Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $62.2400 (-1.38%) ($62.1200 - $63.0900) on Fri. Apr. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $62.2400(-1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $61.04(-1.93%)
Resistance Level   $64.8
5 Day Moving Average   $63.5(-1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.37(-3.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.8(-3.95%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2014	65.17	64.8	64.37	63.5			62.24(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-15	-53	8.45	35%	-0.03	-64.8	1.01%	0	-2.2	37	0
2	Apr_10_2014	65.19	64.99	64.6	63.98			63.11(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-16	-42	10.08	37%	-0.02	-69.7	1%	0	-1.9	37	0
3	Apr_9_2014	65.2	65.14	64.7	64.51			64.72(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-8	-34	3.85	40%	0.02	-65.1	0.96%	0	-0.4	40	0
4	Apr_8_2014	65.19	65.23	64.64	64.77			64.03(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-10	-39	4.75	37%	-0.02	-58.7	0.94%	0	-1.2	37	0
5	Apr_7_2014	65.2	65.37	64.71	65.09			63.39(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-9	-39	7.6	35%	-0.02	-50.3	0.94%	0	-1.9	30	0

6	Apr_4_2014	65.21	65.57	64.89	65.36			64.65(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-6	-10000	3	-33	7.4	38%	0	-41.2	0.9%	0	-0.9	38	0
7	Apr_3_2014	65.21	65.7	64.98	65.28			65.74(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	13	-37	5.37	40%	0.02	-39.9	0.89%	0	0	48	0
8	Apr_2_2014	65.2	65.78	65.02	64.9			66.06(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	14	-56	5.04	40%	0.05	-44	0.88%	0	0.3	50	0
9	Apr_1_2014	65.17	65.83	65	64.51			65.62(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-17	-10000	7	-89	5.07	40%	0.03	-48.8	0.88%	0	-0.2	40	0
10	Mar_31_2014	65.15	65.9	65.07	64.31			64.72(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-29	-10000	-2	-109	5.68	37%	0.03	-50	0.87%	0	-1.1	31	0

11	Mar_28_2014	65.13	65.98	65.23	64.37			64.28(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-10	-121	5.68	37%	0.03	-47.3	0.86%	0	-1.6	24	0
12	Mar_27_2014	65.11	66.11	65.39	64.65			63.8(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-45	-10000	-18	-124	6.35	37%	0	-36.4	0.86%	0	-2.3	17	0
13	Mar_26_2014	65.11	66.26	65.62	65.15			64.11(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-39	-10000	-15	-111	6.96	37%	0.02	-19.8	0.86%	0	-2.5	18	0
14	Mar_25_2014	65.1	66.39	65.88	65.56			64.63(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-34	-10000	-14	-94	5.86	37%	0	1.8	0.86%	0	-2.4	23	0
15	Mar_24_2014	65.1	66.46	66.11	65.95			65.02(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-25	-10000	-9	-72	12.36	37%	0.03	23.5	0.87%	0	-2.2	30	0

16	Mar_21_2014	65.08	66.5	66.33	66.2			65.68(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-1	-48	6.23	38%	0.03	37.9	0.85%	0	-1.3	47	0
17	Mar_20_2014	65.06	66.49	66.5	66.23			66.31(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	3	-40	3.76	40%	0.05	40.2	0.85%	0	-0.3	45	0
18	Mar_19_2014	65.03	66.43	66.61	66.15			66.14(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-4	-39	6.06	40%	0.05	35.3	0.85%	0	-0.4	47	0
19	Mar_18_2014	65	66.37	66.73	66.27			66.58(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-2	-23	3.22	44%	0.06	39.7	0.85%	0	0.3	54	0
20	Mar_17_2014	64.96	66.31	66.77	66.32			66.29(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-6	-11	3.23	44%	0.05	47.6	0.87%	0	-0	56	0

21	Mar_14_2014	64.93	66.26	66.78	66.5			65.85(-0.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-7	-10000	-11	5	4.79	44%	0.05	58.6	0.86%	0	-0.5	58	0
22	Mar_13_2014	64.9	66.22	66.89	66.81			65.91(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-11	38	11.27	44%	0.06	72.3	0.87%	0	-0.3	61	0
23	Mar_12_2014	64.86	66.16	66.97	67.13			66.72(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-4	76	4.79	47%	0.06	89.8	0.85%	0	0.6	71	0
24	Mar_11_2014	64.82	66.06	66.94	67.25			66.82(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-1	102	4.39	45%	0.08	101.9	0.85%	0	0.7	75	0
25	Mar_10_2014	64.77	65.92	66.86	67.29			67.21(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	7	116	3.27	45%		110.4	0.86%	0	1.2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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