Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $58.7200 (0.03%) ($58.6600 - $59.0300) on Thu. Sep. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $58.7200(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.25(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.19(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.57(0.26%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2013	57.34	58.57	58.19	58.25			58.72(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	8	12	5.03	52%	0.09	-59.4	0.86%	0	0.2	53	0
2	Sep_4_2013	57.29	58.62	58.11	58.05			58.7(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	10	-14	5.42	52%	0.09	-60.7	0.88%	0	0.1	43	0
3	Sep_3_2013	57.24	58.69	58.07	57.8			58.09(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-3	-53	8.02	50%	0.14	-57.3	0.88%	0	-0.6	33	0
4	Aug_30_2013	57.16	58.81	58.05	57.87			57.68(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-6	-74	5.87	48%	0.07	-45.1	0.88%	0	-1.1	29	0
5	Aug_29_2013	57.12	58.96	58.09	58.03			58.04(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-4	-85	5.1	47%	0.07	-36.5	0.88%	0	-0.9	30	0

6	Aug_28_2013	57.08	59.07	58.12	58.13			57.76(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-1	-99	3.55	48%	0.09	-30.9	0.88%	0	-1.2	27	0
7	Aug_27_2013	57.03	59.16	58.27	58.16			57.45(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-8	-105	6.98	48%	0.09	-31.4	0.89%	0	-1.7	29	0
8	Aug_26_2013	56.98	59.25	58.52	58.36			58.4(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	-10000	4	-96	4.18	51%	0.09	-30.3	0.87%	0	-0.9	30	0
9	Aug_23_2013	56.93	59.29	58.66	58.25			58.52(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	-10000	3	-111	2.8	51%	0.11	-36.2	0.87%	0	-0.9	29	0
10	Aug_22_2013	56.87	59.35	58.81	58.16			58.51(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	-10000	2	-125	5.79	50%	0.11	-40.5	0.87%	0	-1	28	0

11	Aug_21_2013	56.81	59.39	58.97	58.12			57.93(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-11	-137	5.25	48%	0.09	-44.1	0.87%	0	-1.7	28	0
12	Aug_20_2013	56.76	59.47	59.16	58.4			58.43(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-12	-117	3.47	48%	0.11	-39.1	0.87%	0	-1.3	44	0
13	Aug_19_2013	56.7	59.53	59.35	58.71			57.84(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-17	-89	3.34	46%	0.02	-28.1	0.86%	0	-2.2	43	0
14	Aug_16_2013	56.69	59.62	59.63	59.15			58.09(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-10000	-15	-47	6.45	46%	0.09	-15.6	0.87%	0	-2.4	43	0
15	Aug_15_2013	56.64	59.7	59.9	59.54			58.3(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-14	-10000	-15	-9	15.4	46%	0.11	0	0.88%	0	-2.5	42	0

16	Aug_14_2013	56.58	59.7	60.12	59.93			59.34(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-4	30	6.38	50%	0.12	25.3	0.85%	0	-0.9	52	0
17	Aug_13_2013	56.51	59.78	60.14	60.02			60(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-3	39	3.77	53%	0.12	36.3	0.85%	0	0.5	61	0
18	Aug_12_2013	56.44	59.74	60.06	60.09			60(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-5	40	3.5	53%	0.14	48.1	0.85%	0	0.6	57	0
19	Aug_9_2013	56.36	59.72	59.99	60.21			60.08(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-5	45	3.12	53%	0.14	68.4	0.85%	0	0.8	57	0
20	Aug_8_2013	56.28	59.7	59.94	60.33			60.21(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	56	3.02	53%	0.14	94.9	0.85%	0	1.1	58	0

21	Aug_7_2013	56.2	59.66	59.85	60.35			59.81(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	17	-10000	4	57	3.56	54%	0.14	111.9	0.85%	0	0.3	53	0
22	Aug_6_2013	56.12	59.61	59.8	60.26			60.34(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	10	55	3.17	56%	0.14	113	0.84%	0	1.3	65	0
23	Aug_5_2013	56.04	59.52	59.71	60.01			60.59(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	11	42	1.83	56%	0.16	110.3	0.84%	0	1.8	70	0
24	Aug_2_2013	55.95	59.4	59.59	59.73			60.72(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	-10000	9	22	3.74	59%	0.14	105.8	0.85%	0	2.1	64	0
25	Aug_1_2013	55.87	59.26	59.46	59.49			60.29(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7	-10000	8	5	4.13	59%		123.1	0.85%	0	1.9	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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