Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $70.9700 (1.65%) ($70.0700 - $70.9700) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $70.9700(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.78(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.22(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.58(0.55%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2014	67.92	70.58	70.22	69.78			70.97(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-15	-10000	3	-69	18.85	51%	0.04	8	0.97%	0	0.5	43	0
2	Dec_17_2014	67.89	70.52	70.24	69.67			69.82(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-0	-75	9.71	49%	0.06	10.4	0.95%	0	-0.9	43	0
3	Dec_16_2014	67.85	70.51	70.4	69.68			68.51(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-10000	-15	-80	9.11	46%	0.01	16.8	0.92%	0	-2.4	33	0
4	Dec_15_2014	67.84	70.51	70.69	70.15			69.58(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-8	-52	8.88	48%	0.04	42.2	0.9%	0	-1.3	42	0
5	Dec_12_2014	67.81	70.56	70.84	70.42			70(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-10	-31	12.18	48%	0.03	58.9	0.9%	0	-0.7	52	0

6	Dec_11_2014	67.79	70.52	71.03	70.73			70.45(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-6	2	17.57	48%	0.04	70.2	0.9%	0	-0.1	57	0
7	Dec_10_2014	67.76	70.43	71.09	70.91			69.88(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-10	22	5.47	48%	0.04	74.1	0.89%	0	-0.6	56	0
8	Dec_9_2014	67.73	70.37	71.09	71.22			70.82(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-3	57	4.44	49%	0.06	80.5	0.87%	0	0.4	69	0
9	Dec_8_2014	67.69	70.23	71.21	71.31			70.95(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	-0	77	4.2	49%	0.04	75.8	0.88%	0	0.6	72	0
10	Dec_5_2014	67.66	70.09	71.14	71.32			71.53(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-2	86	4.48	49%	0.07	72	0.88%	0	1.2	79	0

11	Dec_4_2014	67.61	69.92	70.98	71.38			71.37(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	3	101	6.1	49%	0.06	75.4	0.88%	0	1.2	80	0
12	Dec_3_2014	67.57	69.74	70.82	71.3			71.41(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-10000	3	109	5.66	49%	0.06	74.1	0.88%	0	1.3	83	0
13	Dec_2_2014	67.53	69.53	70.62	71.21			71.29(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	3	116	5.17	49%	0.04	71.6	0.88%	0	1.3	84	0
14	Dec_1_2014	67.5	69.37	70.41	71.1			71.02(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	6	125	11.89	49%	0.06	77.8	0.88%	0	1.3	84	0
15	Nov_28_2014	67.46	69.22	70.24	70.91			71.81(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	12	133	3.36	50%	0.06	82.3	0.87%	0	2.1	96	0

16	Nov_26_2014	67.42	68.99	69.95	70.53			70.95(-0.01%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	38	-10000	9	125	2.34	48%	0.06	83.6	0.85%	0	1.7	92	0
17	Nov_25_2014	67.38	68.8	69.72	70.27			70.96(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	11	123	4.25	48%	0.06	87.8	0.85%	0	1.9	93	0
18	Nov_24_2014	67.34	68.6	69.45	69.94			70.74(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	11	116	3.34	48%	0.04	86.9	0.85%	0	1.9	94	0
19	Nov_21_2014	67.31	68.39	69.17	69.63			70.09(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	5	98	7.78	47%	0.03	90.3	0.84%	0	1.6	72	0
20	Nov_20_2014	67.29	68.2	68.96	69.47			69.92(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	6	90	5.35	47%	0.04	99.3	0.84%	0	1.7	71	0

21	Nov_19_2014	67.26	68.02	68.77	69.29			69.62(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	7	89	5.02	48%	0.03	104.4	0.84%	0	1.5	74	0
22	Nov_18_2014	67.24	67.82	68.57	69.08			69.33(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	7	83	4.48	50%	0.03	112	0.85%	0	1.4	76	0
23	Nov_17_2014	67.22	67.66	68.37	68.87			69.2(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	8	73	4.03	50%	0.04	107.5	0.85%	0	1.3	71	0
24	Nov_14_2014	67.19	67.45	68.25	68.62			69.28(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	9	76	9.56	51%	0.03	96.4	0.85%	0	1.4	77	0
25	Nov_13_2014	67.17	67.19	68.12	68.37			69.01(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	6	78	10.8	51%		79.7	0.86%	0	1.2	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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