71%	0	1.5	65	0
3	Jul_30_2015	76.81	78.52	79.12	79.13			79.97(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	8	25	3.3	63%	0.08	50	0.73%	0	1.4	72	0
4	Jul_29_2015	76.75	78.38	79.04	78.9			79.68(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	10	-10000	2	35	5.81	63%	0.07	44.8	0.74%	0	1.3	77	0
5	Jul_28_2015	76.7	78.22	78.94	78.83			78.87(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	14	-10000	-0	55	5.45	61%	0.04	34.1	0.74%	0	0.6	76	0

6	Jul_27_2015	76.67	78.09	78.95	78.84			78.26(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-7	66	5.55	56%	0.04	25	0.73%	0	0.2	55	0
7	Jul_24_2015	76.64	78.07	79.01	79.03			78.85(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	96	5.17	61%	0.03	32.1	0.74%	0	0.7	64	0
8	Jul_23_2015	76.62	78.01	78.91	79.09			78.85(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10000	-3	105	3.76	61%	0.04	32.8	0.75%	0	0.8	63	0
9	Jul_22_2015	76.59	77.95	78.7	79.18			79.32(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	3	108	3.21	61%	0.04	38.2	0.75%	0	1.3	65	0
10	Jul_21_2015	76.56	77.88	78.41	79.08			78.94(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	0	102	2.68	61%	0.03	44.6	0.75%	0	1	68	0

11	Jul_20_2015	76.54	77.82	78.29	79.07			79.19(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	3	120	2.55	63%	0.04	54.4	0.75%	0	1.4	72	0
12	Jul_17_2015	76.51	77.73	78.07	78.99			79.15(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	10	111	3.24	59%	0.04	60.2	0.76%	0	1.5	56	0
13	Jul_16_2015	76.48	77.66	77.87	78.69			79.29(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	18	93	3.28	59%	0.04	60.4	0.78%	0	1.9	58	0
14	Jul_15_2015	76.45	77.54	77.67	78.14			78.81(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	17	61	2.71	59%	0.04	49.5	0.78%	0	1.6	56	0
15	Jul_14_2015	76.42	77.43	77.43	77.63			78.89(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	8	15	3.75	59%	0.05	38.1	0.78%	0	1.9	52	0

16	Jul_13_2015	76.38	77.29	77.15	77.4			78.79(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	6	-10000	12	-12	6.06	59%	0.04	32.6	0.78%	0	2.1	53	0
17	Jul_10_2015	76.35	77.18	77.03	77.05			77.67(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	3	-33	4.66	57%	0.04	22	0.76%	0	0.8	51	0
18	Jul_9_2015	76.32	77.14	77.01	76.95			76.56(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-6	-47	5.93	53%	0.03	19.5	0.74%	0	-0.9	41	0
19	Jul_8_2015	76.3	77.14	77.12	77.11			76.24(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-2	-32	6.83	55%	0.03	23.8	0.74%	0	-1.5	47	0
20	Jul_7_2015	76.28	77.15	77.31	77.16			77.72(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	12	-10	6.96	61%	0.01	19	0.71%	0	0.9	58	0

21	Jul_6_2015	76.27	77.06	77.32	76.84			77.05(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-21	4.05	59%	0.05	1.1	0.71%	0	-0	58	0
22	Jul_2_2015	76.23	77.04	77.36	77.01			77.2(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	-3	-1	6.26	59%	0.05	10.2	0.71%	0	0.2	55	0
23	Jul_1_2015	76.19	77.02	77.44	77.09			77.35(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-2	14	6.02	59%	0.05	12.5	0.72%	0	0.5	53	0
24	Jun_30_2015	76.15	77.01	77.41	77.15			76.48(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-13	18	7.24	59%	0.05	18.2	0.7%	0	-0.8	50	0
25	Jun_29_2015	76.11	77.03	77.45	77.49			76.14(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2	2	-10000	-13	47	8.98	59%		34.1	0.71%	0	-1.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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