Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $47.2800 (-0.53%) ($47.2400 - $47.8300) on Mon. Dec. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $47.2800(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.28(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.98(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.37(1.96%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2012	45.86	46.37	46.98	47.28			47.28(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	-10000	4	167	9.84	61%	0.09	36.1	0.81%	0	1.1	70	0
2	Nov_30_2012	45.82	46.32	46.79	47.21			47.53(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	4	161	5.47	61%	0.11	38.5	0.81%	0	1.5	73	0
3	Nov_29_2012	45.77	46.27	46.53	47.14			47.49(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	10	148	3.91	61%	0.09	42	0.82%	0	1.6	69	0
4	Nov_28_2012	45.73	46.19	46.28	46.95			47.36(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	10	112	11.79	61%	0.11	35.4	0.82%	0	1.6	57	0
5	Nov_27_2012	45.68	46.11	46.09	46.75			46.75(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	7	79	4.27	59%	0.07	25.7	0.8%	0	0.9	46	0

6	Nov_26_2012	45.65	46.06	45.96	46.63			46.94(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	19	55	7.47	59%	0.07	9.9	0.8%	0	1.3	50	0
7	Nov_23_2012	45.62	46	45.8	46.28			47.16(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	25	9	1.89	59%	0.07	-13.7	0.8%	0	1.7	53	0
8	Nov_21_2012	45.59	45.94	45.63	45.83			46.54(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	18	-51	5.95	56%	0.07	-46.1	0.79%	0	1	47	0
9	Nov_20_2012	45.56	45.93	45.6	45.5			46.38(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-14	-10000	9	-81	5.14	56%	0.07	-65.1	0.79%	0	0.8	52	0
10	Nov_19_2012	45.53	45.94	45.63	45.34			46.15(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-15	-10000	8	-83	7.31	56%	0.04	-70.6	0.79%	0	0.4	52	0

11	Nov_16_2012	45.51	45.99	45.67	45.2			45.18(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-3	-94	11	52%	0.07	-66.9	0.74%	0	-1.4	45	0
12	Nov_15_2012	45.48	46.1	45.81	45.25			44.88(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-9	-82	6.7	52%	0.02	-53.9	0.74%	0	-1.9	39	0
13	Nov_14_2012	45.47	46.21	45.98	45.4			44.91(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-18	-64	11.11	52%	0.04	-44.8	0.74%	0	-2	37	0
14	Nov_13_2012	45.45	46.31	46.11	45.7			45.59(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-16	-41	3.3	56%	0.07	-40.9	0.72%	0	-1.2	39	0
15	Nov_12_2012	45.42	46.35	46.15	45.97			45.46(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-15	-25	3.52	56%	0.04	-40.9	0.72%	0	-1.5	35	0

16	Nov_9_2012	45.4	46.39	46.2	46.22			45.42(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-10000	-14	-27	7.38	56%	0.07	-41.2	0.72%	0	-1.8	27	0
17	Nov_8_2012	45.37	46.45	46.26	46.45			45.64(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-16	-10000	-11	-29	6.47	56%	0.02	-38	0.72%	0	-1.6	29	0
18	Nov_7_2012	45.36	46.51	46.26	46.64			46.39(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	-10000	4	-22	6.98	61%	0.07	-28.7	0.69%	0	-0.3	39	0
19	Nov_6_2012	45.33	46.56	46.31	46.57			46.94(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	13	-31	4.75	66%	0.07	-25.7	0.68%	0	0.8	52	0
20	Nov_5_2012	45.3	46.59	46.26	46.37			46.69(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	11	-49	6.32	66%	0.07	-28.4	0.68%	0	0.2	56	0

21	Nov_2_2012	45.27	46.62	46.32	46.19			46.57(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	8	-48	6.09	70%	0.09	-31.7	0.72%	0	-0.1	55	0
22	Nov_1_2012	45.23	46.64	46.39	46.05			46.6(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	7	-48	5.13	70%	0.09	-31.8	0.72%	0	-0.1	52	0
23	Oct_31_2012	45.19	46.65	46.43	45.94			46.07(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-4	-59	9.16	63%	0.16	-38.8	0.71%	0	-1	41	0
24	Oct_26_2012	45.12	46.69	46.5	46.01			45.92(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-7	-63	3.79	69%	0.07	-43.3	0.76%	0	-1.4	31	0
25	Oct_25_2012	45.09	46.73	46.54	46.14			45.77(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-19	-75	3	69%		-46	0.78%	0	-1.8	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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