Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $65.9100 (-1.21%) ($65.6100 - $67.0800) on Thu. Mar. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $65.9100(-1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    XLF(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    XLV(-5%)    XLB(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $66.22
5 Day Moving Average   $66.81(-1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.89(-1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.22(-0.47%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2014	64.9	66.22	66.89	66.81			65.91(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-11	38	11.27	44%	0.06	72.3	0.87%	0	-0.3	61	0
2	Mar_12_2014	64.86	66.16	66.97	67.13			66.72(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-4	76	4.79	47%	0.06	89.8	0.85%	0	0.6	71	0
3	Mar_11_2014	64.82	66.06	66.94	67.25			66.82(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-1	102	4.39	45%	0.08	101.9	0.85%	0	0.7	75	0
4	Mar_10_2014	64.77	65.92	66.86	67.29			67.21(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	7	116	3.27	45%	0.08	110.4	0.86%	0	1.2	70	0
5	Mar_7_2014	64.72	65.77	66.69	67.09			67.39(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	110	4.34	45%	0.09	110.2	0.85%	0	1.5	73	0

6	Mar_6_2014	64.66	65.57	66.48	66.98			67.49(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	6	109	5.26	47%	0.11	102.9	0.86%	0	1.7	77	0
7	Mar_5_2014	64.59	65.3	66.24	66.8			67.32(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	7	106	7.57	47%	0.11	86.2	0.86%	0	1.6	77	0
8	Mar_4_2014	64.52	65.03	65.98	66.59			67.04(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	8	99	4.39	47%	0.09	70.8	0.86%	0	1.5	76	0
9	Mar_3_2014	64.46	64.75	65.79	66.37			66.21(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	5	99	8.67	42%	0.09	54.5	0.85%	0	1	76	0
10	Feb_28_2014	64.4	64.58	65.69	66.22			66.84(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	12	107	6.99	44%	0.11	49.8	0.84%	0	1.5	85	0

11	Feb_27_2014	64.33	64.41	65.48	65.89			66.57(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	11	103	4.39	44%	0.12	44.1	0.84%	0	1.5	87	0
12	Feb_26_2014	64.25	64.21	65.27	65.59			66.3(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	11	113	5.49	44%	0.11	31.6	0.84%	0	1.5	90	0
13	Feb_25_2014	64.18	64.07	65.09	65.28			65.93(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	5	120	4.54	44%	0.09	22.4	0.84%	0	1.4	90	0
14	Feb_24_2014	64.12	63.93	64.9	65.14			65.47(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	2	143	3.22	44%	0.08	14.1	0.84%	0	1.3	91	0
15	Feb_21_2014	64.07	63.83	64.77	65.08			65.2(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	3	156	4.38	46%	0.08	6	0.84%	0	1.2	66	0

16	Feb_20_2014	64.02	63.79	64.59	65			65.07(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	4	149	4.7	46%	0.06	0.6	0.85%	0	1.1	57	0
17	Feb_19_2014	63.98	63.79	64.3	64.9			64.72(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	1	139	6.3	46%	0.06	-3.3	0.85%	0	0.8	62	0
18	Feb_18_2014	63.94	63.78	64.03	64.86			65.25(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	9	126	3.58	46%	0.13	-4.4	0.84%	0	1.3	57	0
19	Feb_14_2014	63.86	63.76	63.64	64.62			65.17(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	8	92	4.83	46%	0.06	-15.4	0.84%	0	1.2	59	0
20	Feb_13_2014	63.82	63.75	63.39	64.4			64.78(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	11	74	6.58	50%	0.08	-23.4	0.85%	0	0.9	56	0

21	Feb_12_2014	63.77	63.79	63.26	64.11			64.58(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	19	48	4.22	50%	0.06	-30.6	0.87%	0	0.6	47	0
22	Feb_11_2014	63.73	63.82	63.06	63.59			64.52(0.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	12	-10000	19	-8	5.65	50%	0.06	-43.3	0.87%	0	0.5	45	0
23	Feb_10_2014	63.69	63.84	62.95	63.07			64.05(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	21	-53	4.67	50%	0.05	-57.9	0.86%	0	0.2	44	0
24	Feb_7_2014	63.66	63.94	62.86	62.5			64.09(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-20	-10000	9	-108	6.27	49%	0.05	-64.8	0.89%	0	0.1	43	0
25	Feb_6_2014	63.63	64.03	62.78	62.24			63.31(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-39	-10000	-3	-145	8.29	47%		-68.3	0.91%	0	-0.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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