Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $56.9700 (-0.21%) ($56.3800 - $57.0700) on Thu. May. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $56.9700(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.33(-0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.23(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.3(1.19%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2013	52.4	56.3	57.23				56.97(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	0	81	5.48	65%	0.17	73	0.82%	0	0.6	69	0
2	May_22_2013	52.31	56.19	57.17	57.33			57.09(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-5	98	9.57	65%	0.1	77.5	0.83%	0	0.7	75	0
3	May_21_2013	52.26	56.04	57.1	57.45			57.64(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	-10000	2	136	3.84	65%	0.19	80.6	0.82%	0	1.2	85	0
4	May_20_2013	52.16	55.86	56.96	57.39			57.38(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	5	154	4.83	62%	0.23	79.8	0.83%	0	1.1	79	0
5	May_17_2013	52.04	55.67	56.8	57.27			57.55(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	6	161	5.71	62%	0.21	77.2	0.85%	0	1.4	82	0

6	May_16_2013	51.93	55.45	56.6	57.12			57(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	6	168	5.97	61%	0.19	68.4	0.85%	0	1.1	81	0
7	May_15_2013	51.83	55.24	56.39	56.98			57.67(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	12	171	4.76	63%	0.12	61.5	0.84%	0	1.7	86	0
8	May_14_2013	51.77	55.01	56.06	56.69			57.36(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	10	157	3.51	63%	0.21	58.8	0.84%	0	1.8	87	0
9	May_13_2013	51.66	54.82	55.79	56.46			56.78(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	9	152	2.26	62%	0.17	60.1	0.83%	0	1.6	85	0
10	May_10_2013	51.57	54.63	55.55	56.25			56.77(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-10000	11	154	2.97	62%	0.19	59.4	0.82%	0	1.8	87	0

11	May_9_2013	51.47	54.5	55.3	56			56.33(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	13	153	6.65	62%	0.16	67.4	0.82%	0	1.7	87	0
12	May_8_2013	51.39	54.38	55.11	55.71			56.23(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	17	157	3.4	62%	0.18	71.3	0.83%	0	1.9	89	0
13	May_7_2013	51.3	54.24	54.89	55.32			56.19(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	45	-10000	13	141	4.62	62%	0.18	71.1	0.83%	0	2.2	77	0
14	May_6_2013	51.21	54.08	54.66	55.01			55.72(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	-10000	11	123	3.2	61%	0.18	69.6	0.83%	0	2.1	67	0
15	May_3_2013	51.12	53.95	54.44	54.76			55.54(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	-10000	11	112	6.51	60%	0.18	68.1	0.84%	0	2.1	71	0

16	May_2_2013	51.03	53.8	54.21	54.5			54.85(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	3	78	3.03	58%	0.14	64.3	0.84%	0	1.5	52	0
17	May_1_2013	50.96	53.7	53.99	54.43			54.32(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	2	56	4.27	57%	0.16	61.4	0.84%	0	0.9	51	0
18	Apr_30_2013	50.88	53.61	53.88	54.38			54.61(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	5	49	3.85	57%	0.16	59.2	0.83%	0	1.5	56	0
19	Apr_29_2013	50.8	53.53	53.78	54.26			54.46(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	9	51	3.16	57%	0.14	59.3	0.83%	0	1.4	60	0
20	Apr_26_2013	50.73	53.43	53.64	54.06			54.27(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	9	34	2.47	57%	0.14	54.2	0.83%	0	1.3	58	0

21	Apr_25_2013	50.66	53.37	53.63	53.86			54.51(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	17	44	6.81	58%	0.16	54.4	0.83%	0	1.9	63	0
22	Apr_24_2013	50.58	53.28	53.58	53.48			54.05(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	8	27	2.92	57%	0.14	44.7	0.84%	0	1.4	59	0
23	Apr_23_2013	50.51	53.21	53.53	53.3			54.01(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	2	27	5.34	57%	0.14	46	0.84%	0	1.5	60	0
24	Apr_22_2013	50.44	53.14	53.44	53.25			53.47(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	5	25	4.56	56%	0.14	46.9	0.83%	0	0.6	53	0
25	Apr_19_2013	50.37	53.1	53.41	53.15			53.24(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-4	-10000	-11	19	6.41	56%		42.9	0.83%	0	0.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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