Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $58.3000 (-1.75%) ($58.1000 - $58.9700) on Thu. Aug. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $58.3000(-1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $59.7
5 Day Moving Average   $59.54(-2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.9(-2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.7(-2.35%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2013	56.64	59.7	59.9	59.54			58.3(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-14	-10000	-15	-9	15.4	46%	0.11	0	0.88%	0	-2.5	42	0
2	Aug_14_2013	56.58	59.7	60.12	59.93			59.34(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-4	30	6.38	50%	0.12	25.3	0.85%	0	-0.9	52	0
3	Aug_13_2013	56.51	59.78	60.14	60.02			60(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-3	39	3.77	53%	0.12	36.3	0.85%	0	0.5	61	0
4	Aug_12_2013	56.44	59.74	60.06	60.09			60(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-5	40	3.5	53%	0.14	48.1	0.85%	0	0.6	57	0
5	Aug_9_2013	56.36	59.72	59.99	60.21			60.08(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-5	45	3.12	53%	0.14	68.4	0.85%	0	0.8	57	0

6	Aug_8_2013	56.28	59.7	59.94	60.33			60.21(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	56	3.02	53%	0.14	94.9	0.85%	0	1.1	58	0
7	Aug_7_2013	56.2	59.66	59.85	60.35			59.81(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	17	-10000	4	57	3.56	54%	0.14	111.9	0.85%	0	0.3	53	0
8	Aug_6_2013	56.12	59.61	59.8	60.26			60.34(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	10	55	3.17	56%	0.14	113	0.84%	0	1.3	65	0
9	Aug_5_2013	56.04	59.52	59.71	60.01			60.59(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	11	42	1.83	56%	0.16	110.3	0.84%	0	1.8	70	0
10	Aug_2_2013	55.95	59.4	59.59	59.73			60.72(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	-10000	9	22	3.74	59%	0.14	105.8	0.85%	0	2.1	64	0

11	Aug_1_2013	55.87	59.26	59.46	59.49			60.29(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7	-10000	8	5	4.13	59%	0.13	123.1	0.85%	0	1.9	56	0
12	Jul_31_2013	55.8	59.1	59.46	59.3			59.37(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	5.25	57%	0.13	103.6	0.84%	0	0.4	49	0
13	Jul_30_2013	55.73	58.99	59.38	59.27			59.06(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-5	3.3	57%	0.11	94.9	0.84%	0	0.1	60	0
14	Jul_29_2013	55.67	58.89	59.4	59.35			59.21(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-3	7	4.29	57%	0.13	97.5	0.84%	0	0.3	64	0
15	Jul_26_2013	55.6	58.76	59.44	59.42			59.52(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	-0	27	3.03	57%	0.14	93.4	0.84%	0	0.7	73	0

16	Jul_25_2013	55.52	58.6	59.45	59.43			59.33(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-2	48	3.72	58%	0.13	90	0.84%	0	0.6	76	0
17	Jul_24_2013	55.45	58.43	59.47	59.48			59.25(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	-0	79	3.85	58%	0.14	80.4	0.85%	0	0.6	80	0
18	Jul_23_2013	55.37	58.23	59.41	59.49			59.45(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	2	101	3.84	60%	0.14	65	0.85%	0	0.8	85	0
19	Jul_22_2013	55.29	58	59.33	59.45			59.53(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	-0	119	4.16	60%	0.14	52.7	0.85%	0	0.9	87	0
20	Jul_19_2013	55.21	57.78	59.21	59.46			59.57(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	35	-10000	-1	144	5.57	61%	0.16	47.6	0.85%	0	1	89	0

21	Jul_18_2013	55.12	57.56	59.04	59.49			59.62(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	2	167	3.15	59%	0.16	44	0.86%	0	1.2	91	0
22	Jul_17_2013	55.03	57.4	58.81	59.45			59.28(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	50	-10000	5	183	5.42	57%	0.18	48.8	0.87%	0	1.1	91	0
23	Jul_16_2013	54.93	57.28	58.58	59.32			59.25(-0.54%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	54	-10000	6	196	4.79	59%	0.18	52	0.89%	0	1.2	93	0
24	Jul_15_2013	54.83	57.15	58.34	59.17			59.57(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	-10000	9	215	3.61	55%	0.16	52.4	0.9%	0	1.6	98	0
25	Jul_12_2013	54.74	56.97	58.03	58.92			59.72(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	-10000	14	207	4.48	55%		49.8	0.96%	0	1.9	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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