Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $60.2100 (0.67%) ($59.8100 - $60.3800) on Thu. Aug. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $60.2100(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.33(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.94(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.7(0.85%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2013	56.28	59.7	59.94	60.33			60.21(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	56	3.02	53%	0.14	94.9	0.85%	0	1.1	58	0
2	Aug_7_2013	56.2	59.66	59.85	60.35			59.81(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	17	-10000	4	57	3.56	54%	0.14	111.9	0.85%	0	0.3	53	0
3	Aug_6_2013	56.12	59.61	59.8	60.26			60.34(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	10	55	3.17	56%	0.14	113	0.84%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Aug_5_2013	56.04	59.52	59.71	60.01			60.59(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	11	42	1.83	56%	0.16	110.3	0.84%	0	1.8	70	0
5	Aug_2_2013	55.95	59.4	59.59	59.73			60.72(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	-10000	9	22	3.74	59%	0.14	105.8	0.85%	0	2.1	64	0

6	Aug_1_2013	55.87	59.26	59.46	59.49			60.29(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7	-10000	8	5	4.13	59%	0.13	123.1	0.85%	0	1.9	56	0
7	Jul_31_2013	55.8	59.1	59.46	59.3			59.37(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	5.25	57%	0.13	103.6	0.84%	0	0.4	49	0
8	Jul_30_2013	55.73	58.99	59.38	59.27			59.06(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-5	3.3	57%	0.11	94.9	0.84%	0	0.1	60	0
9	Jul_29_2013	55.67	58.89	59.4	59.35			59.21(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-3	7	4.29	57%	0.13	97.5	0.84%	0	0.3	64	0
10	Jul_26_2013	55.6	58.76	59.44	59.42			59.52(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	-0	27	3.03	57%	0.14	93.4	0.84%	0	0.7	73	0

11	Jul_25_2013	55.52	58.6	59.45	59.43			59.33(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-2	48	3.72	58%	0.13	90	0.84%	0	0.6	76	0
12	Jul_24_2013	55.45	58.43	59.47	59.48			59.25(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	-0	79	3.85	58%	0.14	80.4	0.85%	0	0.6	80	0
13	Jul_23_2013	55.37	58.23	59.41	59.49			59.45(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10000	2	101	3.84	60%	0.14	65	0.85%	0	0.8	85	0
14	Jul_22_2013	55.29	58	59.33	59.45			59.53(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	-0	119	4.16	60%	0.14	52.7	0.85%	0	0.9	87	0
15	Jul_19_2013	55.21	57.78	59.21	59.46			59.57(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	35	-10000	-1	144	5.57	61%	0.16	47.6	0.85%	0	1	89	0

16	Jul_18_2013	55.12	57.56	59.04	59.49			59.62(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	2	167	3.15	59%	0.16	44	0.86%	0	1.2	91	0
17	Jul_17_2013	55.03	57.4	58.81	59.45			59.28(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	50	-10000	5	183	5.42	57%	0.18	48.8	0.87%	0	1.1	91	0
18	Jul_16_2013	54.93	57.28	58.58	59.32			59.25(-0.54%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	54	-10000	6	196	4.79	59%	0.18	52	0.89%	0	1.2	93	0
19	Jul_15_2013	54.83	57.15	58.34	59.17			59.57(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	-10000	9	215	3.61	55%	0.16	52.4	0.9%	0	1.6	98	0
20	Jul_12_2013	54.74	56.97	58.03	58.92			59.72(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	-10000	14	207	4.48	55%	0.18	49.8	0.96%	0	1.9	89	0

21	Jul_11_2013	54.64	56.8	57.67	58.53			59.44(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	62	-10000	16	200	7.16	56%	0.18	50.7	0.96%	0	2.1	88	0
22	Jul_10_2013	54.54	56.59	57.3	58.07			58.6(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10000	12	167	9.8	56%	0.13	46.3	0.95%	0	1.7	63	0
23	Jul_9_2013	54.47	56.46	56.95	57.73			58.54(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	13	126	6.35	56%	0.09	41.9	0.96%	0	2	56	0
24	Jul_8_2013	54.42	56.35	56.55	57.38			58.31(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	14	85	13.22	57%	0.13	38.3	0.96%	0	2.1	59	0
25	Jul_5_2013	54.35	56.26	56.21	57			57.77(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	11	49	6.37	57%		34.5	0.96%	0	1.8	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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