Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $77.9700 (1.21%) ($77.0500 - $78.1900) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $77.9700(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.9(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.68(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.72(1.63%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.59% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2015	75.7	76.72	76.68	76.9			77.97(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	10	-10000	8	17	5.79	63%	0.12	16.9	0.68%	0	2.8	63	0
2	Jun_17_2015	75.61	76.65	76.54	76.7			77.04(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3	-10000	3	1	4.29	61%	0.08	19.6	0.68%	0	1.1	51	0
3	Jun_16_2015	75.55	76.65	76.54	76.63			76.69(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	6	2	4.11	63%	0.07	25	0.68%	0	0.1	47	0
4	Jun_15_2015	75.5	76.64	76.55	76.47			76.23(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	2	-7	4.67	63%	0.08	19.6	0.69%	0	-1.2	50	0
5	Jun_12_2015	75.44	76.67	76.58	76.42			76.59(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	1	-15	4.07	67%	0.08	16.3	0.69%	0	-0.2	47	0

6	Jun_11_2015	75.38	76.64	76.55	76.4			76.94(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-5	-10000	1	-23	4.39	67%	0.09	16.7	0.73%	0	0.8	48	0
7	Jun_10_2015	75.31	76.58	76.54	76.36			76.68(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-11	-10000	-5	-27	4.66	62%	0.09	14.5	0.74%	0	0.2	49	0
8	Jun_9_2015	75.24	76.55	76.56	76.49			75.9(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-9	-10000	-5	-20	4.69	60%	0.01	26.8	0.75%	0	-1.5	41	0
9	Jun_8_2015	75.23	76.57	76.62	76.64			75.98(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-7	-10000	-4	-14	3.7	60%	0.09	37	0.76%	0	-1.4	41	0
10	Jun_5_2015	75.16	76.61	76.72	76.75			76.52(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	1	-3	3.51	57%	0.11	49	0.77%	0	-0.2	50	0

11	Jun_4_2015	75.08	76.58	76.77	76.71			76.74(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-1	4	5.66	57%	0.09	48.2	0.76%	0	0.4	60	0
12	Jun_3_2015	75.01	76.51	76.78	76.73			77.29(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	2	16	4.4	57%	0.09	35.9	0.76%	0	1.6	69	0
13	Jun_2_2015	74.94	76.44	76.73	76.66			76.69(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	20	7.13	58%	0.08	23.8	0.76%	0	0.5	57	0
14	Jun_1_2015	74.88	76.44	76.74	76.6			76.52(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-3	20	5.55	58%	0.08	17.5	0.77%	0	0.2	54	0
15	May_29_2015	74.82	76.42	76.75	76.68			76.3(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-5	24	6.17	58%	0.07	11.1	0.78%	0	-0.3	47	0

16	May_28_2015	74.77	76.37	76.74	76.84			76.83(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	0	37	3.25	58%	0.08	7	0.78%	0	0.9	62	0
17	May_27_2015	74.71	76.34	76.63	76.83			76.96(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	1	40	3.63	58%	0.11	5.8	0.78%	0	1.2	66	0
18	May_26_2015	74.63	76.32	76.54	76.81			76.39(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-3	42	5.34	58%	0.12	9	0.78%	0	0.1	58	0
19	May_22_2015	74.54	76.34	76.53	76.9			76.94(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	2	50	2.96	58%	0.04	19.5	0.76%	0	1	53	0
20	May_21_2015	74.51	76.37	76.49	76.83			77.07(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	7	50	2.93	58%	0.07	35.5	0.77%	0	1.2	56	0

21	May_20_2015	74.46	76.34	76.37	76.62			76.77(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	8	44	7.41	58%	0.05	28.8	0.77%	0	0.8	63	0
22	May_19_2015	74.42	76.31	76.23	76.39			76.86(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	5	23	4.65	58%	0.05	18.1	0.78%	0	1	54	0
23	May_18_2015	74.38	76.27	76.12	76.24			76.88(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	4	5	3.96	58%	0.07	9.9	0.78%	0	1.1	50	0
24	May_15_2015	74.33	76.22	76.06	76.24			76.59(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	0	-7	7.19	58%	0.04	1.4	0.77%	0	0.7	46	0
25	May_14_2015	74.3	76.16	76.03	76.12			75.98(0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	1	-18	6.83	56%		-9.7	0.77%	0	-0.3	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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