Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $66.6600 (0.45%) ($66.5200 - $66.8500) on Mon. Aug. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $66.6600(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $64.3(-3.54%)
Resistance Level   $66.68
5 Day Moving Average   $65.98(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.15(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.68(-0.03%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2014	65.47	66.68	66.15	65.98			66.66(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-17	-10000	3	-78	5.03	48%	0.02	-50.9	0.69%	0	-0	42	0
2	Aug_8_2014	65.46	66.72	66.17	65.9			66.36(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	6	-87	5.58	48%	0	-53.7	0.69%	0	-0.5	42	0
3	Aug_7_2014	65.46	66.77	66.2	65.76			65.35(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-5	-117	6.36	43%	0	-63.9	0.66%	0	-2	30	0
4	Aug_6_2014	65.46	66.87	66.42	65.87			65.69(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-13	-105	10.97	40%	-0.02	-68.7	0.66%	0	-1.8	41	0
5	Aug_5_2014	65.47	66.98	66.6	66.16			65.83(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-8	-83	9.9	40%	-0.02	-60	0.68%	0	-1.9	37	0

6	Aug_4_2014	65.48	67.04	66.76	66.34			66.29(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-6	-68	16.94	41%	0.02	-53.6	0.68%	0	-1.3	41	0
7	Aug_1_2014	65.47	67.11	66.85	66.48			65.65(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-10000	-10	-67	6.09	38%	-0.02	-43.8	0.67%	0	-2.7	33	0
8	Jul_31_2014	65.48	67.24	67.05	66.71			65.89(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-24	-10000	-15	-52	6.45	38%	-0.02	-23.5	0.67%	0	-2.9	37	0
9	Jul_30_2014	65.49	67.33	67.16	67.05			67.13(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-2	-27	23.87	43%	0.02	10	0.63%	0	-0.6	50	0
10	Jul_29_2014	65.48	67.34	67.2	67.1			66.76(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-7	-29	3.58	43%	-0.02	34.7	0.63%	0	-1.8	39	0

11	Jul_28_2014	65.49	67.35	67.26	67.25			66.95(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-2	-11	2.8	43%	0	54	0.63%	0	-1.2	51	0
12	Jul_25_2014	65.49	67.35	67.33	67.29			66.82(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8	-10000	-7	-10	3.85	38%	-0.02	65.4	0.63%	0	-1.5	43	0
13	Jul_24_2014	65.5	67.34	67.39	67.43			67.57(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	6	-3	3.98	41%	0	74.5	0.65%	0	0.6	44	0
14	Jul_23_2014	65.5	67.29	67.35	67.29			67.42(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-1	-22	5.39	41%	0.02	57.6	0.65%	0	0.3	49	0
15	Jul_22_2014	65.49	67.23	67.38	67.31			67.47(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	1	-15	4.41	41%	0.02	46.6	0.66%	0	0.5	50	0

16	Jul_21_2014	65.48	67.17	67.34	67.29			67.19(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-4	-16	3.72	41%	0	44.3	0.66%	0	0	55	0
17	Jul_18_2014	65.48	67.12	67.38	67.37			67.5(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	-10000	1	2	3.45	41%	0.02	47.7	0.66%	0	0.7	57	0
18	Jul_17_2014	65.47	67.07	67.43	67.34			66.88(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-3	17	5.64	38%	0.02	53.5	0.65%	0	-0.3	55	0
19	Jul_16_2014	65.46	67.06	67.5	67.4			67.52(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-3	34	23.48	46%	0.03	55.7	0.64%	0	0.8	61	0
20	Jul_15_2014	65.44	67	67.49	67.46			67.35(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	3	59	4.17	46%	0.03	53.3	0.66%	0	0.6	65	0

21	Jul_14_2014	65.42	66.93	67.44	67.39			67.58(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	-0	61	3.43	46%	0.03	40.6	0.66%	0	1	65	0
22	Jul_11_2014	65.4	66.84	67.37	67.4			67.39(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-6	69	7.05	42%	0.03	32.3	0.66%	0	0.8	65	0
23	Jul_10_2014	65.38	66.76	67.3	67.54			67.17(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-3	81	4.84	36%	0.05	32.4	0.69%	0	0.6	57	0
24	Jul_9_2014	65.35	66.73	67.24	67.61			67.8(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	3	81	18.57	42%	0.03	39.2	0.75%	0	1.6	61	0
25	Jul_8_2014	65.33	66.68	67.07	67.54			66.99(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	21	-10000	2	76	5.1	41%		47.9	0.75%	0	0.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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