Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $76.0500 (0.48%) ($75.1600 - $76.3600) on Mon. Apr. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $76.0500(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.56(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.5(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.59(0.61%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2015	72.7	75.59	75.5	75.56			76.05(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	7	-22	4.99	62%	0.15	-25.3	0.92%	0	0.7	49	0
2	Apr_2_2015	72.59	75.55	75.56	75.33			75.69(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	7	-21	4.46	58%	0.11	-38.9	0.95%	0	0.2	54	0
3	Apr_1_2015	72.51	75.58	75.6	75.1			75.02(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	0	-32	7.35	58%	0.1	-45.2	0.95%	0	-0.8	46	0
4	Mar_31_2015	72.44	75.64	75.73	75.09			75.35(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-5	-19	8.13	58%	0.1	-45.3	0.96%	0	-0.4	58	0
5	Mar_30_2015	72.37	75.7	75.76	75.27			75.68(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	-5	-4	4.59	58%	0.11	-31	0.96%	0	-0	57	0

6	Mar_27_2015	72.29	75.76	75.8	75.46			74.91(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-10000	-11	4	3.36	57%	0.1	-16	0.95%	0	-1.1	46	0
7	Mar_26_2015	72.22	75.82	75.84	75.84			74.53(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-2	-10000	-9	21	5.05	57%	0.11	1	0.96%	0	-1.8	47	0
8	Mar_25_2015	72.14	75.9	75.98	76.17			75(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	3	-10000	-7	34	5.93	57%	0.11	22.2	0.95%	0	-1.3	44	0
9	Mar_24_2015	72.06	75.97	75.93	76.42			76.24(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	3	36	5.28	60%	0.11	45.3	0.94%	0	0.4	49	0
10	Mar_23_2015	71.98	75.94	75.78	76.3			76.64(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	3	15	3.73	60%	0.13	47.1	0.93%	0	1.1	48	0

11	Mar_20_2015	71.89	75.88	75.69	76.18			76.77(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	9	4	6.24	61%	0.14	47.6	0.93%	0	1.4	48	0
12	Mar_19_2015	71.79	75.81	75.69	75.86			76.18(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	3	-18	4.56	61%	0.13	41.7	0.94%	0	0.6	51	0
13	Mar_18_2015	71.7	75.75	75.54	75.77			76.29(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	11	-17	7.72	63%	0.14	45.5	0.94%	0	0.8	51	0
14	Mar_17_2015	71.6	75.67	75.52	75.37			75.62(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	6	-39	4.93	65%	0.13	35.2	0.95%	0	-0.1	46	0
15	Mar_16_2015	71.51	75.63	75.62	75.17			76.04(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	1	-42	5.45	62%	0.14	40.4	0.97%	0	0.6	52	0

16	Mar_13_2015	71.41	75.57	75.68	75.13			75.16(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-1	-34	5.58	61%	0.13	50.5	0.99%	0	-0.6	50	0
17	Mar_12_2015	71.32	75.54	75.77	75.18			75.76(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	-3	-30	6.92	61%	0.15	59.6	0.99%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Mar_11_2015	71.21	75.44	75.8	75.3			74.25(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-11	-21	4.59	59%	0.13	61.4	0.96%	0	-1.4	48	0
19	Mar_10_2015	71.12	75.43	76.02	75.7			74.66(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-11	10	7.15	56%	0.14	77.9	0.96%	0	-0.8	54	0
20	Mar_9_2015	71.02	75.34	76.14	76.1			75.84(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-6	39	4.22	59%	0.17	85.5	0.95%	0	0.5	64	0

21	Mar_6_2015	70.9	75.21	76.11	76.31			75.41(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-3	54	7.85	59%	0.18	95.6	0.95%	0	0.2	58	0
22	Mar_5_2015	70.77	75.1	76.13	76.42			76.32(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	1	71	7.78	61%	0.2	101.2	0.95%	0	1	73	0
23	Mar_4_2015	70.63	74.92	75.99	76.37			76.27(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	-0	80	4.67	61%	0.18	105.6	0.95%	0	1	78	0
24	Mar_3_2015	70.5	74.72	75.84	76.38			76.67(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	93	6.03	61%	0.2	105.8	0.94%	0	1.4	84	0
25	Mar_2_2015	70.36	74.42	75.65	76.19			76.88(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	9	104	24	61%		90.2	0.94%	0	1.5	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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