Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $55.5400 (1.26%) ($55.2500 - $55.7000) on Fri. May. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $55.5400(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.76(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.44(2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.95(2.95%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.41% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2013	51.12	53.95	54.44	54.76			55.54(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	-10000	11	112	6.51	60%	0.18	68.1	0.84%	0	2.1	71	0
2	May_2_2013	51.03	53.8	54.21	54.5			54.85(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	3	78	3.03	58%	0.14	64.3	0.84%	0	1.5	52	0
3	May_1_2013	50.96	53.7	53.99	54.43			54.32(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	2	56	4.27	57%	0.16	61.4	0.84%	0	0.9	51	0
4	Apr_30_2013	50.88	53.61	53.88	54.38			54.61(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	5	49	3.85	57%	0.16	59.2	0.83%	0	1.5	56	0
5	Apr_29_2013	50.8	53.53	53.78	54.26			54.46(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	9	51	3.16	57%	0.14	59.3	0.83%	0	1.4	60	0

6	Apr_26_2013	50.73	53.43	53.64	54.06			54.27(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	9	34	2.47	57%	0.14	54.2	0.83%	0	1.3	58	0
7	Apr_25_2013	50.66	53.37	53.63	53.86			54.51(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	17	44	6.81	58%	0.16	54.4	0.83%	0	1.9	63	0
8	Apr_24_2013	50.58	53.28	53.58	53.48			54.05(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	8	27	2.92	57%	0.14	44.7	0.84%	0	1.4	59	0
9	Apr_23_2013	50.51	53.21	53.53	53.3			54.01(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	2	27	5.34	57%	0.14	46	0.84%	0	1.5	60	0
10	Apr_22_2013	50.44	53.14	53.44	53.25			53.47(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	5	25	4.56	56%	0.14	46.9	0.83%	0	0.6	53	0

11	Apr_19_2013	50.37	53.1	53.41	53.15			53.24(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-4	-10000	-11	19	6.41	56%	0.12	42.9	0.83%	0	0.3	55	0
12	Apr_18_2013	50.31	53.04	53.36	53.39			52.61(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-10000	-13	32	8.75	54%	0.1	43.9	0.83%	0	-0.8	49	0
13	Apr_17_2013	50.26	53.03	53.4	53.69			53.19(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-4	61	8.97	58%	0.14	54.1	0.81%	0	0.3	54	0
14	Apr_16_2013	50.19	52.97	53.34	53.78			53.74(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	6	71	6.7	60%	0.14	49.6	0.81%	0	1.2	58	0
15	Apr_15_2013	50.12	52.89	53.27	53.65			52.98(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	15	-10000	-2	67	9.07	58%	0.12	40.2	0.79%	0	0.1	55	0

16	Apr_12_2013	50.06	52.87	53.24	53.69			54.41(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	-10000	19	88	7.79	64%	0.08	42	0.71%	0	2.4	68	0
17	Apr_11_2013	50.02	52.79	53.09	53.32			54.12(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	-10000	13	69	6.27	64%	0.16	39.2	0.71%	0	2.6	72	0
18	Apr_10_2013	49.94	52.72	52.95	53.07			53.67(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	-10000	12	53	5.01	63%	0.16	42.3	0.71%	0	2.3	62	0
19	Apr_9_2013	49.86	52.66	52.85	52.85			53.05(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	1	44	5.32	61%	0.14	39.4	0.7%	0	1.1	64	0
20	Apr_8_2013	49.79	52.64	52.8	52.84			53.19(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	6	53	4.47	61%	0.18	56.9	0.69%	0	1.6	60	0

21	Apr_5_2013	49.7	52.61	52.74	52.73			52.59(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	40	4.09	59%	0.16	76.3	0.68%	0	-0.1	50	0
22	Apr_4_2013	49.62	52.59	52.69	52.81			52.85(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	1	37	4.44	59%	0.16	95.2	0.68%	0	0.8	48	0
23	Apr_3_2013	49.54	52.55	52.64	52.8			52.55(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-3	28	6.84	59%	0.16	106	0.68%	0	0	46	0
24	Apr_2_2013	49.46	52.52	52.58	52.85			53.04(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	6	25	4.6	65%	0.16	132.9	0.67%	0	1.4	54	0
25	Apr_1_2013	49.38	52.45	52.49	52.75			52.6(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	-10000	0	4	5.97	64%		135.9	0.71%	0	0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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