Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $71.4100 (0.17%) ($71.0900 - $71.4800) on Wed. Dec. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $71.4100(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    VYM(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.3(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.82(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.74(2.39%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2014	67.57	69.74	70.82	71.3			71.41(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-10000	3	109	5.66	49%	0.06	74.1	0.88%	0	1.3	83	0
2	Dec_2_2014	67.53	69.53	70.62	71.21			71.29(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	3	116	5.17	49%	0.04	71.6	0.88%	0	1.3	84	0
3	Dec_1_2014	67.5	69.37	70.41	71.1			71.02(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	6	125	11.89	49%	0.06	77.8	0.88%	0	1.3	84	0
4	Nov_28_2014	67.46	69.22	70.24	70.91			71.81(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	12	133	3.36	50%	0.06	82.3	0.87%	0	2.1	96	0
5	Nov_26_2014	67.42	68.99	69.95	70.53			70.95(-0.01%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	38	-10000	9	125	2.34	48%	0.06	83.6	0.85%	0	1.7	92	0

6	Nov_25_2014	67.38	68.8	69.72	70.27			70.96(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	11	123	4.25	48%	0.06	87.8	0.85%	0	1.9	93	0
7	Nov_24_2014	67.34	68.6	69.45	69.94			70.74(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	11	116	3.34	48%	0.04	86.9	0.85%	0	1.9	94	0
8	Nov_21_2014	67.31	68.39	69.17	69.63			70.09(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	5	98	7.78	47%	0.03	90.3	0.84%	0	1.6	72	0
9	Nov_20_2014	67.29	68.2	68.96	69.47			69.92(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	6	90	5.35	47%	0.04	99.3	0.84%	0	1.7	71	0
10	Nov_19_2014	67.26	68.02	68.77	69.29			69.62(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	7	89	5.02	48%	0.03	104.4	0.84%	0	1.5	74	0

11	Nov_18_2014	67.24	67.82	68.57	69.08			69.33(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	7	83	4.48	50%	0.03	112	0.85%	0	1.4	76	0
12	Nov_17_2014	67.22	67.66	68.37	68.87			69.2(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	8	73	4.03	50%	0.04	107.5	0.85%	0	1.3	71	0
13	Nov_14_2014	67.19	67.45	68.25	68.62			69.28(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	9	76	9.56	51%	0.03	96.4	0.85%	0	1.4	77	0
14	Nov_13_2014	67.17	67.19	68.12	68.37			69.01(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	6	78	10.8	51%	0.04	79.7	0.86%	0	1.2	77	0
15	Nov_12_2014	67.14	66.91	67.96	68.19			68.58(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	7	80	5.27	51%	0.04	66	0.85%	0	1	74	0

16	Nov_11_2014	67.11	66.65	67.8	67.98			68.26(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	7	84	3.23	51%	0.03	51.4	0.85%	0	1	78	0
17	Nov_10_2014	67.09	66.42	67.69	67.79			67.97(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-1	81	2.65	51%	0.03	41.4	0.85%	0	0.9	67	0
18	Nov_7_2014	67.07	66.19	67.55	67.81			68.01(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10000	-1	99	3.77	53%	0.01	34.1	0.87%	0	1.1	75	0
19	Nov_6_2014	67.06	66.02	67.39	67.83			68.12(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	5	126	11.25	53%	0.03	29.1	0.88%	0	1.3	79	0
20	Nov_5_2014	67.04	65.86	67.22	67.69			67.55(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	41	-10000	4	153	10.75	52%	0.01	25.4	0.87%	0	1	80	0

21	Nov_4_2014	67.03	65.8	67.03	67.58			67.28(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	-10000	0	172	4.94	54%	0.01	26.8	0.87%	0	0.9	80	0
22	Nov_3_2014	67.02	65.71	66.92	67.57			68.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	59	-10000	11	202	15.93	56%	0.04	24.4	0.87%	0	1.6	80	0
23	Oct_31_2014	66.99	65.61	66.6	67.24			68.1(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	12	204	4.74	53%	0.03	17.9	0.87%	0	1.7	82	0
24	Oct_30_2014	66.97	65.53	66.19	66.89			67.44(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-10000	7	177	5.1	51%	0.01	10.5	0.89%	0	1.4	66	0
25	Oct_29_2014	66.96	65.45	65.78	66.69			67(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	10	152	4.89	51%		4.5	0.89%	0	1.2	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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