Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $64.4400 (-0.79%) ($64.2800 - $65.0900) on Mon. Nov. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $64.4400(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.34(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.84(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.52(1.45%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2013	60.38	63.52	63.84	64.34			64.44(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	8	55	4.89	63%	0.13	94.8	0.83%	0	1.2	57	0
2	Nov_15_2013	60.3	63.41	63.77	64.13			64.95(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	13	51	5.14	59%	0.15	92.5	0.82%	0	2	65	0
3	Nov_14_2013	60.21	63.26	63.61	63.79			64.73(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	18	34	5.94	57%	0.15	90.6	0.86%	0	2	62	0
4	Nov_13_2013	60.12	63.11	63.47	63.31			64.28(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5	-10000	5	5	6.66	57%	0.17	78.7	0.87%	0	1.5	63	0
5	Nov_12_2013	60.02	62.96	63.36	63.18			63.28(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	4.45	54%	0.13	77.1	0.85%	0	0.4	63	0

6	Nov_11_2013	59.94	62.83	63.39	63.28			63.39(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-3	20	5.23	54%	0.15	82.1	0.85%	0	0.6	58	0
7	Nov_8_2013	59.85	62.72	63.39	63.35			63.29(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-2	36	8.29	54%	0.13	83.4	0.85%	0	0.6	61	0
8	Nov_7_2013	59.77	62.6	63.37	63.41			62.3(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-8	52	9.67	50%	0.1	77.1	0.83%	0	-0.3	56	0
9	Nov_6_2013	59.71	62.51	63.44	63.63			63.62(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	3	87	4.53	54%	0.1	69	0.8%	0	0.8	76	0
10	Nov_5_2013	59.65	62.29	63.31	63.56			63.78(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	2	95	4.02	54%	0.13	55.9	0.8%	0	1	81	0

11	Nov_4_2013	59.57	62.06	63.2	63.51			63.78(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	5	119	4.99	54%	0.12	49.4	0.8%	0	1.2	84	0
12	Nov_1_2013	59.5	61.88	63.04	63.39			63.56(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	2	126	4.41	57%	0.12	48	0.8%	0	1.2	73	0
13	Oct_31_2013	59.43	61.74	62.89	63.34			63.41(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	4	137	7.64	57%	0.13	49.1	0.82%	0	1.2	74	0
14	Oct_30_2013	59.35	61.59	62.72	63.23			63.25(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	-10000	8	150	5.72	57%	0.12	47.7	0.82%	0	1.2	76	0
15	Oct_29_2013	59.28	61.47	62.53	63.02			63.56(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	-10000	7	164	7.72	57%	0.12	48.8	0.82%	0	1.6	85	0

16	Oct_28_2013	59.21	61.34	62.23	62.84			63.19(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	8	170	4.9	57%	0.12	50.5	0.82%	0	1.6	80	0
17	Oct_25_2013	59.14	61.21	62.01	62.64			63.31(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	-10000	10	172	3.88	57%	0.12	50	0.82%	0	1.9	70	0
18	Oct_24_2013	59.07	61.07	61.75	62.38			62.84(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	9	157	5.12	57%	0.14	48.1	0.82%	0	1.8	60	0
19	Oct_23_2013	58.99	60.96	61.5	62.15			62.22(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	8	144	5.25	55%	0.1	42.3	0.81%	0	1.4	60	0
20	Oct_22_2013	58.93	60.86	61.18	61.95			62.62(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	18	112	6.77	55%	0.1	31.9	0.81%	0	2	57	0

21	Oct_21_2013	58.87	60.75	60.84	61.51			62.2(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	10	61	3.16	55%	0.12	20	0.8%	0	1.9	55	0
22	Oct_18_2013	58.8	60.66	60.62	61.28			62.04(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	10	40	5.24	55%	0.09	12.3	0.8%	0	2	57	0
23	Oct_17_2013	58.75	60.6	60.49	61.03			61.66(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	12	26	4.94	55%	0.09	7.5	0.8%	0	1.6	54	0
24	Oct_16_2013	58.7	60.58	60.35	60.75			61.21(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	19	5	5.54	55%	0.07	5.7	0.8%	0	1	52	0
25	Oct_15_2013	58.66	60.59	60.32	60.29			60.46(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	11	-22	13.37	53%		-4.8	0.79%	0	-0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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