Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $66.5400 (-0.24%) ($66.3600 - $66.9100) on Thu. Jun. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $66.5400(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.23(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.41(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.04(0.76%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2014	64.91	66.04		66.23			66.54(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	5	12	2.98	32%	0.06	93.7	0.84%	0	0.8	63	0
2	Jun_18_2014	64.87	65.93	66.41	66.08			66.7(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	1	10	5.85	32%	0.05	78.4	0.84%	0	1.1	66	0
3	Jun_17_2014	64.84	65.78	66.35	66.06			66.2(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-4	15	4.02	32%	0.05	59.7	0.84%	0	0.5	65	0
4	Jun_16_2014	64.81	65.67	66.31	66.18			65.94(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-7	25	3.55	32%	0.03	57.3	0.84%	0	0.3	61	0
5	Jun_13_2014	64.79	65.57	66.31	66.38			65.79(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-8	45	4.96	30%	0.02	59	0.84%	0	0.2	64	0

6	Jun_12_2014	64.78	65.46	66.31	66.61			65.76(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10000	-5	71	4.55	30%	0.02	58.4	0.86%	0	0.3	69	0
7	Jun_11_2014	64.77	65.36	66.32	66.76			66.61(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	4	101	3.03	32%	0.03	61.9	0.84%	0	1.1	87	0
8	Jun_10_2014	64.75	65.25	66.2	66.66			66.81(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	8	117	5.46	32%	0.03	66.5	0.84%	0	1.4	93	0
9	Jun_9_2014	64.73	65.14	66.06	66.45			66.94(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	7	121	2.57	32%	0.03	65.7	0.84%	0	1.6	81	0
10	Jun_6_2014	64.71	64.98	65.87	66.25			66.92(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	9	125	3.2	32%	0.02	63.1	0.84%	0	1.9	82	0

11	Jun_5_2014	64.7	64.8	65.63	66			66.53(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	6	125	2.7	32%	0.02	57.6	0.84%	0	1.8	83	0
12	Jun_4_2014	64.69	64.64	65.41	65.82			66.1(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	5	121	2.17	35%	0.02	52.8	0.84%	0	1.6	73	0
13	Jun_3_2014	64.68	64.5	65.15	65.67			65.78(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	3	103	2.24	34%	0	50	0.85%	0	1.4	61	0
14	Jun_2_2014	64.68	64.42	64.98	65.59			65.9(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	6	94	3.05	34%	0	56.8	0.86%	0	1.7	59	0
15	May_30_2014	64.68	64.33	64.77	65.43			65.68(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	8	87	3.06	34%	-0.02	61.7	0.86%	0	1.8	64	0

16	May_29_2014	64.69	64.24	64.53	65.21			65.62(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	10	73	2.95	34%	0	56.9	0.87%	0	2	66	0
17	May_28_2014	64.69	64.15	64.33	64.93			65.35(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	13	62	10.11	34%	-0.02	49	0.88%	0	1.9	66	0
18	May_27_2014	64.7	64.05	64.23	64.55			65.42(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	10	50	3.4	34%	-0.03	28.1	0.88%	0	2.4	66	0
19	May_23_2014	64.72	63.94	64.13	64.28			65.08(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	-10000	10	38	1.99	34%	-0.03	11.5	0.87%	0	2.3	54	0
20	May_22_2014	64.74	63.86	64	64.01			64.57(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	9	18	5.26	34%	0	-7.1	0.87%	0	1.6	51	0

21	May_21_2014	64.74	63.85	63.89	63.75			64.23(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	-10000	4	-5	3.89	34%	-0.05	-14.9	0.87%	0	0.9	50	0
22	May_20_2014	64.77	63.84	63.89	63.65			63.46(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-7	-21	4.85	31%	-0.05	-7.2	0.86%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	May_19_2014	64.8	63.84	63.8	63.85			64.04(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-4	-10	2.74	32%	-0.03	23.9	0.85%	0	0.3	55	0
24	May_16_2014	64.82	63.84	63.82	63.97			63.75(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-1	9	3.01	32%	-0.05	47.8	0.85%	0	-0.3	56	0
25	May_15_2014	64.85	63.89	63.87	63.99			63.28(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	4	-10000	-1	19	5.71	32%		56.5	0.85%	0	-1.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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