Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $59.4400 (1.43%) ($59.1000 - $59.4900) on Thu. Jul. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $59.4400(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.53(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.67(3.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.8(4.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2013	54.64	56.8	57.67	58.53			59.44(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	62	-10000	16	200	7.16	56%	0.18	50.7	0.96%	0	2.1	88	0
2	Jul_10_2013	54.54	56.59	57.3	58.07			58.6(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10000	12	167	9.8	56%	0.13	46.3	0.95%	0	1.7	63	0
3	Jul_9_2013	54.47	56.46	56.95	57.73			58.54(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	13	126	6.35	56%	0.09	41.9	0.96%	0	2	56	0
4	Jul_8_2013	54.42	56.35	56.55	57.38			58.31(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	14	85	13.22	57%	0.13	38.3	0.96%	0	2.1	59	0
5	Jul_5_2013	54.35	56.26	56.21	57			57.77(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	11	49	6.37	57%	0.2	34.5	0.96%	0	1.8	58	0

6	Jul_3_2013	54.24	56.16	55.94	56.69			57.15(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	11	15	2.62	54%	0.11	20.7	0.95%	0	1.3	53	0
7	Jul_2_2013	54.18	56.06	55.86	56.4			56.89(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	14	9	3.03	55%	0.13	1.5	0.96%	0	1.1	59	0
8	Jul_1_2013	54.11	56.02	55.87	56.03			56.79(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	-10000	17	-1	9.69	54%	0.11	-20.5	0.97%	0	1.1	54	0
9	Jun_28_2013	54.05	56	55.84	55.58			56.4(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	10	-32	8	54%	0.11	-42.3	0.97%	0	0.6	47	0
10	Jun_27_2013	53.99	55.98	55.82	55.31			56.2(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-8	-10000	8	-55	3.95	54%	0.11	-57.6	0.97%	0	0.3	45	0

11	Jun_26_2013	53.93	56	55.84	55.09			55.72(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-22	-10000	-6	-68	6.19	54%	0.09	-66.7	0.97%	0	-0.4	50	0
12	Jun_25_2013	53.88	56.05	55.83	55.26			55.03(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-17	-61	4.4	53%	0.11	-62	0.96%	0	-1.3	51	0
13	Jun_24_2013	53.82	56.17	55.94	55.71			54.54(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-10000	-16	-35	7	53%	0.07	-49.2	0.95%	0	-2.2	42	0
14	Jun_21_2013	53.78	56.29	56.17	56.13			55.05(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-9	-10000	-10	-4	11.94	53%	0.09	-44.3	0.95%	0	-1.9	43	0
15	Jun_20_2013	53.73	56.39	56.35	56.39			55.11(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-3	-10000	-10	20	12.94	54%	0.09	-35.8	0.96%	0	-2.1	46	0

16	Jun_19_2013	53.68	56.49	56.44	56.67			56.59(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	9	38	8.76	58%	0.11	-31.3	0.91%	0	0.2	48	0
17	Jun_18_2013	53.62	56.49	56.32	56.45			57.24(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	9	8	4.66	59%	0.13	-36.5	0.9%	0	1.2	52	0
18	Jun_17_2013	53.55	56.53	56.2	56.45			56.66(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-10000	0	-23	4.68	57%	0.11	-42.5	0.9%	0	0.2	44	0
19	Jun_14_2013	53.49	56.57	56.16	56.23			56.35(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-30	6.74	57%	0.11	-35.4	0.9%	0	-0.3	47	0
20	Jun_13_2013	53.43	56.6	56.14	56.33			56.53(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	6	-29	6.32	57%	0.13	-26.5	0.9%	0	-0.1	46	0

21	Jun_12_2013	53.36	56.66	56.15	56.19			55.49(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-10	-10000	2	-45	5.31	55%	0.09	-21.7	0.88%	0	-1.7	38	0
22	Jun_11_2013	53.31	56.75	56.28	56.14			56.11(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-0	-61	5.79	57%	0.06	-17.1	0.86%	0	-1	37	0
23	Jun_10_2013	53.28	56.79	56.28	56.15			56.67(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	3	-62	5.97	59%	0.13	-10.1	0.85%	0	-0.2	43	0
24	Jun_7_2013	53.21	56.8	56.28	56.09			56.84(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-14	-10000	6	-73	4.76	60%	0.13	-3.7	0.86%	0	0.1	43	0
25	Jun_6_2013	53.14	56.77	56.4	55.94			55.82(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-8	-94	7.42	58%		0.9	0.83%	0	-1.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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