Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 25, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $63.3100 (0.75%) ($62.9700 - $63.3900) on Fri. Oct. 25, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $63.3100(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.64(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.01(2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.21(3.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2013	59.14	61.21	62.01	62.64			63.31(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	-10000	10	172	3.88	57%	0.12	50	0.82%	0	1.9	70	0
2	Oct_24_2013	59.07	61.07	61.75	62.38			62.84(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	9	157	5.12	57%	0.14	48.1	0.82%	0	1.8	60	0
3	Oct_23_2013	58.99	60.96	61.5	62.15			62.22(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	8	144	5.25	55%	0.1	42.3	0.81%	0	1.4	60	0
4	Oct_22_2013	58.93	60.86	61.18	61.95			62.62(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	18	112	6.77	55%	0.1	31.9	0.81%	0	2	57	0
5	Oct_21_2013	58.87	60.75	60.84	61.51			62.2(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	10	61	3.16	55%	0.12	20	0.8%	0	1.9	55	0

6	Oct_18_2013	58.8	60.66	60.62	61.28			62.04(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	10	40	5.24	55%	0.09	12.3	0.8%	0	2	57	0
7	Oct_17_2013	58.75	60.6	60.49	61.03			61.66(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	12	26	4.94	55%	0.09	7.5	0.8%	0	1.6	54	0
8	Oct_16_2013	58.7	60.58	60.35	60.75			61.21(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	19	5	5.54	55%	0.07	5.7	0.8%	0	1	52	0
9	Oct_15_2013	58.66	60.59	60.32	60.29			60.46(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	11	-22	13.37	53%	0.03	-4.8	0.79%	0	-0.2	52	0
10	Oct_14_2013	58.64	60.61	60.38	60.03			61.04(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-4	-10000	8	-38	6.05	55%	0.07	-8.7	0.78%	0	0.7	52	0

11	Oct_11_2013	58.6	60.58	60.33	59.85			60.79(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-15	-10000	-2	-54	8.83	57%	0.07	-7.7	0.78%	0	0.3	52	0
12	Oct_10_2013	58.56	60.55	60.32	59.89			60.27(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-1	-52	6.1	56%	0.05	5.7	0.79%	0	-0.4	45	0
13	Oct_9_2013	58.53	60.54	60.38	59.92			58.9(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-33	-10000	-20	-70	11.61	51%	0.02	16	0.74%	0	-2.6	30	0
14	Oct_8_2013	58.52	60.62	60.54	60.36			59.17(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-26	-10000	-17	-52	7.9	51%	0.03	53.3	0.74%	0	-2.6	31	0
15	Oct_7_2013	58.5	60.66	60.7	60.75			60.12(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-4	-22	5.31	55%	0.05	87	0.72%	0	-1	45	0

16	Oct_4_2013	58.47	60.62	60.75	60.85			60.98(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	1	-12	3.97	61%	0.07	85.1	0.7%	0	0.5	56	0
17	Oct_3_2013	58.43	60.51	60.74	60.82			60.41(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-4	-8	5.2	59%	0.05	80.3	0.7%	0	-0.1	54	0
18	Oct_2_2013	58.4	60.44	60.84	60.91			61.1(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	8	23	5.52	63%	0.05	80.3	0.69%	0	0.8	63	0
19	Oct_1_2013	58.37	60.32	60.88	60.75			61.12(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	5	26	6.2	63%	0.09	74.2	0.69%	0	0.8	61	0
20	Sep_30_2013	58.32	60.18	60.85	60.65			60.63(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	1	33	5.38	61%	0.07	70	0.68%	0	0.5	62	0

21	Sep_27_2013	58.28	60.04	60.84	60.63			60.86(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-1	48	4.95	61%	0.07	58.2	0.68%	0	0.8	70	0
22	Sep_26_2013	58.24	59.9	60.78	60.65			60.85(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-6	68	3.52	64%	0.09	54.7	0.69%	0	0.8	73	0
23	Sep_25_2013	58.19	59.76	60.78	60.78			60.28(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-12	95	5.72	62%	0.07	55.4	0.7%	0	0.4	69	0
24	Sep_24_2013	58.15	59.62	60.7	61.03			60.65(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	35	-10000	-1	143	3.86	62%	0.09	54.2	0.69%	0	0.8	74	0
25	Sep_23_2013	58.1	59.51	60.62	61.06			60.49(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	42	-10000	0	167	7.16	62%		57.6	0.71%	0	0.8	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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